Posted October 30, 20231 yr The Eagles are laying a field goal to Dallas next Sunday in a very big game here at the Linc. The "3 points for home field" axiom has gone the way of the pay phone, as the data now suggests home field is only worth about 1.4 points, so the Eagles would be slight favorites even on a neutral field. I'd be hard pressed to take Dallas in this spot, but we'll see how the week unfolds. Line: Eagles -3 Total: 46/46.5 Moneyline: Eagles -165/Cowboys +140
October 30, 20231 yr After 8 weeks the Eagles are the 2nd best offense in the NFL. Dallas is 15th. (I would bet Eagles -3) The Eagles are 7th Rushing the ball with a 4.1 yds. per carry avg. Dallas is 11th. The Eagles are 7th in Passing. Dallas is 16th. The Game is at home. The Eagles are # 1 in First Downs. Dallas is 18th. https://www.espn.com/nfl/stats/team/_/stat/total Defense: Cowboys are 5th and the Eagles are 6th. https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nfl/2023-nfl-defense-rankings-team-pass-and-rush-stats
October 30, 20231 yr The Cowboys are 18th against the run.... I hope we see a lot of Swift and less of Gainwell.
October 30, 20231 yr 2 hours ago, jsdarkstar said: After 8 weeks the Eagles are the 2nd best offense in the NFL. Dallas is 15th. (I would bet Eagles -3) The Eagles are 7th Rushing the ball with a 4.1 yds. per carry avg. Dallas is 11th. The Eagles are 7th in Passing. Dallas is 16th. The Game is at home. The Eagles are # 1 in First Downs. Dallas is 18th. https://www.espn.com/nfl/stats/team/_/stat/total Defense: Cowboys are 5th and the Eagles are 6th. https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nfl/2023-nfl-defense-rankings-team-pass-and-rush-stats So what you're telling me... Dak is gonna look like prime TB12?
October 30, 20231 yr 7 minutes ago, Portyansky said: So what you're telling me... Dak is gonna look like prime TB12? The Eagles will win. Take the bet -3.
October 30, 20231 yr We should be able to push around their defense. They have a smaller line than most teams. I don't know what's going on with our secondary but they can't let the receivers run as open. Dak is decent enough to make them pay. Howell tee'd off on our secondary in the first half and missed some wide open receivers in the second half. We have a tough 5 game run. We need them to come out firing on all cylinders. We can't afford to shoot ourselves in the foot anymore.
October 31, 20231 yr On 10/30/2023 at 4:28 PM, Vileborg said: We should be able to push around their defense. They have a smaller line than most teams. I don't know what's going on with our secondary but they can't let the receivers run as open. Dak is decent enough to make them pay. Howell tee'd off on our secondary in the first half and missed some wide open receivers in the second half. We have a tough 5 game run. We need them to come out firing on all cylinders. We can't afford to shoot ourselves in the foot anymore. Yeah, Dallas D-line isn’t as good as the Commanders D-Line. But Dallas is better everywhere else on D. However, Vander Esch is out. I don’t know how good their depth at LB is. It’s their offense I’m concerned about. But I’d argue that the Commander’s receivers are just as good. Is Tyron Smith playing? Does it matter? Either way, I’m expecting this to be another nail biter. We can’t turn the ball over like we did against the Jets and Commanders. That’s for sure. If we can avoid turnovers and penalties, we should be able to win this game.
October 31, 20231 yr On 10/30/2023 at 4:21 PM, Godfather said: Trap game before the bye game The Jets game was the trap game.
November 1, 20231 yr Pretty standard line for a home team. Vegas clearly thinks we are favourites because we are at home. I suspect if the game were in Dallas they’d be 3 point favourites so 2 evenly matched teams.
