***Election 2022***

[NVeagle]

Begin.

Who's running?

Red wave or Blue wave?

Will the Dems keep control of the  House & Senate?

[Smokesdawg]

[VanHammersly]

Kyle Rittenhouse wins a Republican House seat on his way to winning a Senate seat in 2024 and being the Republican Presidential nominee in....whatever year it is when he's 35, but only providing that he manages to kill more people before then to keep his profile high.

[DrPhilly]

When is the new target date for the Kraken release?

[NVeagle]

It’s only January 2021, but three Republican senators have already announced their intentions to retire in 2022.

[vikas83]

Generally speaking the midterms are a good night for the party not in the White House, but there are a few really concerning things for the GOP. I'd highlight these three.

1. Natural economic rebound/economy re-opening will benefit the party in power (i.e., Democrats): At some point in 2021 life will start normalizing. That was going to happen no matter who was in power, but since the Democrats control the government, they will get the credit from voters. They will be able to run on ending the pandemic, revitalizing the economy, etc. It's just a natural advantage.

2. Senate Map -- The GOP has 20 seats to defend to only 14 for the Democrats. PA, WI, FL and MO could be challenging -- Biden won PA and WI, and Rubio is pretty unpopular at this point. 

3. Trump -- President Imbecile isn't going to fade away like his predecessors. I fully expect him to support primary opponents against people who "betrayed" him. This will force strong general election GOP candidates to expend resources, and if some of his people win, they GOP could lose seats (think 2010 tea party mistakes like Christine O'Donnell knocking out Mike Castle). 

So, while the easy answer is the GOP makes the traditional midterm gains, it may be harder this time.

[hey suess]

Presidents aren’t elected in 2022, and there’s already a 2024 thread. I’ll bump it.

[Joe Shades 73]

House easily goes Republican IN 2022, enjoy Mccarthy as speaker

[Dave Moss]

Portman isn’t running for re-election in Ohio.

Gym Jordan for Senator!!!

[NVeagle]

13 minutes ago, hey suess said:

Presidents aren’t elected in 2022, and there’s already a 2024 thread. I’ll bump it.

Will the Dems keep control House & Senate?

[20dawk4life]

When’s the rock running? 

[NVeagle]

6 minutes ago, 20dawk4life said:

When’s the rock running? 

 

[Joe Shades 73]

18 minutes ago, NVeagle said:

Will the Dems keep control House & Senate?

Patrick leahy in Hospital, Vermont has Republican Governor, dems may not have senate rest of this month although Vermont uses special election to replace Senators so maybe they keep it

[jsdarkstar]

Fetterman or Shapiro for U.S. Senate. 

Fetterman or Shapiro for PA Governor. 

1 hour ago, Joe Shades 73 said:

Patrick leahy in Hospital, Vermont has Republican Governor, dems may not have senate rest of this month although Vermont uses special election to replace Senators so maybe they keep it

how the hell does Vermont have a Republican Governor? 

[NVeagle]

3 hours ago, jsdarkstar said:

how the hell does Vermont have a Republican Governor? 

Freedom and the history of this famous family:

[we_gotta_believe]

"The GOP is salvageable"

Quote

Wednesday's survey also found 81 percent of Republicans have positive views of Trump, with more than half saying they hold strong feelings on the issue. On the night before his second impeachment by the U.S. House over his role in the rioting, 76 percent of Republicans said they viewed him favorably. 

Three in 10 Republicans also said in the new poll that they would prefer to join a "Patriot Party" if it were led by Trump, with 25 percent saying they would be undecided in such a scenario. 

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/536030-trumps-standing-rises-among-republicans-survey

[we_gotta_believe]

I meant to post this in the 2024 thread. Too many election threads!

[toolg]

My prediction (as of Jan. 2021) is Dems keep majority in House and Senate another 2 years. That is, Dems + Senate Ind.s who caucus with Dems in Senate.

[dawkins4prez]

On 1/26/2021 at 5:21 PM, vikas83 said:

Generally speaking the midterms are a good night for the party not in the White House, but there are a few really concerning things for the GOP. I'd highlight these three.

1. Natural economic rebound/economy re-opening will benefit the party in power (i.e., Democrats): At some point in 2021 life will start normalizing. That was going to happen no matter who was in power, but since the Democrats control the government, they will get the credit from voters. They will be able to run on ending the pandemic, revitalizing the economy, etc. It's just a natural advantage.

