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***Official*** E!A!G!L!E!S! EAGLES! Ongoing PBP Thread

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8 hours ago, mikemack8 said:

I know I did a terrible job of saying it, but I was agreeing with you :lol: I was just trying to talk out what I think Carson was thinking when choosing that throw 

Maybe he needs another concussion to square things back up in there!

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4 minutes ago, hputenis said:

The Eagles have made Seattle's defense look like the legion of boom in their prime..........every single time they've played them since.  

Sad but true. Not since 2008 have we beaten them. Todd Herremans had a TD catch in that game. Maybe we need to re-sign him lol.

6 minutes ago, hputenis said:

National Lampoon Christmas Vacation :) | Christmas vacation movie, National  lampoons christmas vacation, Christmas vacation costumes

That’s exactly what I was thinking of when I said that :lol: 

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Philadelphia Eagles coach Doug Pederson given no assurance he'll finish season

Philadelphia Eagles coach Doug Pederson said he has received no assurances from the front office that he will keep his job for the remainder of the season, but is "not going there mentally" when it comes to his job security.

"Listen, I've been around this league a long time, 25 years I believe as a player and a coach, and we're always based on and evaluated on our performance," he said. "Right now, that's obviously not my concern as far as that decision goes. That's out of my hands. But what's in my hands and in my control is getting the team prepared and ready for Green Bay this weekend."

The Eagles are in the midst of a three-game slide that has dropped them to 3-7-1 on the season and into third place in the historically bad NFC East. Quarterback Carson Wentz has regressed dramatically in Year 5 and the offense has tied a season low in points with 17 in each of the last three weeks.

Pederson said that temporarily giving up playcalling is "on the table" -- the first time he's been open to the idea publicly -- but suggested a change there wasn't imminent.

With facilities across the NFL closed Tuesday, Pederson did his day-after news conference from his home office. In the background was a towering bookshelf lined with awards and memorabilia. Dominating the scene just off to his right was a replica of the Lombardi Trophy -- a not-so-subtle reminder of the unparalleled heights he helped lift this franchise to a short time ago.

It was with that backdrop that Pederson faced questions about his job security for the first time.

He has guided the Eagles to the playoffs in each of the last three seasons, starting with their Super Bowl run in 2017, but the offense has grown stagnant over the last two years. That has not gone unnoticed by owner Jeffrey Lurie, who skipped their Week 11 game at the Cleveland Browns in part out of frustration, sources told ESPN.

With the team reeling, there are some on the inside who believe that Pederson needs to lead Philadelphia to a division title in 2020 to keep his job.

"Our relationship is good. We communicate a lot throughout the week," Pederson said of Lurie. "We have our typical weekly meeting and cover a lot of ground.

"But that relationship is good. Listen, some of these questions might be for Mr. Lurie obviously, but my job is to prepare the team and get ready for Green Bay."

 

I guess I'm in the minority here, but I'm still fine with riding with Wentz right now as long as the team does everything they can to get him out of this funk.  I just don't know how they can do that with all the incompetence on that team, the coaching staff, and the front office.  

1) The right side of the OL last night was absolutely putrid.  Peters is a walking corpse, and he shouldn't be allowed on the field.  Pryor at RT was even worse.  

2) People want to point to a select 2-3 plays during the game where Wentz misses an open receiver.  I agree that he needs to hit these.  There were 55 other plays where the receivers couldn't even get off press coverage before Wentz was getting destroyed within 2 seconds.  If they were beating press, they created absolutely no separation at all.  Wentz doesn't have the luxury of having Mahomes or Wilson type receivers that create separation on almost every single play.  When they miss a throw, they can go right back the same play and it's wide open.  We have limited opportunities because of terrible playmakers and horrific play calling.  

3) How in the world can they run the ball 9 times with what is going on?  Wentz drops back 50 times.  They are turning him into the next version of David Carr, and I almost don't blame him.  

I can probably go on, but I think these all contribute to this downward spiral from Wentz.  He sucks right now, and I blame a huge portion of it on Howie, the coaching, and the perfect storm of things I listed above that are mentally breaking this dude.  

