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Featured Replies

1 hour ago, vikas83 said:

This guy rules

 

That dude’s gonna win

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14 minutes ago, VanHammersly said:

That dude’s gonna win

in Louisiana? 

10 minutes ago, JohnSnowsHair said:

in Louisiana? 

Maybe. If he keeps that up. 

i'm seeing plenty of dr oz commercials on tv lately....well, the same "dems bad" commercial...but over & over. 

 

8 minutes ago, mr_hunt said:

i'm seeing plenty of dr oz commercials on tv lately....well, the same "dems bad" commercial...but over & over. 

 

He's so clearly playing to the Trumpbots: "I'm an outsider! I can't be bought!" 🙄

21 minutes ago, EaglesRocker97 said:

 

He's so clearly playing to the Trumpbots: "I'm an outsider! I can't be bought!" 🙄

snake oil salesman playing to the group that fell for trump's bullsheet seems like a solid strategy. 

Quote

https://www.kut.org/politics/2022-01-18/texas-says-supply-chain-issues-have-limited-the-number-of-voter-registration-forms-it-can-give-out

The Texas Secretary of State’s office is having more trouble than usual getting enough voter registration cards to groups who help Texans register to vote.

Sam Taylor, assistant secretary of state for communications, said supply chain issues have made it harder and more expensive to get paper, which means the Secretary of State's office will be giving out fewer voter registration forms to groups ahead of elections this year.

"We are limited in what we can supply this year, because of the paper shortage and the cost constraints due to the price of paper and the supply of paper,” he said.

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9 hours ago, EaglesRocker97 said:

 

He's so clearly playing to the Trumpbots: "I'm an outsider! I can't be bought!" 🙄

Yep, that's the only way to win, play to the Trumpbots. Or have the State House over turn the election for you.

16 minutes ago, jsdarkstar said:

Yep, that's the only way to win, play to the Trumpbots. Or have the State House over turn the election for you.

 

"If you want to win, lie; if you can't win, cheat!

Under present conditions 2020 was legitimate but 2022 is not. 😄

9 hours ago, lynched1 said:

Under present conditions 2020 was legitimate but 2022 is not. 😄

Building the narrative for "righteous indignation" when the Dems get their arses handed to them in the fall.

Anyone see the Trump adds attacking Dr. Oz as a Hollywood liberal and calling David McCormack and friend of China. :D

On 1/18/2022 at 5:26 PM, vikas83 said:

This guy rules

 

 

On 1/18/2022 at 5:48 PM, DaEagles4Life said:

 

An obese black dude whose whose main focus is weed, racism, and civil war era racial grievances! Sign me up! He's a star!

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NC political maps unconstitutionally gerrymandered, Supreme Court rules

The maps, drawn by Republican lawmakers late last year, would have given GOP candidates a sizable advantage in elections throughout the next decade.

Republican leaders argued in favor of the maps in court, saying redistricting is an inherently political process and that courts shouldn’t get involved by banning partisan gerrymandering.

The Supreme Court, which has a Democratic majority, disagreed.

The ruling divided the court along party lines. All three Republican justices dissented and said they would have allowed the maps to stand. But all four Democratic justices joined in the majority opinion, which struck down the maps for both the N.C. General Assembly and North Carolina’s 14 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives.

The justices ruled that the maps were skewed so far to the right that they violated the state constitution — specifically that they "are unconstitutional beyond a reasonable doubt under the free elections clause, the equal protection clause, the free speech clause and the freedom of assembly clause of North Carolina’s constitution.”

Their ruling orders new political districts to be redrawn. That’s expected to happen quickly, before this year’s elections.

 

To be sure, I'd like to see the same rulings in Illinois, New York, and Maryland. Gerrymandering is inherently anti-democratic.

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1 hour ago, Toty said:

For sure.

I think they should use some kind of game theoretical approach for redistricting.

The simplest problem in game theory is how to fairly divide something - say, a cake - between two people. The solution is for one person to slice the cake, while the other gets to choose which piece they want. This incentivizes the cutter to avoid making one piece too large, because the other person will certainly choose it.

Something like this could be adapted for redistricting.

