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How Many Receiving Yards Will Jalen Reagor Have in 2020?


Procus
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https://www.si.com/gambling/2020/05/03/jalen-reagor-eagles-receiving-yards-prop-bet?utm_campaign=sinow&utm_medium=social&xid=socialflow_twitter_si&utm_source=twitter.com

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NFL Prop Bet: How Many Receiving Yards Will Jalen Reagor Have in 2020?

The Philadelphia Eagles took Jalen Reagor with the No. 21 overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. How many receiving yards will he have as a rookie?
 
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Jalen Reagor Receiving Odds FanDuel
 
 

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In a record-setting NFL Draft, 13 wide receivers were selected during the first two rounds. Few teams needed more help at wide receiver than Philadelphia, who drafted Jalen Reagor as the fourth receiver taken. Henry Ruggs III, Jerry Jeudy, and CeeDee Lamb went before him. As part of numerous rookie prop options, FanDuel bookmakers have posted a prop on Reagor’s 2020 receiving yard total. The over/under is set at 700.5 yards with (-112) as the juice on either side.

Meet the Eagles’ Newest Weapon: Jalen Reagor

Jalen Reagor joins the Eagles after playing three seasons at Texas Christian University. Reagor opened his career with the Horned Frogs by posting 576 yards and eight touchdowns during his freshman season. Those numbers include 169 receiving yards and a 93-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Kenny Hill in a 39-37 victory over Stanford in the 2017 Valero Alamo Bowl. While it was the first time Reagor led TCU in receiving - it was far from the last time.

Picking up where he left off, Reagor was the top receiver in eight of the Horned Frogs 13 games during his sophomore year. Leading TCU in all three categories, Reagor set career-high marks with 72 receptions, 1,106 receiving yards, and nine touchdowns. Showing his versatility, he also added 170 rushing yards and two scores. Inconsistent quarterback play, plus a dismal 5-7 team record, led a drop off as Reagor posted 611 yards and five TD during his junior season.

 

What Does History Tell Us About Rookie Wide Receivers?

Often noted as a difficult position to transition to at the NFL level, several wide receivers have enjoyed success during their rookie season recently. For example, Tennessee wideout A. J. Brown, who hauled in 1,051 receiving yards, there were five first-year receivers posted at least 700 receiving yards in 2019. Terry McLaurin (919) from Washington, DK Metcalf (900) from Seattle, Deebo Samuel (802) from San Francisco, and Darius Slay (740) from New York were also in that group.

The numbers drop of slightly after that as three rookies topped 700 yards during the 2018 and 2017 seasons. Michael Thomas (1,137) was the only first-year receiver to top 700 yards in 2016 while Amari Cooper (1,070) and Stefon Diggs (720) did it in 2015. Of the 12 wideouts selected in the 2014 draft, Odell Beckham (1,305) and Mike Evans (1,051) led a group of six receivers who surpassed 700 yards. The 2020 receiver draft class is being compared to the 2014 class.

Related Receiving Prop Betting Options

As to be expected, from a wide receiver rich draft, several regular-season prop-betting options focus on the rookie wideouts. A surprise to some, Henry Ruggs III (Alabama) was the first wide receiver selected as he went at No. 12 to the Las Vegas Raiders. His over/under total is posted at 800.5 receiving yards at Bovada and SI betting analyst Jamie Eisner suggests betting UNDER on that prop.

Pegged by many to be the first wide receiver selected, Ruggs’ Crimson Tide teammate Jerry Jeudy went second at No. 15 to Denver. Bookmakers at FanDuel have set Jeudy's total receiving yards at 824.5 with (-112) juice on both sides. The Broncos were thrilled when Jeudy fell to them, and SI betting analyst Corey Parson suggests betting OVER on that prop. Jeudy will form a dynamic duel with Courtland Sutton.

Eagles’ 2020 Offense

Injuries stymied the Eagles' passing offense last season. Alshon Jeffery played ten games while DeSean Jackson appeared in just three contests, and they posted a combined 649 receiving yards and six TD. That led to tight ends Zach Ertz (916/6) and Dallas Goedert (607/5) being the leading receivers for Philadelphia. Nelsen Agholor signed as a free agent with the Las Vegas Raiders, and SI fantasy guru Shawn Childs has Reagor starting as the WR3 in Philadelphia.

Bottom Line

Reagor played slot and wide receiver, lined up in the backfield, plus returned kicks at TCU. That versatility is similar to Deebo Samuel in San Francisco, and Reagor should get a lot of playing time during his rookie season. The health of Jeffery and Jackson will determine how much he plays at wide receiver. With his speed, plus the versatility to line up anywhere on the field, I like OVER as the best bet on Reagor’s NFL 2020 receiving prop option.

The Play: OVER 700.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

 

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I think Reagor’s going to surprise a lot of people and I expect around 900 yards and 6 TDs

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700 is my guess. Wentz will still target Ertz and Goedert. We still have sanders out of the backfield and Desean at least for a game maybe two this year. 

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If he gets close to the O/U (700 yds) in his rookie season I'll be thrilled.  

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11 minutes ago, time2rock said:

If he gets close to the O/U (800 yds) in his rookie season I'll be thrilled.  

Is that a Vegas line? 

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2 hours ago, 20dawk4life said:

700 is my guess. Wentz will still target Ertz and Goedert. We still have sanders out of the backfield and Desean at least for a game maybe two this year. 