Wentz should stay in Hurts should be traded. Howie needs to go at this point or there needs to be big personnel shifts. 

23 minutes ago, OCEaglefan said:

Wentz should stay in Hurts should be traded. Howie needs to go at this point or there needs to be big personnel shifts. 

Agreed.  He's not an NFL QB.  I have no interest seeing what a decent running QB with extremely limited arm strength can do.  

3 hours ago, hputenis said:

He seems to be sort of a hidden gem, making tons of plays in the run game.  I also have no doubt he gets benched once Nate "the Trouser Snake" Gerry comes back from IR.  

If you added a stud draft pick at LB to Singleton and Edwards it might actually be a pretty good group. 

But we're the Eagles and that means there's absolutely no way it's happening. We'll take our Nate Gerry's and like it!

6 minutes ago, Dawkins 20 said:

If you added a stud draft pick at LB to Singleton and Edwards it might actually be a pretty good group. 

But we're the Eagles and that means there's absolutely no way it's happening. We'll take our Nate Gerry's and like it!

Ray Liotta Laughing GIFs | Tenor

Patrick Queen was there for the taking this year. Would've been a no brainer pick and that's not hindsight. A lot of people here wanted him, especially after Lamb was off the board. 

2 minutes ago, Dawkins 20 said:

Patrick Queen was there for the taking this year. Would've been a no brainer pick and that's not hindsight. A lot of people here wanted him, especially after Lamb was off the board. 

I was definitely a fan of Queen, and I'm probably in the minority here, but I actually believe in the philosophy that LBs are a lower priority position than most in today's NFL.  I'd rather them swing and miss like usual on a DE, DT, OL, WR, or maybe a corner this year.  They only keep 2 LBs on the field the majority of snaps anyway and pray to the gods that the DL blows up the play.  

**With that being said, I whole heartedly disagree with Howie's ignorant neglect of the entire position.  He drafts a safety from Nebraska in the 5th and expects him to transform into a serviceable LB in the NFL?  That's total neglect, and it shows.  We are honestly lucky to have Singleton and Edwards on this roster.  No clue why Riley was on the field last night.  That made me chug bourbon on the first defensive snap.  

 

6 hours ago, hputenis said:

I was definitely a fan of Queen, and I'm probably in the minority here, but I actually believe in the philosophy that LBs are a lower priority position than most in today's NFL.  I'd rather them swing and miss like usual on a DE, DT, OL, WR, or maybe a corner this year.  They only keep 2 LBs on the field the majority of snaps anyway and pray to the gods that the DL blows up the play.  

**With that being said, I whole heartedly disagree with Howie's ignorant neglect of the entire position.  He drafts a safety from Nebraska in the 5th and expects him to transform into a serviceable LB in the NFL?  That's total neglect, and it shows.  We are honestly lucky to have Singleton and Edwards on this roster.  No clue why Riley was on the field last night.  That made me chug bourbon on the first defensive snap.  

 

The real question though is, if Riley wasn’t on the field for the first defensive snap, would you have been chugging bourbon anyways?? 🤨

10 hours ago, Dawkins 20 said:

Patrick Queen was there for the taking this year. Would've been a no brainer pick and that's not hindsight. A lot of people here wanted him, especially after Lamb was off the board. 

And miss out on Reagor?

10 hours ago, Dawkins 20 said:

Patrick Queen was there for the taking this year. Would've been a no brainer pick and that's not hindsight. A lot of people here wanted him, especially after Lamb was off the board. 

Pssh...Jeremy Chinn was there and we took Hurts instead.  Chinn scored as many TDs as the eagles offense last week.

Just now, rambo said:

Pssh...Jeremy Chinn was there and we took Hurts instead.  Chinn scored as many TDs as the eagles offense last week.

Imagine how much better our defense would look if we had Chinn at safety over Mills and Queen at LB over Gerry/Riley/whatever other scrub. That's not even far-fetched either... several people around here were pounding the table for both players at draft time, and we're basically retahded.

