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4 takeaways from the Eagles trading two 2022 first-round picks for more draft assets in 2023

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4 takeaways from the Eagles trading two 2022 first-round picks for more draft assets in 2023

Jalen-Hurts-Giants-1-1.jpg?w=1000&h=600&crop=1
Glenn Erby 
 
April 4, 2022 4:46 pm ET
 

In a move that was expected by most draft experts and insiders, the Eagles have moved a 2022 first-round pick back to 2023 by securing a huge trade that’ll send the No. 16, No. 19, and No. 194 to the Saints for the No. 18, No. 101, No. 237, a 2023 first-round pick, and 2024 second-round pick in return.

The move gives New Orleans an extra first-round pick while giving Philadelphia an extra draft asset over the next two years.

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With the move now finalized and Philadelphia slotted at No. 15 and No. 18, here are four takeaways from the trade.

1. Jalen Hurts is on the clock
USATSI_17516911_168393153_lowres.jpg

Jan 16, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) looks to pass the ball in the second half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a NFC Wild Card playoff football game at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Nothing spells pressure for a quarterback like your franchise securing another first-round pick one year prior to one of the most quarterback-loaded NFL drafts in recent history.

The Eagles have said all the correct things in regards to supporting Hurts and building around the third-year quarterback, but the facts remain that the dual-threat signal-caller must take tremendous steps as a passer and repeat his playoff performance or risk watching Howie Roseman target one of a handful of talented passers.

With the move now finalized and Philadelphia slotted at No. 15 and No. 18, here are four takeaways from the trade.

2. Roseman got a 3-for-1 deal
USATSI_16953168_168393153_lowres.jpg

Oct 14, 2021; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles general manager Howie Roseman checks his phone before a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans was desperate, so this can’t be considered a fleece, but Roseman clearly won another deal over an opposing NFL GM.

Philadelphia parted with two first-round picks but received another one back in 2022 and one in 2023.

The deal basically landed Philadelphia a third-rounder, 2023 first, and a 2024 second for the 16th pick.

3. 2022 NFL Draft
Garrett-Wilson-Eagles-Wire-mock-draft.jp

Mar 23, 2022; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Garrett Wilson runs after making the catch during the Ohio State Pro Day at the Woody Hayes Facility. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia is still in a position to land a talented player at No. 15 and No. 18 while saving guaranteed money on a third first-round pick. The move also puts pressure on Howie Roseman to hit on both picks, landing instant impact players.

4. 2023 NFL Draft
Will-Anderson-NFL-Draft-2023.jpg

Dec 4, 2021; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Stetson Bennett (13) throws a pass against Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Will Anderson Jr. (31) during the SEC championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Alabama won 41-24. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports

If Hurts takes the next steps as a passer, then Philadelphia will have two more opportunities to build around their quarterback and they could potentially take a shot at acquiring Will Anderson Jr.

If Hurts falters, the Eagles will have opportunities to land Bryce Young (Alabama), CJ Stroud (Ohio State), or one of the other strong-armed passers.

5. BONUS TAKEAWAY
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Saints’ Alvin Kamara (41) rushes against the Eagles Sunday, Dec. 13, 2020 in Philadelphia. The Eagles won 24-21.
Jl Eagles 121320 19

Depending on what happens with New Orleans, they could be a 2022 playoff team or a team that because of a difficult schedule, a new head coach, and Jameis Winston coming off a knee injury, a team that finds itself picking in the top-10.

https://theeagleswire.usatoday.com/lists/nfl-draft-trade-philadelphia-eagles-2023-bryce-young-will-anderson/

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Another somewhat misleading title.  While technically two of our original 1st round picks were involved in the deal, we only traded away one of them (the 16th overall pick ).  We still have 2 total 1st round picks in 2022 ... the other one you can look at it as having moved up one slot (from 19 to 18) (glass half full perspective) or moved down two slots (from 16 to 18) (glass half empty perspective).  

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I totally disagree that Howie fleeced the Saints.

we gave up 1889 value chart points. 1000 for 16, 875 for 19, and 14 for the 6th round pick 

we gained 900 for the 18th pick. Assume next year's #1 is also the 18th pick. That's not 900 since you have to devalue it for waiting a year. So we'll value it as the 18th pick in the 2nd round - 400 value chart points. Pick 101 this year is worth 96 value chart points. Let's be consistent and value the  2024 2nd round pick  as the 18th pick in the 2nd round, but for waiting 2 years call it the 18th pick in the 4th round - 123 points. The 7th round pick is rated as valuless but let's call in 10 value chart points. 

So total it up - we gained 900 +400 + 96 + 123 + 10 = 1529

If the Saints get the 18 pick or do even better and actually make the playoffs the score is SAINTS 1889  - EAGLES 1529 - A DEFUCUT IF 270 POINTS OR THE EQUIVALENT OF THE 64TH PICK IN THE DRAFT.

We only win the trade if the Saints do worse and get the 12th pick or better next year. 

 

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I don't see anybody pointing out what a crap record Dennis Allen has a head coach in the NFL.  Not just bad, but really bad.  He is no Sean Payton by any stretch of the matter.

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2 hours ago, Rob331 said:

I totally disagree that Howie fleeced the Saints.

we gave up 1889 value chart points. 1000 for 16, 875 for 19, and 14 for the 6th round pick 

we gained 900 for the 18th pick. Assume next year's #1 is also the 18th pick. That's not 900 since you have to devalue it for waiting a year. So we'll value it as the 18th pick in the 2nd round - 400 value chart points. Pick 101 this year is worth 96 value chart points. Let's be consistent and value the  2024 2nd round pick  as the 18th pick in the 2nd round, but for waiting 2 years call it the 18th pick in the 4th round - 123 points. The 7th round pick is rated as valuless but let's call in 10 value chart points. 

So total it up - we gained 900 +400 + 96 + 123 + 10 = 1529

If the Saints get the 18 pick or do even better and actually make the playoffs the score is SAINTS 1889  - EAGLES 1529 - A DEFUCUT IF 270 POINTS OR THE EQUIVALENT OF THE 64TH PICK IN THE DRAFT.

We only win the trade if the Saints do worse and get the 12th pick or better next year. 

 

That whole "devaluing” thing is overblown IMO.    When next year rolls around no one is going to be saying, "Well that 1st from NO is really only worth a 2nd!”.  Especially if it ends up being a top 10 pick. 

Personally I like that, instead of having 4 top picks (rounds 1+2) in 2022, 2 in 2023, and 2 in 2024, we now have 3 in 2022, 3 in 2023, and 3 in 2024.

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10 hours ago, time2rock said:

That whole "devaluing” thing is overblown IMO.    When next year rolls around no one is going to be saying, "Well that 1st from NO is really only worth a 2nd!”.  Especially if it ends up being a top 10 pick. 

Personally I like that, instead of having 4 top picks (rounds 1+2) in 2022, 2 in 2023, and 2 in 2024, we now have 3 in 2022, 3 in 2023, and 3 in 2024.

I agree that there is no devaluation of the pick. What there is in the trade (and others like it), is compensation for the inconvenience and uncertainty that waiting a year creates. The pick is worth whatever it is worth in the present, and cannot be better than #1 overall or worse than #32 overall. In fact, the precise value of the pick is unknown but strictly somewhere between the two (inclusive.)

All things considered, I do fully expect the Saints pick to be surprisingly early in the 2023 draft.

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