Will try and get my pick in sometime this evening. Busy day here and I'm torn between three teams for the first pick.

1 minute ago, Iggles25 said:

Will try and get my pick in sometime this evening. Busy day here and I'm torn between three teams for the first pick.

Let us know which three! 

23 minutes ago, Agent23 said:

Let us know which three! 

Only if you promise to give me intel from the spreadsheet 

4 minutes ago, Iggles25 said:

Only if you promise to give me intel from the spreadsheet 

For five bucks, he'll send you a snap chat of his rankings and probably his dong.  I wouldn't risk it.

I suggest you post a poll for everyone to vote on teams to help you out, results binding of course.

6 minutes ago, Shepard Wong said:

 

I suggest you post a poll for everyone to vote on teams to help you out, results binding of course.

 

 

My vote is for the team who Hunt wont draft

 

3 hours ago, mr_hunt said:

okay, my draft list is ready.  

 

 

5 hours ago, Shepard Wong said:

Damn. I got the @jwill2420 spot.

Actually it’s the 9th spot but I got 8th last year 😂 

I’m sure @mr_hunt Randomizer machine malfunctioned this year i was supposed to get the 9th spot 😂

2 down, 1 more to go. My 6am (EST) flight just got delayed until 825, so I am chilling in the delta sky lounge now and re-booked myself on a different 8am flight. I’ll keep checking before I take off to see if @Mat gets a pick in. I don’t know what the time zone differential looks like for him 

I'll pick shortly. Just at work. Need to look at my team list since I had Chargers as my pick

I was struggling to split 2 teams. I probably should have taken the team with the better QB but I like the Cook/Jefferson/Thielen trio

14 minutes ago, Mat said:

I was struggling to split 2 teams. I probably should have taken the team with the better QB but I like the Cook/Jefferson/Thielen trio

I honestly don’t know as well how to rank things with this, but what I typically do is rank each position individually, and using a 17-game schedule (for simplicity), rank players based on estimated PPG. Occasionally there’s someone missing early games because of injury or suspension… so it’s not a perfect method since I NEVER research/factor that in… but it’s def approximate. 
 

this year, for the major positions (qb/rb/wr/te), I used a 2pt spread. Josh Allen was my QB1, so if his PPG is estimated as 30 (making up that number), any QB who scores 28+PPG is considered "tier 1”, and I assign them a value of 5. The top QB in tier 2, I subtract two points from that (maybe that guy is 26.7ppg) so anyone that scores 24.7-26.7 gets a 4point value, and so on. 
 

then for every team, I sum up their total value points. K and DST get like 0.5 and 0.25 or something if they are the hands down upper echelon tier 1. I only do a tier 2 which is like a 0.2/0.1 value. This basically means neither of those score enough to elevate a "7” value team to a "9” or "12” because they got Tucker or some #1 overall defense. That team will be like a 7.5 maybe. Tells me on a quick skim that they have as much positional value as any other 7 team, but I get a bonus of an above-average DST or K. 
 

with this scale, cincy was my #1 seed. Qb, Rb, wr positions all have a 4pt player. Wr also has a 3pt player. Buffalo was my #2 with a qb-5, but my WR spreads (using that 2ppg) we’re so significant that diggs was a pt value of 3 even tho he’s my WR6 overall. In past years I think I looked at the league as having 20 starting WRs at minimum, and more likely 30+ with the flexes, so I probably gave the top 5 or maybe even the top 10 a 5pt value, then the next 5 (or 10) a 4pt value, and so on. 
 

this method really works round 1, especially with late 1st or early 2nd round picks. But when you’re picking a late round 2 or in round 3, you almost ignore the points and try to snag the Christian mccaffrey on a trash panthers or deande Hopkins on a trash Texans because you’re getting a top 5 overall player which means more than getting 3-4 RB/WRs in the 25-35 range 

I had Burrow as a QB 1 while I had Cousins as a QB 2. Cook I have above Mixon, Jefferson above Chase and Thielen about equal to Boyd/Higgins. Both TE's aren't great but Hurst is ahead. D/ST and Kickers who cares. 

It's just the Burrow upgrade over Cousins. Having said that, I don't know if the Bengals back up last season and I factored that into my decision

2 minutes ago, Mat said:

I had Burrow as a QB 1 while I had Cousins as a QB 2. Cook I have above Mixon, Jefferson above Chase and Thielen about equal to Boyd/Higgins. Both TE's aren't great but Hurst is ahead. D/ST and Kickers who cares. 

It's just the Burrow upgrade over Cousins. Having said that, I don't know if the Bengals back up last season and I factored that into my decision

I have mixon and immediately cook in overall. Conversely have diggs and immediately chase in overall. I have Higgins a decent bit above thielen (different tiers) and burrow about 50 total fantasy points projected above cousins 

i was hoping one of my top 3 would fall to me....but nope. 

my next 4 teams are within 1 point of each other, so who the f knows. guess i'll go with mahommes & kelce....and whoever the hell winds up getting the rb & wr work there. 

f'n @downundermike is on here like 25 hours a day...except when it's his pick     

17 minutes ago, mr_hunt said:

f'n @downundermike is on here like 25 hours a day...except when it's his pick     

On my way to work jerky, pick coming in the next half hour

we've now reached the "wait for @Redden " stage of our draft.

 

 

enjoy!  

If any of you guys are interested in doing a survivor league

 

 

22 minutes ago, mr_hunt said:

we've now reached the "wait for @Redden " stage of our draft.

 

 

enjoy!  

We should just give him the Cowboys and move on

5 minutes ago, downundermike said:

We should just give him the Cowboys and move on

i pm'd him a couple picks ago in anticipation of his upcoming pick.   

2 hours ago, mr_hunt said:

i was hoping one of my top 3 would fall to me....but nope. 

my next 4 teams are within 1 point of each other, so who the f knows. guess i'll go with mahommes & kelce....and whoever the hell winds up getting the rb & wr work there. 

The groupings are always like that, but after every team picked so far, my 4,6,9,11,12 teams still on the board. My 13th has been taken for context. A seemingly great team can fall off, which is why those late 1st round draft spots can be nice. Chance to snag two top-10 teams and when picking round 3, may even be able to snag a top-15 team based on how picks through the 2nd round shook out. 

guess who's logged into the emb  @Redden 

 

 

 

@fordy88  after redden picks, you're up for 2 picks. 

I assume with @fordy88 having back to back picks and then @Redden up again, I won't have to check back in until next Friday

32 minutes ago, downundermike said:

I assume with @fordy88 having back to back picks and then @Redden up again, I won't have to check back in until next Friday