2. Senate Map -- The GOP has 20 seats to defend to only 14 for the Democrats. PA, WI, FL and MO could be challenging -- Biden won PA and WI, and Rubio is pretty unpopular at this point. 

3. Trump -- President Imbecile isn't going to fade away like his predecessors. I fully expect him to support primary opponents against people who "betrayed" him. This will force strong general election GOP candidates to expend resources, and if some of his people win, they GOP could lose seats (think 2010 tea party mistakes like Christine O'Donnell knocking out Mike Castle). 

So, while the easy answer is the GOP makes the traditional midterm gains, it may be harder this time.

Yeah...but Democrats.

[Dave Moss]

 

[Toastrel]

Who will the informed Trump supporter vote for?

[EaglesRocker97]

Quote

'This "too cool for school" s--- doesn't work': James Carville says Democrats have a 'wokeness' problem

Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville said in a recent Vox interview that the Democratic Party has a "wokeness" problem and stressed that the party's candidates need "to speak the way regular people speak" to earn their votes.

During the wide-ranging discussion, Carville, who rose to fame as the chief strategist of former President Bill Clinton's successful 1992 campaign, said many Democrats agree with his standpoint but are hesitant to speak out.

"Wokeness is a problem and everyone knows it," he said. "It's hard to talk to anybody today — and I talk to lots of people in the Democratic Party — who doesn't say this. But they don't want to say it out loud."

He added: "Because they'll get clobbered or canceled. And look, part of the problem is that lots of Democrats will say that we have to listen to everybody and we have to include every perspective, or that we don't have to run a ruthless messaging campaign. Well, you kinda do. It really matters."

Democrats often use words and phrases that are foreign to the very people that they're trying to forge relationships with, which often yields a less-than-desired result, Carville said.

"I always tell people that we've got to stop speaking Hebrew and start speaking Yiddish," he told Vox. "We have to speak the way regular people speak, the way voters speak. It ain't complicated."

Read more: This millennial GOP congressman voted to impeach Trump. Now he's trying to save his party from going off a cliff.

Carville praised President Joe Biden's first 100 days in office and said that one of the president's strengths was his dismissal of "faculty lounge" politics, which the native Southerner defined as "people in faculty lounges in fancy colleges" that "use a different language than ordinary people."

"They come up with a word like 'Latinx' that no one else uses," Carville said. "Or they use a phrase like 'communities of color.' I don't know anyone who speaks like that. I don't know anyone who lives in a 'community of color.' I know lots of white and Black and brown people and they all live in ... neighborhoods."

He added: "There's nothing inherently wrong with these phrases. But this is not how people talk. This is not how voters talk."

Democrats should discuss race and racial injustice, but in a way that connects with people, Carville told Vox.

"We have to talk about race," he said. "What I'm saying is, we need to do it without using jargon-y language that's unrecognizable to most people — including most Black people, by the way — because it signals that you're trying to talk around them. This 'too cool for school' s--- doesn't work, and we have to stop it."

Carville emphasized that the way in which the party speaks to voters reflects a simple math issue.

"If Democrats want power, they have to win in a country where 18 percent of the population controls 52 percent of the Senate seats," he said. "That's a fact. That's not changing. That's what this whole damn thing is about."

https://www.businessinsider.com/james-carville-democrats-wokeness-problem-ordinary-americans-2021-4?utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=sf-bi-main&fbclid=IwAR13c15e-KHXD7zIr0BSneA2PKd3wZD5TNh8-x0-TcSlZBEs7UwxWbefqoE

 

 

 

[Seventy_Yard_FG]

Red states pickup up 5 house seats compared to dems picked up 2 in the census

[DEagle7]

7 minutes ago, Seventy_Yard_FG said:

Red states pickup up 5 house seats compared to dems picked up 2 in the census

Details

The real kicker is NY missed out by 89 votes. Wild.

[EaglesRocker97]

15 minutes ago, Seventy_Yard_FG said:

Red states pickup up 5 house seats compared to dems picked up 2 in the census

Yes, but the people moving into those "red states" are not the kind who typically vote red. Case in point: Texas. TX might be gaining seats, but it's also primed to flip after a few more election cycles.