November 9, 20223 yr House/Senate are of course the top of the bill but the Governor races are super interesting as well. For example, it would be gold to see Lake lost in Arizona.
November 9, 20223 yr Just now, we_gotta_believe said: They'll change the messaging soon enough, just like they did after 2020. Remember that they weren't all in on the big lie right away, they even cut away from Trump's victory declaration on the night of, but sure enough they slowly acquiesced over time. It is worth watching to see. If they don't then it is a very good sign.
November 9, 20223 yr Just now, ToastJenkins said: Cool story Truth is a tough pull to swallow, I know. And believe me, I truly wish it weren't the case. This whole situation is F'ing sad.
November 9, 20223 yr Author 7 minutes ago, mayanh8 said: Looking like Masto in NV might have some late life left in Clark County. Who knows... but not ready to say she's dead yet. I'm not seeing that at all. Laxalt is up 22.6k right now. There's about 165k left in Clark, where Masto is running +5. If Clark holds at +5 it only makes up maybe 8k votes. Say she does a little better and makes up 10k votes. Washoe has 72k, but Laxalt is running ahead there.. say it ends up even, that would mean something an 8k gain tops. And that assumes the remaining count in Washoe seriously outperforms the count to this point. That's only 18k of the 22.6k Masto is already behind. The rest of the counties should add to Laxalt's lead. I think she's toast, outside of remaining Clark county vote going 2-1 for Masto. If that happens she nets more like 50k votes, but it would really defy the trends to this point. And it would mean Clark County went better than +10 for Masto. That would mean Masto would be outperforming Biden by 1-2 points, which seems unlikely. 13 minutes ago, EaglesRocker97 said: Looking good, but I ain't dancing yet, the Democrats need to win two out of AZ, NV, WI, and GA to maintain control of the Senate. If it's any of those it's AZ and GA.
November 9, 20223 yr 1 minute ago, DrPhilly said: House/Senate are of course the top of the bill but the Governor races are super interesting as well. For example, it would be gold to see Lake lost in Arizona. Having lived and voted in AZ, I was getting flooded with texts from both the Kelly campaign (throughout election season for donations) and 12 texts from the Lake campaign on election day to turnout the vote and then that she was filing suit.
November 9, 20223 yr 2 minutes ago, BBE said: It is worth watching to see. If they don't then it is a very good sign. I'd bet large sums of money on it. Once the predominant coverage flips from the pundits to the BS artists like Tucker and Hannity, they'll all line up again just like last time.
November 9, 20223 yr Just now, we_gotta_believe said: I'd bet large sums of money on it. Once the predominant coverage flips from the pundits to the BS artists like Tucker and Hannity, they'll all line up again just like last time. Let's just put it at I hope you are wrong there, but it will very much be the canary in the coal mine.
November 9, 20223 yr 1 minute ago, JohnSnowsHair said: I'm not seeing that at all. Laxalt is up 22.6k right now. There's about 165k left in Clark, where Masto is running +5. If Clark holds at +5 it only makes up maybe 8k votes. Say she does a little better and makes up 10k votes. Washoe has 72k, but Laxalt is running ahead there.. say it ends up even, that would mean something an 8k gain tops. And that assumes the remaining count in Washoe seriously outperforms the count to this point. That's only 18k of the 22.6k Masto is already behind. The rest of the counties should add to Laxalt's lead. I think she's toast, outside of remaining Clark county vote going 2-1 for Masto. If that happens she nets more like 50k votes, but it would really defy the trends to this point. And it would mean Clark County went better than +10 for Masto. That would mean Masto would be outperforming Biden by 1-2 points, which seems unlikely. From what I've seen, it's likely there are 100k mail ballots left in Clark.