Instead, we got a gadget QB that runs one yard dives while our other QB is lined up at WR, and an "explosive" receiver that can't beat press coverage.

:worthy:Howie

 

4 minutes ago, Dawkins 20 said:

Imagine how much better our defense would look if we had Chinn at safety over Mills and Queen at LB over Gerry/Riley/whatever other scrub. That's not even far-fetched either... several people around here were pounding the table for both players at draft time, and we're basically retahded.

Instead, we got a gadget QB that runs one yard dives while our other QB is lined up at WR, and an "explosive" receiver that can't beat press coverage.

:worthy:Howie

 

And we have a 100 million dollar QB whose brain is broken and can't identify that the "explosive" WR is completely uncovered and opts to hold the ball behind his broken o-line waiting for his TE to uncover.   We've got a promising young WR that is losing snaps to a vet WR who is running in quicksand and throws the QB under the bus behind his back.  I bet $100 that Gerry comes back and takes Singleton's snaps, too.  A 39 y/o tackle who can barely move anymore taking reps from a promising young LT.  Seriously, F 2020 and the Eagles right now.  You couldn't have drawn up a better dumpster fire.  Oh and the cool part is they're capped out for years to come with these turds.

27 minutes ago, Dawkins 20 said:

Imagine how much better our defense would look if we had Chinn at safety over Mills and Queen at LB over Gerry/Riley/whatever other scrub. That's not even far-fetched either... several people around here were pounding the table for both players at draft time, and we're basically retahded.

Instead, we got a gadget QB that runs one yard dives while our other QB is lined up at WR, and an "explosive" receiver that can't beat press coverage.

:worthy:Howie

 

But if Howie isn't running the show, how in the world would we be in a position where we can't cut a crappy kicker until 2022?  That's stability!  

9 minutes ago, paco said:

But if Howie isn't running the show, how in the world would we be in a position where we can't cut a crappy kicker until 2022?  That's stability!  

Sad.  It makes you yearn for the Joe Banner days.

13 minutes ago, paco said:

But if Howie isn't running the show, how in the world would we be in a position where we can't cut a crappy kicker until 2022?  That's stability!  

He'll just restructure some aging vet's contract. Problem solved. Cap genius!

WRs are getting open 

https://imgur.com/a/jgDpazQ

Comparing Howie Roseman’s drafting performance to the rest of the NFL

How does the Eagles’ general manager stack up against his peers?

The Eagles are in a tailspin. At 3-7-1, they are poised to finish near the bottom of the NFC East, a division on pace to become the worst division in NFL history. The team is a far cry from the 2017 team, which was so deep that it won the Super Bowl despite suffering significant injuries.

The precipitous slide begs the question: how in the hell did we get here?

There is no shortage of blame to go around. Carson Wentz looks like a shell of his former self, playing statistically and on film like a bottom five quarterback in the league. Doug Pederson, hired, in part, because of his experience playing quarterback, has been incapable of breaking Wentz out of his slump, and his offense has become as stale and predictable as the Chip Kelly-led Eagles in 2015.

But the problems go beyond just the quarterback and head coach. The roster is old, expensive, and bad. The man responsible for constructing this roster, Howie Roseman, has no one left to blame but himself.

It is no secret that Roseman struggles in the draft. The entire 2017 NFL Draft class flopped, with only two of the eight selections left on the team, one of whom – Nate Gerry – arguably does not belong in the NFL, and the other – Derek Barnett – has maxed out as a league average defensive end.

You might not have heard this before, but Roseman also drafted J.J. Arcega-Whiteside over D.K. Metcalf and Terry McLaurin, then doubled down on wide receiver mistakes by taking Jalen Reagor over Justin Jefferson, who already looks like a legitimate superstar. Roseman also wasted a second round pick on a backup quarterback, and used his third round selection on a linebacker that is apparently so raw he cannot earn playing time with one of the worst linebacker units in the NFL.

But this article isn’t meant to rehash Howie Roseman’s mistakes in the draft. In fairness, every general manager misses in the draft. Just look at the last three New England Patriots drafts.

