Tough call at the flex. Normally I would Start Kamara, but he's banged up and probably won't play or will have limited snaps. High stakes in this win or go home mtachup. 

Aaron Jones is reliable with higher floor IMO. Brian Thomas is the top WR for the Jags against a lowly Raiders D. He's on fire but there is more bust potential.

What do you need? Big points or a solid performance?

3 hours ago, toolg said:

Aaron Jones is reliable with higher floor IMO. Brian Thomas is the top WR for the Jags against a lowly Raiders D. He's on fire but there is more bust potential.

What do you need? Big points or a solid performance?

It's funny that he's doing some of his best work with Mac Jones throwing to him.  Looking at Strange's line last week, I'm starting him over Henry and Kincaid since it seems like Jones may actually be more effective than Blonde Moai

Rhamondre Stevenson, Xavier Worthy, Christian Watson or Michael Pittman? Pick one

 

(Watson may become Debo if my waiver goes through)

11 minutes ago, paco said:

Rhamondre Stevenson, Xavier Worthy, Christian Watson or Michael Pittman?

 

(Watson may become Debo if my waiver goes through)

I say Worthy. KC is finding creative ways to get the ball in his hands. He could be good against the Texans. I can't trust Watson, Pittman, or Deebo this week with playoffs on the line. Stevenson is kind of darkhorse here. He's stuck on a bad team but the Bills D can be run on. Assuming PPR I am going with Worthy.

25 minutes ago, toolg said:

I say Worthy. KC is finding creative ways to get the ball in his hands. He could be good against the Texans. I can't trust Watson, Pittman, or Deebo this week with playoffs on the line. Stevenson is kind of darkhorse here. He's stuck on a bad team but the Bills D can be run on. Assuming PPR I am going with Worthy.

I was thinking about that with Worthy but if Wentz plays I would expect a dip in production unless he runs half a dozen end arounds.

4 hours ago, toolg said:

Aaron Jones is reliable with higher floor IMO. Brian Thomas is the top WR for the Jags against a lowly Raiders D. He's on fire but there is more bust potential.

What do you need? Big points or a solid performance?

Probably solid performance. I have the better roster, but the guy Im playing has Allen and Sequan. His overall team isnt great but a lot of weeks those 2 guys have won for him. 

7 hours ago, paco said:

Rhamondre Stevenson, Xavier Worthy, Christian Watson or Michael Pittman? Pick one

 

(Watson may become Debo if my waiver goes through)

 

6 hours ago, toolg said:

I say Worthy. KC is finding creative ways to get the ball in his hands. He could be good against the Texans. I can't trust Watson, Pittman, or Deebo this week with playoffs on the line. Stevenson is kind of darkhorse here. He's stuck on a bad team but the Bills D can be run on. Assuming PPR I am going with Worthy.

 

6 hours ago, Gannan said:

Probably solid performance. I have the better roster, but the guy Im playing has Allen and Sequan. His overall team isnt great but a lot of weeks those 2 guys have won for him. 

I almost forgot since I just picked him up…. Kendre Miller Is an option too

18 hours ago, Gannan said:

Probably solid performance. I have the better roster, but the guy Im playing has Allen and Sequan. His overall team isnt great but a lot of weeks those 2 guys have won for him. 

I like consistency. So Aaron Jones then. He's good for a double-digit performance every week. If it's boom or bust then Thomas Jr. 

The guy with Barkley and Josh Allen has been running away in my league too. He snaked them both 1 pick before me in the draft! I got Nacua and Hurts instead. 

18 hours ago, paco said:

I was thinking about that with Worthy but if Wentz plays I would expect a dip in production unless he runs half a dozen end arounds.

He could do that. I don't think the offense drops off by much with Wentz in QB. Mahomes hasn't been a blockbuster either.

10 hours ago, toolg said:

He could do that. I don't think the offense drops off by much with Wentz in QB. Mahomes hasn't been a blockbuster either.

Now that it looks like Miller is getting the start, it’s between Worthy, Stevenso, Miller and Debo.  
 

We get points for return yards, so that raises the floor of Miller and Samuel. 

11 hours ago, paco said:

We get points for return yards, so that raises the floor of Miller and Samuel. 

Interesting wrinkle. Is it the same points as rushing/receiving yards?

50 minutes ago, toolg said:

Interesting wrinkle. Is it the same points as rushing/receiving yards?

Surprisingly yes.  Most leagues I’ve been in that include it is 25 yards point.  But this is 10 yards per point

 

Projections:

Worthy - 10.5

Stevenson - 13.9

Samuel - 15.9

Miller - 13.5

23 minutes ago, paco said:

Surprisingly yes.  Most leagues I’ve been in that include it is 25 yards point.  But this is 10 yards per point

 

Projections:

Worthy - 10.5

Stevenson - 13.9

Samuel - 15.9

Miller - 13.5

This makes Deebo more tempting. Is Kendre returning kicks? I am not sure he is if he's taking over for Kamara.

The leagues that I have play only give you 6 for a TD. It's a lottery ticket. Return yards are worthless.

1 hour ago, toolg said:

This makes Deebo more tempting. Is Kendre returning kicks? I am not sure he is if he's taking over for Kamara.

The leagues that I have play only give you 6 for a TD. It's a lottery ticket. Return yards are worthless.

Edit: nevermind, I misread your point. 

In Deebo's last 4 games, his return yardage:

52
208
0
72

It really raises the floor.  Especially that 72 yard day for him, where the 49ers had NO offense that day.

 

Good point about Miller though, I don't know if he will give up return duty.  I couldn't find anything either to confirm or deny.

 

 

One more thing on Deebo.  With them down another RB this week, is is possible we see more "Do it all Deebo" and he gets a bunch of carries?

I ended up starting both since Kamara was ruled out, and Mixon was banged up. I really worried about hMixon's snap count, and it turned out to be the right call. I think Brian Thomas is a locked in starter at this point. He's just too talented and he gets so much volume. The big question for the championship game is going to be CeeDee Lamb or Terry McLaurin? Lamb was on a pitch count last night. He was able to put up good numbers despite that against Tampa, but I think the Eagles defense will be wanting to redeem themselves next week, and I worry about Lamb's numbers.

Lamb is super-talented but his shoulder didn't look good. It will be a tough game next week going against the Eagles secondary.

Hard to find a reason to bench McLaurin against the Falcons. 

Well McLaurin cost me the chip.  Maybe next year

16 hours ago, Gannan said:

Well McLaurin cost me the chip.  Maybe next year

It sucks he chose this week to have his worst game of the year. 

Lamb on IR wasn't any better. 

7 minutes ago, toolg said:

It sucks he chose this week to have his worst game of the year. 

Lamb on IR wasn't any better. 

My team just ran out of gas. I picked a lot of aged RBs hoping a few would be good. They all had good years but almost all were hurt by the end (Mixon, Kamara, Pollard). Tua being hurt killed the production of my Miami players yesterday too. That team just sucks without him. The TE not putting up numbers when the QB is out I get, but Achane goes from like the 4th best RB in fantasy when Tua plays, to outside the top 30 when he doesn't.