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Posted

To quote @time2rock, this really is the "real test"...

Spread: Eagles -5.5
Total: 45.5
Money line: Eagles -210/Cowboys +180

The 5.5 is a point or so more than I expected and feels like a slight shade. Eagles are undefeated but only 3-2 ATS; Cowboys have won 4 straight after losing to Tampa Bay in the opener and are 4-1 ATS. Lots to consider this week, including Dak's potential return (if that happens).  More to come but this is the early game of the year. 

11 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

To quote @time2rock, this really is the "real test"...

Spread: Eagles -5.5
Total: 45.5
Money line: Eagles -210/Cowboys +180

The 5.5 is a point or so more than I expected and feels like a slight shade. Eagles are undefeated but only 3-2 ATS; Cowboys have won 4 straight after losing to Tampa Bay in the opener and are 4-1 ATS. Lots to consider this week, including Dak's potential return (if that happens).  More to come but this is the early game of the year. 

This most definitely will be the toughest game thus far this season.  Dallas is playing much better than anyone anticipated without Dak and after losing some pretty good players over the offseason.  Everyone going to need to bring their A game to give us the best chance to ride into the bye still undefeated and still sitting atop the NFCE.  **fingers crossed**

A divisional game at home in prime time against a tough opponent ... yes, a very good test of where this team is really at right now.  

-5.5? No sorry I'm not having that. That's way too much! Should be -3 with the usual home field advantage. Dallas are on their own roll and their defense is very very good. This is going to be a tough game and until I see us beat Dallas I'm not going to be too confident. 

Taking the points seems the obvious play. 

Dak will not play against the Eagles Sunday. That according to the local media here in Dallas.

If the Eagles OLine is healthy they will run for 250yds on Dallas.  This is the same 'ol Dallas Defense of last few years, they savage bad OLines with the pass rush but fold like lawn chairs against a stout run attack.  Cooper Rush is a pumpkin.  Cowboys need big plays from the ST to even stay close IMHO.

3 hours ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

-5.5? No sorry I'm not having that. That's way too much! Should be -3 with the usual home field advantage. Dallas are on their own roll and their defense is very very good. This is going to be a tough game and until I see us beat Dallas I'm not going to be too confident. 

Home field has been adjusted to about 1.5pts these days in betting lines.

3 hours ago, Sportsdude360 said:

Dak will not play against the Eagles Sunday. That according to the local media here in Dallas.

Frankly that’s better for us. I feel like this team relying on Cooper Rush to beat us is a win for our defense. 

10 hours ago, EazyEaglez said:

Frankly that’s better for us. I feel like this team relying on Cooper Rush to beat us is a win for our defense. 

Yeah Rush’s ceiling is probably about one touchdown……Dak’s is like 4.

I think the Cowboys are flattering to deceive and getting their annual 'AmErICa'S tEaM' smoke blowing every time they have a run of wins.

The offenses they've faced so far are scoring a combined average of 19 points a game.

See also the Giants who are hanging in games against bumbling offenses who can't get out of their own way.

Dallas is overrated.....as usual.  Yeah, they're 4-1 but none of those wins were impressive.  Bengals and Rams offenses are struggling against everybody and the media is blowing it all out of proportion. 

I think the eagles have had this game circled for months.......and it's time to put the debate to bed.  The Eagles offensive line is uniquely talented to off set their pass rush and I think Hurts has a big day.  

Eagles 34 cowpies 13

I think the Cowboys defense is a tad overrated.  People talking about the best defense in the league these guys have destroyed 3 of the worst oLines in the NFL right now, Rams/Commanders/Cincy are TERRIBLE Olines.  The Giants is bottom 3rd and Tampa's isn't very good either.  They haven't even played an above average OLine yet they have struggled mightily against the run almost every week.

 

Are they freakishly dangerous when they pin their ears back?  For sure, as good as anybody in the league in that department.  But until i see them stuff a top flight running attack like Philly no way in hell they are in the same category as the true elite defenses like SF or Buffalo.

6 hours ago, RICWOOFLAIR said:

Yeah Rush’s ceiling is probably about one touchdown……Dak’s is like 4.

Dak could be rusty too, but he has had some big games against the Eagles in the past. 

If Gannon plays that passive crap again we will lose. People don’t understand when you call a passive and non-aggressive game, the players naturally play that way. But when you call a more aggressive game, it breeds a more aggressive nature in players minds.

if Gannon gets after Dallas, I trust our players to succeed like they did against the Vikings and we may just win handily.

  • Author
20 hours ago, Devaster said:

Home field has been adjusted to about 1.5pts these days in betting lines.

Yup.  1.7 was the projected HFA for 2022.  Travel is easier, technology, sleep science and nutrition/hydration make for better recoveries and bettors are a lot more informed than they were just a few years ago.  

2 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Yup.  1.7 was the projected HFA for 2022.  Travel is easier, technology, sleep science and nutrition/hydration make for better recoveries and bettors are a lot more informed than they were just a few years ago.  

Same in college? HFA 1.5?

I don't care what the spread is this week. Just punch those motherFing frauds in the mouth and send them home with their tails between their legs.

Also: 2.20am kickoff is savage, I hope you all appreciate the struggles we go through to bleed green overseas

  • Author
1 hour ago, NJWolverEagle11 said:

Same in college? HFA 1.5?

Probably closer to 2 

6 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Probably closer to 2 

I think HFA can really sway a game in college moreso than pro. Jmo

  • Author
1 minute ago, NJWolverEagle11 said:

I think HFA can really sway a game in college moreso than pro. Jmo

Agreed.  The data says most HFA in college (40-60%) is 2 points.  Bigger programs - Ohio State, Alabama, etc. are higher and lesser programs are lower. 

20 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Agreed.  The data says most HFA in college (40-60%) is 2 points.  Bigger programs - Ohio State, Alabama, etc. are higher and lesser programs are lower. 

That makes sense. And I think 18 to 21 yr olds are more likely to effected emotionally by the crowd. For better and/or worse.

And the overall college atmosphere is different.

Well...I know who I'm adding to my weekly parlay if I add this game in...

Down to -6.5

17 minutes ago, NJWolverEagle11 said:

Down to -6.5

I'm not going to back against us but that's getting very tempting. I mean sure we can win and perhaps we even should win but that's a big spread.

46 minutes ago, NJWolverEagle11 said:

Down to -6.5

That is a large spread. I think the game will end up being closer than that, but I'm confident in the Eagles winning.

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