The more important question we should consider is how Roseman drafts relative to his peers.

In an article posted on Football Outsiders, Benjamin Ellinger helps us do just that. Ellinger analyzed how each team has performed in the NFL Draft from 2010-2019, relying on two basic metrics: Chase Stuart’s draft value chart, which is generally considered a more reliable measure of a draft pick’s value than the famed draft value chart created by Jimmy Johnson, and the career approximate value of the players drafted, a metric created by Pro-Football-Reference that attempts to quantify a player’s value relative to the league.

Using this information, Ellinger evaluates three aspects of the draft: (1) draft capital, or the amount of picks a team has had each year; (2) draft return, or the amount of return each team received from the picks it used; and (3) the team’s efficiency, or the return each team received relative to its draft capital.

This study is useful for Eagles fans because it coincides with Howie Roseman’s tenure as the Eagles’ general manager, with the exception of one year – 2015, when Chip Kelly was in charge of personnel. If you had asked me before I looked over this data where Roseman ranked relative to his peers, I would have guessed in the middle of the pack. Because, while he has some well-publicized misses, he also had a hand in drafting Brandon Graham, Jason Kelce, Fletcher Cox, Lane Johnson, Zach Ertz, and Carson Wentz, to name a few.

So I was surprised to learn that, in each of these metrics, Roseman ranked in the bottom half of the NFL over the last 10 years. If you narrow our focus to the last five years, when Roseman had total control over personnel, the Eagles rank in the bottom 5-10 teams in the league depending on the metric you viewed.

Not great!

Before getting to the meat of the study, a few caveats to pacify the "well-actually” crowd:

  1. According to Jeffrey Lurie, Roseman did not have final say over personnel from 2010-2012. Andy Reid did. However, if you removed those years from the equation it would actually hurt Roseman’s performance more than it would help him. So I am leaving those years in to give Roseman the benefit of the doubt.
  2. As I mentioned above, this study includes 2015, the year Roseman did not have personnel control. I adjust for this by removing the 2015 season from the analysis. It is worth noting, however, that doing so did not change the outcome of the study in any meaningful way.
  3. This metric is by no means perfect, it is but one method for evaluating the evaluators. But the conclusions it reaches seem reasonable. Indeed, the teams at the top of the list – the Seahawks, Patriots, Steelers, and Ravens – coincide with the teams that have performed best in the NFL over the last decade, while the teams near the bottom of these rankings – the Jets, Cardinals, and Bengals – are typically at the bottom of NFL standings.
  4. We cannot discount the role luck plays in the draft. Ellinger reaches the same conclusion, stating: "What this all tells me is that drafting well is a lot of luck, mixed with some skill and an extra layer of a random ‘jackpot’ on top.” Of course, skill still plays a part. And that is why we this study is important.

With those caveats out of the way, let’s dig in.

Draft Capital

Because the draft is a crapshoot, smart NFL franchises have stopped trying to "beat” the draft, and instead focus on volume based drafting. The theory, broken down in simple terms, is that having more picks gives you a better chance of finding good players. Former Sixers general manager Sam Hinkie used this concept when formulating his blueprint for the "Process”, as he once explained:

"We will not bat a thousand on every single draft pick. We also have them by the bushelful, in part, because of that. We don’t have any hubris that we will get them all right. We’re not certain that we have an enormous edge over anybody else. In some cases, we might not have an edge at all.”

The following charts represent the total draft capital each team had in the last 10 and five years, respectively. On the left, we see that the Eagles rank middle of the pack – 17th overall – in terms of overall draft capital in the last 10 years. That ranking was heavily aided by the 2010 and 2011 drafts, when the Eagles had a whopping 24 picks in two seasons.

Screen_Shot_2020_12_03_at_10.15.38_PM.pn

The second chart measures draft capital from 2015-2019, which coincides with Howie Roseman having complete control over personnel. During this time period, the Eagles rank tied for dead last among NFL teams in terms of draft capital.