November 2, 20231 yr Author On 11/1/2023 at 3:58 AM, UK_EaglesFan89 said: Pretty standard line for a home team. Vegas clearly thinks we are favourites because we are at home. I suspect if the game were in Dallas they’d be 3 point favourites so 2 evenly matched teams. The "3 points for home field" axiom has gone the way of the pay phone, as the data now suggests home field is only worth about 1.4 points, so the Eagles would be slight favorites even on a neutral field. With that said, a lot of the early "picks" are on Dallas if the line pops up another half point.
November 2, 20231 yr 5 minutes ago, LacesOut said: Don't turn the fricking football over!! And get a couple of turnovers!! This And run the effin' football
November 2, 20231 yr On 10/31/2023 at 1:31 PM, JamesK said: Yeah, Dallas D-line isn’t as good as the Commanders D-Line. But Dallas is better everywhere else on D. However, Vander Esch is out. I don’t know how good their depth at LB is. It’s their offense I’m concerned about. But I’d argue that the Commander’s receivers are just as good. Is Tyron Smith playing? Does it matter? Either way, I’m expecting this to be another nail biter. We can’t turn the ball over like we did against the Jets and Commanders. That’s for sure. If we can avoid turnovers and penalties, we should be able to win this game. I'm thinking just the opposite. Our DL is fairly solid but our OL is not consistent. First 5 games we kept handing the ball off and getting no where play after play after play. Our DL plays well, stays disciplined in staying in their lanes, good QB pressure. Tyrone Smith? Still good, just not consistent and injury prone. I am hoping for a great game that is injury and penalty free. Our self inflicted penalties kill us! May the best team of the day win... although I suspect it will be the Eagles.
November 3, 20231 yr 3 hours ago, CaptSS said: I'm thinking just the opposite. Our DL is fairly solid but our OL is not consistent. First 5 games we kept handing the ball off and getting no where play after play after play. Our DL plays well, stays disciplined in staying in their lanes, good QB pressure. Tyrone Smith? Still good, just not consistent and injury prone. I am hoping for a great game that is injury and penalty free. Our self inflicted penalties kill us! May the best team of the day win... although I suspect it will be the Eagles. Did you not watch the Washington game? Sam Howell looked like Joe Montana. He threw for 397 yards. They didn’t get any pressure on him at all. They had one big sack and an intentional grounding call, but that’s it. No pressure at all. Of course, Jalen Carter and Jordan Davis didn’t play in the second half, so that’s a factor. Also, on a positive note, last’s week’s game is probably not a good indicator on how this week’s game will play out. I think our OL is playing pretty good. Hurts has a lot of time to throw, but the running game hasn’t been as strong.
November 3, 20231 yr Establish the run, or at least the threat of it, they are going to double AJ and pay attention to Smith, this game has Dallas Goedert written all over it.....vs. Dallas Dallas goes off!
November 3, 20231 yr 13 hours ago, LacesOut said: Don't turn the fricking football over!! And get a couple of turnovers!! Dullarse have been good at looking after the ball and also getting turnovers. We on the other hand haven’t looked after the ball very well and don’t get many turnovers. So yeah that’s absolutely going to be key and I don’t love that particular match up.
November 3, 20231 yr One crazy thing about NFL games is that you really can't draw many correlations from week to week. Especially, NFC East games. The cowpies are typically shooting off their mouth and many in the media are picking an upset......but the Linc will be wild, and this is an enormous game as it relates to the division, the conference and home field advantage in the playoffs. Plus the added incentive is going into the bye week with a 2 game division lead and a commanding position for the home field advantage. They need that week to do some well needed rest and recovery before starting that tough string of games against KC, Bills, SF, cowpies in dallas and in seattle. Eagles need to make a big statement to the rest of the league.......the trip to the super bowl goes thru philly.
November 3, 20231 yr Author Heading into the weekend, the line remains locked at Eagles -3. Some considerations: 62% of the tickets sold have been on the Eagles. 67% of the tickets sold on the total are on OVER 46.5 The analytics consensus is Eagles -3.5, and since 3 is such a key number I'm thinking about keeping it clean by playing the Eagles on the moneyline -155. The Eagles should win this game in this situation. I just hate laying 3, 7 and 10...
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