Weekly line thread: Eagles -7 vs. Jags

[Hawkeye]

Against all preseason predictions, Jags at Eagles is the game of the week (okay maybe Chiefs/Bucs but you get the idea).  Eagles are a healthy 7 point home favorite as Doug returns for the first time.  Jacksonville is 2-1 and just thumped the AFC darling Chargers. Their analytics are excellent.  They are the definition of a live underdog.

Spread: Eagles -7
Total: 48.5
Money line: Eagles - 305/Jags +255

[UK_EaglesFan89]

Jags pose a threat in this one. They have talent and they have a very good HC. This one won't be easy and Doug will be fired up for this. 

But I think we get it done... 23-20.

[toolg]

Anybody see this? 

 

[time2rock]

1 hour ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

Jags pose a threat in this one. They have talent and they have a very good HC. This one won't be easy and Doug will be fired up for this. 

But I think we get it done... 23-20.

Boy how times have changed. 

 

[kiwinavega]

I'm not a gambler, but I don't think I would go anywhere near that. If pressed, I would take the Eagles to cover the spread.

[toolg]

The Jags have the makings of a good team. They just beat up a wounded Chargers team in LA... But the Eagles are the better team right now. Eagles are playing well, they are the home team on Sunday, they deserve to be the favorite. 28-20 Eagles win.

[Cochis_Calhoun]

Jacksonville have had luck on their side since they managed to lose to Washington week 1, they got Indy with no receivers and the Chargers with one receiver and a gimpy Herbert.

They're flattering to deceive, Eagles to win handily.

[Pliny]

I can't stand Dallas.  But, they are not going to roll over with that defense.  And, Cooper Rush looks every bit as good as Dak right now.

[Portyansky]

30 minutes ago, Pliny said:

I can't stand Dallas.  But, they are not going to roll over with that defense.  And, Cooper Rush looks every bit as good as Dak right now.

What does that have to do with us playing the Jags?

41-13 Eagles. And yes, we score in the 2nd half.

[Mat]

The Jags look competent and it's going to be a tough game. I think it's going to be a lot closer than people think

[FranklinFldEBUpper]

9 hours ago, toolg said:

Anybody see this? 

 

I observed this possibility before the season started but didn't want to get labeled as an idiotic homer for commenting about it. In other words, if the favorites were to win every game, every week, then as the season progressed and new opinions about the strength of the teams would emerge, the Eagles would have a VERY GOOD record. 

[dawkins4prez]

They've won last 2 games 62-10 that's nothing to sneeze at.  Colts and Chargers may be frauds but they aren't bottom feeders.  Still got the Eagles 29-23.

[Mike030270]

I picked Jags as a bounce back team with Lawrence in his actual 2nd year

Has Doug's play calling improved?

[nipples]

2 minutes ago, Mike030270 said:

I picked Jags as a bounce back team with Lawrence in his actual 2nd year

Has Doug's play calling improved?

I never thought it was that bad to begin with. Not much you can call when your QB plays like trash. 

[Mike030270]

3 minutes ago, nipples said:

I never thought it was that bad to begin with. Not much you can call when your QB plays like trash. 

2017-2019 was trash to you?

[nipples]

3 minutes ago, Mike030270 said:

2017-2019 was trash to you?

You’re saying playcalling was bad in 2017? OK…

And yeah, more often than not QB play was underwhelming in ‘18-‘19. 
 

Doug got a raw deal and we’re seeing that now. He’ll have that Jags team turned around FAST, and it’s already starting. 

[Mike030270]

3 minutes ago, nipples said:

You’re saying playcalling was bad in 2017? OK…

And yeah, more often than not QB play was underwhelming in ‘18-‘19. 
 

Doug got a raw deal and we’re seeing that now. He’ll have that Jags team turned around FAST, and it’s already starting. 

You need to re-read those posts because you seem confused...

You said the QB was playing like trash and I questioned whether 2017-2019 was trash to you and then you say I called the play calling trash in 2017

Maybe you need some coffee?

[nipples]

10 minutes ago, Mike030270 said:

You need to re-read those posts because you seem confused...

You said the QB was playing like trash and I questioned whether 2017-2019 was trash to you and then you say I called the play calling trash in 2017

Maybe you need some coffee?

You’re the one confused apparently. You asked if Doug’s playcalling improved, which insinuates that it wasn’t good here. I stated that he’s always been fine as a play caller, it’s the QB that held them back. 
 

The fact that you lumped 2017 in with 2018 and 2019 is what doesn’t make sense. QB play was good in 2017, not 2018-2019.  

[Mat]

1 hour ago, Mike030270 said:

I picked Jags as a bounce back team with Lawrence in his actual 2nd year

Has Doug's play calling improved?

It looked pretty good in the first half of the Colts game that I watched 

[Mike030270]

53 minutes ago, nipples said:

You’re the one confused apparently. You asked if Doug’s playcalling improved, which insinuates that it wasn’t good here. I stated that he’s always been fine as a play caller, it’s the QB that held them back. 
 

The fact that you lumped 2017 in with 2018 and 2019 is what doesn’t make sense. QB play was good in 2017, not 2018-2019.  

It wasn't here at times. He even had a revolving door at position coaches

Agree to disagree on the rest

[JournalistMic]

On 9/26/2022 at 12:01 PM, Hawkeye said:

Against all preseason predictions, Jags at Eagles is the game of the week (okay maybe Chiefs/Bucs but you get the idea).  Eagles are a healthy 7 point home favorite as Doug returns for the first time.  Jacksonville is 2-1 and just thumped the AFC darling Chargers. Their analytics are excellent.  They are the definition of a live underdog.

Spread: Eagles -7
Total: 48.5
Money line: Eagles - 305/Jags +255

Does this mean that we can't still call ourselves the underdogs anymore and not wear dog hats?

Eagles are 3-0 in NFC (1-0 in NFC East)!  This is the first AFC game of the season against the team that leads the AFC South (worst division in the NFL).

The Jaguars are the best against the run, and only allowed 38 points after three games (28 Commanders, Colts were shutout team that defeated the Chiefs, and Chargers only scored 10 points). This game worries me because the Eagles might be too confident going into the game, and Doug Pederson would love nothing more than to defeat the Eagles to prove that GM Howie shouldn't have fired him. 

I hope the Eagles score often and early and put this game away by half time like they did the Commanders.

[SkippyX]

The problem with laying 7 is if the Eagles are up by 13 with 2:30 to play they might play prevent and let the Jags score a 2:20 and 3 timeout drive TD.

They win easy and you lose your money.

I think the Eagles win 75% of the time and win by 7+ 45% of the time but they only play once, not 1000 simulations.

[SkippyX]

11 hours ago, nipples said:

The fact that you lumped 2017 in with 2018 and 2019 is what doesn’t make sense. QB play was good in 2017, not 2018-2019.  

The QB play was better than good all 3 years.

I don't like Wentz but in 2019 he carried a team free of NFL level WRs to 9-7 and only 9-7 because of some huge drops.

In 2018 he played well statistically. He was 5-6 because he made 3 or 4 terrible reads late in 3 very winnable games.

2018-2019 Wentz  might not have been great QB play or clutch QB play but it was far above good QB play.

[jamiller]

On 9/26/2022 at 12:03 PM, Cochis_Calhoun said:

They're flattering to deceive,

Nice...

[SkippyX]

Hurts is 8-1 in his last 9 starts because in the loss this was Jalen Reagor.

 

The same thing happened to Wentz a bunch in 2019 (different targets)

That's not bad QB play.