 

We know why this occurred: the Eagles traded five draft picks to move up to draft Carson Wentz in 2016. From 2017-19, Roseman traded numerous day two and three picks for veterans such as Jay Ajayi, Golden Tate, and Timmy Jernigan, to prolong the Eagles’ championship window.

The moves paid dividends in 2017, as they helped the Eagles win their first Super Bowl in franchise history. But Roseman’s trades were not as effective in subsequent years. Armed with less draft picks than any team in the league, the Eagles went from Super Bowl champion to an old, injury depleted roster.

Draft Return

The draft return is measured by adding up the approximate value each draft pick has contributed during his career. Here is how the teams rank based on 10-year returns:

Screen_Shot_2020_12_03_at_10.16.19_PM.pn

Perennial contenders Seattle, Baltimore, Green Bay, Kansas City, New England, and Pittsburgh all rank in the top 10. Whereas some of the worst teams in the league, including the Jets, Chargers, and Bears, rank towards the bottom.

 

The Eagles rank 23rd in the NFL during this time period. Not surprisingly, the 2012 and 2013 draft classes, which saw the Eagles net Fletcher Cox, Lane Johnson, Zach Ertz, and Nick Foles, yielded the highest return for the Eagles. These drafts were also two of the better drafts in the NFL in those years, ranking second in 2012 and fourth in 2013 in terms of overall draft return.

But that’s where the good news ends. The 2014 class, where the Eagles took Marcus Smith, Jordan Matthews, and Josh Huff, had the fifth lowest return in the entire NFL. And if you examine the five-year window of 2015-2019, when Roseman had final say over the Eagles roster (save for one year), the Eagles rank second last, behind only the New York Jets, in terms of the overall return received from their draft picks.

Second to last!

Screen_Shot_2020_12_03_at_10.18.27_PM.pn

Even if you remove 2015 from the equation – the year that Chip Kelly was general manager of the Eagles – the result is still the same: the Eagles draft return over this time period is 2.42%, which still ranks second to last.

The results should not be all that surprising. The Eagles draft classes ranked in the bottom ten in three out of the four classes when Roseman was in charge: 2017 (7th lowest return), 2018 (tied for dead last), and 2019 (8th lowest return).

Bottom line, the Eagles have not had successful drafts under Howie Roseman. That is especially true since he took over personal in 2016.

Draft Efficiency

The final metric to consider is a team’s draft efficiency; that is, how much return did the team receive relative to its draft capital?

Again, we see that the teams towards the top of the NFL standings over the last 10 years rank towards the top of this list as well: Seattle, Green Bay, Dallas, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Baltimore, Kansas City, and New England. The Eagles rank 18th, which is almost identical to the amount of draft capital they had during this same time period (17th).

Screen_Shot_2020_12_03_at_10.19.26_PM.pn

But if we again narrow our focus to the last five years, when Roseman had final say of the roster, the picture gets bleak: the Eagles rank 24th out of 32 teams in draft efficiency from 2015 to present. Even if you removed 2015 from the equation, the Eagles still rank 20th in the NFL in terms of efficiency in draft, which is not a recipe for prolonged success in the NFL:

Screen_Shot_2020_12_03_at_10.23.27_PM.pn

 

Conclusion

Again, the purpose of this article isn’t to rehash the mistakes Howie Roseman has made in the draft. The purpose was to instead provide you with some objective evidence to measure Howie Roseman against his peers. Based on these metrics, Howie Roseman ranks in the bottom third of the NFL in some instances, and the bottom five in others.

Roseman used to compensate for his suspect track record in the draft by making shrewd free agent signings, winning trades, and deftly managing the Eagles’ salary cap. Since 2018, however, he no longer excels in those areas either. The end result is an old, expensive, injury prone and, quite, frankly, bad, roster that is perfectly reflected by its 3-7-1 record.

 

 

Welcome to another tailspin torture Sunday game day!

44 minutes ago, DiPros said:

Welcome to another tailspin torture Sunday game day!

Why bother. Player and team meetings wont stop the ass whopping they about to get 

 

Even their tweets are Fing lame

 

 

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