File it under "nevergonnahappen"

The Supreme Court has suggested they would weigh in on gerrymandering more if there was an objective standard. The issue is that they are not clear on what that standard needs to look like other than that it needs to be easy. And Roberts himself has rejected some of the approaches as requiring too much math :rolleyes:

I'm not sure how you get to an objective standard on gerrymandering without math.

The efficiency gap calculation (which is objective and relatively simple) was punted on by the Supreme Court with the Wisconsin gerrymandering case. 

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17 minutes ago, Toty said:

Personally, I'd just as soon the districts not account for any demographic considerations whatsoever, whether racial, party affiliation, or whatever.

Just use existing geographical borders (like county lines) to make X regions of roughly equal population - then do it again every census. These weird, squiggly fractals are ridiculous.

That's more or less how California does it now. There is a mismatch in the number of counties vs house representation, but in general the mandate for maps in California is to keep communities together so that their interests are met by the reps.

I would love to see what California does adopted nationally. (I rarely say that. But in this instance, with the support and prodding of the Governator, they done good to solve this problem.)

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1 minute ago, Toty said:

Makes sense. A lot more sense than this.

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Yeah. Maryland is nuts gerrymandered.

Overall gerrymandering has benefited Republicans more than Democrats. But there are some bad gerrymanders on both sides.. "both sides.."

One of the reasons the expected advantage for Republicans from redistricting didn't materialize is because they're already so goddamn efficiently gerrymandered that they can't squeeze any more votes out. 2010 was an amazing leap forward in leveraging technology to really wring all the advantage you can get out of places like Wisconsin and NC. PA wasn't even that bad of a gerrymander by comparison, but it still got tossed and the SC refused to touch it. 

7 hours ago, JohnSnowsHair said:

Yeah. Maryland is nuts gerrymandered.

Overall gerrymandering has benefited Republicans more than Democrats. But there are some bad gerrymanders on both sides.. "both sides.."

One of the reasons the expected advantage for Republicans from redistricting didn't materialize is because they're already so goddamn efficiently gerrymandered that they can't squeeze any more votes out. 2010 was an amazing leap forward in leveraging technology to really wring all the advantage you can get out of places like Wisconsin and NC. PA wasn't even that bad of a gerrymander by comparison, but it still got tossed and the SC refused to touch it. 

It benefitted the dems for more and for longer until the gop was smart enough to target governor spots

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11 hours ago, ToastJenkins said:

It benefitted the dems for more and for longer until the gop was smart enough to target governor spots

I'd love to see information to back that up. I find it rather absurd to think a political party is not targeting governor seats.

Gerrymandering has a long history, but maps were not redrawn between 1900 and 1960. It was blacks starting to vote that reignited the Gerrymander practice.

Both parties have done it for sure. NY, MD, and the incoming Illinois maps are particularly bad. 

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Gary Chambers, the Louisiana candidate whose first ad with him smoking a blunt was pretty popular here, burns a confederate flag in his latest ad:

I like it. Though I wonder if some who were on board after his first may be shaken off with this latest.  

15 hours ago, JohnSnowsHair said:

Gary Chambers, the Louisiana candidate whose first ad with him smoking a blunt was pretty popular here, burns a confederate flag in his latest ad:

I like it. Though I wonder if some who were on board after his first may be shaken off with this latest.  

He’s a very dynamic speaker, has a good message and is a minority. I’d say he has a decent chance. Personally I’ve enjoyed his ads just for their originality alone. 

Quote

 

San Francisco residents overwhelmingly voted to oust three of the city’s progressive school-board members on Tuesday. It was the culmination of a year-long effort to reform the board, which has been accused of prioritizing social-justice politics over reopening schools and managing the district’s troubled finances during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Returns started coming in around 9 p.m. in California, showing that more than 70 percent of voters supported recalling each of the three candidates: 79 percent voted to recall board member Alison Collins, 75 percent voted to recall board president Gabriela López, and 73 percent voted to recall board member Faauuga Moliga.

 

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On 2/11/2022 at 9:42 AM, JohnSnowsHair said:

Gary Chambers, the Louisiana candidate whose first ad with him smoking a blunt was pretty popular here, burns a confederate flag in his latest ad:

I like it. Though I wonder if some who were on board after his first may be shaken off with this latest.  

Yeah, that's an awesome video. Don't think I've ever seen someone burn the Confederate Flag before. Epic. I hope he wins.

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