And that's okay.  Torrey Smith did not have such a good season for the Eagles in 2017, but having him healthy for the season opened things up underneath for the TE's and for the running game.  Imagine what having difference makers on the outside could do.

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1 hour ago, 20dawk4life said:

Is that a Vegas line? 

FanDuel.  And it was a typo ... should be 700 not 800.

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50 minutes ago, Procus said:

And that's okay.  Torrey Smith did not have such a good season for the Eagles in 2017, but having him healthy for the season opened things up underneath for the TE's and for the running game.  Imagine what having difference makers on the outside could do.

Agreed. I’m perfectly fine with 45 catches 700 yards and 5 tds 

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I'd go with... 35 for 600 and 4 TDs. And I think that could potentially be good production on a team hopefully building to spread the ball around. 

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2 hours ago, Procus said:

And that's okay.  Torrey Smith did not have such a good season for the Eagles in 2017, but having him healthy for the season opened things up underneath for the TE's and for the running game.  Imagine what having difference makers on the outside could do.

 

1 hour ago, 20dawk4life said:

Agreed. I’m perfectly fine with 45 catches 700 yards and 5 tds 

I actually think Torrey Smith's contribution was a little overrated in 2017. He had lost a bit of speed by then and although he could still run, I don't think teams were keeping a safety back on him at all times (11.9 average).

I think Reagor will have a better season than that, but if he and Jackson can get 1300-1400 yards together combined, then they will have done their job.

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8 minutes ago, ManchesterEagle said:

I actually think Torrey Smith's contribution was a little overrated in 2017.

I don't think his contribution was overrated... I think everyone recognises he didn't have a huge impact during the regular season bar the odd big play or DPI call. But in the play offs he really had an impact. 

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2 minutes ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

I don't think his contribution was overrated... I think everyone recognises he didn't have a huge impact during the regular season bar the odd big play or DPI call. But in the play offs he really had an impact. 

He was definitely more effective in the playoffs - I'll give you that!

Still dropped 2-3 very catchable balls though.

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13 minutes ago, ManchesterEagle said:

I actually think Torrey Smith's contribution was a little overrated in 2017. He had lost a bit of speed by then and although he could still run, I don't think teams were keeping a safety back on him at all times (11.9 average).

I think Reagor will have a better season than that, but if he and Jackson can get 1300-1400 yards together combined, then they will have done their job.

I don't think his contribution was overrated because it was never rated that high to begin with.  As UK noted, he did perform well in the playoffs - especially in the Viking game catching the flea flicker.  And during the regular season, he had to be accounted for, and while his individual numbers were not high, having him on the outside opened up the offense underneath.

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1 minute ago, ManchesterEagle said:

He was definitely more effective in the playoffs - I'll give you that!

Still dropped 2-3 very catchable balls though.

Oh yeah he did. He really wasn't that good in the regular season. But he did stretch out the field. Defenses had to take the threat seriously.

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1 minute ago, ManchesterEagle said:

He was definitely more effective in the playoffs - I'll give you that!

Still dropped 2-3 very catchable balls though.

I was not a big fan of his, but I do credit him for giving the team outside speed that was pretty much missing the last two seasons - and it showed.  Much easier for the defense to play closer to the line.  Hopefully, that won't happen this year.

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4 minutes ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

Oh yeah he did. He really wasn't that good in the regular season. But he did stretch out the field. Defenses had to take the threat seriously.

 

3 minutes ago, Procus said:

I was not a big fan of his, but I do credit him for giving the team outside speed that was pretty much missing the last two seasons - and it showed.  Much easier for the defense to play closer to the line.  Hopefully, that won't happen this year.

Even though I don't follow college football and I a have no discernible scouting skills, I have a really good feeling that Reagor is going to be very good, very quickly!

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17 minutes ago, ManchesterEagle said:

 

Even though I don't follow college football and I a have no discernible scouting skills, I have a really good feeling that Reagor is going to be very good, very quickly!

I think he's going to be really really good, I'm not sure how quickly though. And especially given a limited off season. 

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3 minutes ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

I think he's going to be really really good, I'm not sure how quickly though. And especially given a limited off season. 

Yeah fair point about the limited off-season, but the main reasons I'm excited about Reagor are:

1) He's genuinely explosive. For some reason he put on an unnecessary 10 pounds for the combine, but his pro day suggested 4.28. The tape backs up the 4.28.

2) He is a much better route runner than people think. Somebody did a great break down on Youttube of some of his advanced route running.

3) His quarterback in 2019 was terrible. Wentz should be able to find him on a much more regular basis.

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I am going out on a mummified limb and saying he will have 814 yds and 7 TDs 👾

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I bet Howie is praying it's more than Jefferson gets.

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I'd go with the under

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I'll be disappointed if it's less than 800.

There are no other WRs to throw the football to.   We have no X, no slot, and a Z who will be lucky to play half a season.  

If Reagor can't put up numbers, it means the offense looks just like 2019.

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The Giants, a rookie QB, and a 5th round pick connected for nearly 800 yards and 8 TDs.  We passed up Metcalf in round 2, who went 900/7.  Terry Mclaurin, a short 3rd round speedster from round 3, went over 900/7.

If our first round pick and potentially only viable WR can't top 700 yards in our offense with Wentz, we have a big problem.

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