November 9, 20223 yr Author 1 hour ago, BBE said: After this election? Hardly. The donor class of the party will see that he is shown the door. His endorsements only won in safe R districts with the exception of Boebert who is in real danger of losing. And goid riddance if she does lose. The outcome of this election shows that even though the Dems are vulnerable, the Reps going full crazy leads to terrible outcomes. Add the fact that the split Congress plays to the Dems as it will stop the bulk of their policies that could get them in trouble with the electorate. Now if you are right, then the Republicans are truly lost or they think they don't want to feed DeSantis to a woodchipper situation. The donor class has been replaced by the base. Maybe that can be reversed, but I'd have to see it to believe it. The best case scenario is to follow something like the Kemp / Youngkin model that keeps Trumpism (not Trump, Trumpism) at just enough arm's length to retain independents and swing voters. Then they can get back to the kabuki dance both parties do with the more extreme wings of their respective parties. Right now the crazies are still driving the bus on the right. This election may be the start of the moderate and sane Republicans (those that remain anyway) clawing it back, but it won't happen in one election unless it's a real shellacking - and this wasn't that. MTG and her ilk are still some of the biggest fundraisers.
November 9, 20223 yr 2 minutes ago, BBE said: Let's just put it at I hope you are wrong there, but it will very much be the canary in the coal mine. I hope I'm wrong too. I had hope that what happened in 2020 and stretched into 2021 would've sent a clear message to the GOP to reject the cancer that is Trump but we all saw what happened. Fool me once...
November 9, 20223 yr 12 minutes ago, lynched1 said: Brain damaged is a theme for you. So is winning. Better luck next time!
November 9, 20223 yr 1 minute ago, we_gotta_believe said: I hope I'm wrong too. I had hope that what happened in 2020 and stretched into 2021 would've sent a clear message to the GOP to reject the cancer that is Trump but we all saw what happened. Fool me once... Boebert losing will be a good thing. Unfortunately we are stuck with MTG because her district can't not vote for a Republican in the general. One can hope she gets Cawthorned.
November 9, 20223 yr 13 minutes ago, ToastJenkins said: Cool story Still pretending you aren't a trumpy? How cute!
November 9, 20223 yr Author 13 minutes ago, mayanh8 said: From what I've seen, it's likely there are 100k mail ballots left in Clark. so if 100k of the 164k outstanding votes in Clark go 2-1, that nets 33k. Washoe, if also 2-1, would net another 5k or so. IF that is true, Masto is alive but will still go down to the wire methinks.
November 9, 20223 yr 19 minutes ago, BBE said: They need to really take a long look in the mirror and realize Trump is poison. Its always a process. This result is part of that. they need to turn over leadership and get younger but that always comes far too late
November 9, 20223 yr 45 minutes ago, EaglesRocker97 said: Leave it to Lynched to start low-key wishing for an elected official's death right after their election. that is an edgy take.
November 9, 20223 yr 44 minutes ago, ToastJenkins said: Typical emotional arc… Denial, anger and sadness now. Rationalization later Aaaaaaand there it is. Projecting much?
November 9, 20223 yr 39 minutes ago, BBE said: Let's just put it at I hope you are wrong there, but it will very much be the canary in the coal mine. alexa, play the album zenyatta mondatta, track #4 ....
November 9, 20223 yr 38 minutes ago, ToastJenkins said: Lets hope so. It will require and actual plan and more importantly a single candidate to organize around There's the rub. I can easily see the GOP trying to move on from Trump. What I can't see is him conceding the primary amicably without dragging away his supports in a hissy fit.
November 9, 20223 yr 1 minute ago, DEagle7 said: There's the rub. I can easily see the GOP trying to move on from Trump. What I can't see is him conceding the primary amicably without dragging away his supports in a hissy fit. the gop needs a flush. let them all go with him. bye felicia.
November 9, 20223 yr It's easy to say the GOP's poised to move on from Trump a day after a disappointing Rep election, but no chance they actually do it. When has a postmortem on the right ever caused them to moderate? Not once that I'm aware of. They did a postmortem after Romney and they ended up pushing the party as far the to the extremes as possible in 2016. They have 1 move and it's to double down every single time. I'd love to be proven wrong, but since it's literally never happened, I think you'd be crazy to bet on it.
November 9, 20223 yr Author 4 minutes ago, downundermike said: Oz concedes to Fetterman. what a ****. he should have claimed voter fraud, convened a press conference at a landscaping company, and jammed up courts with frivolous lawsuits paid for by sycophantic supporters. that's what a real man would do.
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