January 20, 20232 yr 2 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said: fwiw, that 90% number may have been an anomaly early in the week. I'm seeing recent action coming in closer to a 60/40 split. You think it moves up to -8 at most places? Seeing -8 here and there.
January 20, 20232 yr 3 minutes ago, Thrive said: You think it moves up to -8 at most places? Seeing -8 here and there. Already at -8 at pointsbet, which I didn't expect. Dropping a full pt back down to -7 by tomorrow night is a bit less likely now but that's still the direction I expect it to go at kickoff. I still think we have the clear upper hand on paper, and should be able to build a comfortable lead, but all it takes is a couple bad breaks and an injury or two for things to go sideways and the gap starts to close.
January 20, 20232 yr Author 19 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said: Already at -8 at pointsbet, which I didn't expect. Dropping a full pt back down to -7 by tomorrow night is a bit less likely now but that's still the direction I expect it to go at kickoff. I still think we have the clear upper hand on paper, and should be able to build a comfortable lead, but all it takes is a couple bad breaks and an injury or two for things to go sideways and the gap starts to close. Exactly. I can hear Merrill Reese now: "...and the Giants hit the extra point as time expires...the final score: Eagles 28, Giants 21..." And the moneyline is -350, which requires a lot of confidence.
January 21, 20232 yr 2 hours ago, we_gotta_believe said: Back down to -7.5 at pointsbet Seeing -8 in most places now which is still strange giving the pro-Giants betting. Agree with you that -7 seems highly unlikely now. What is clear to me is that I have a lot to learn about NFL betting.
January 21, 20232 yr 1 minute ago, Thrive said: Seeing -8 in most places now which is still strange giving the pro-Giants betting. Agree with you that -7 seems highly unlikely now. What is clear to me is that I have a lot to learn about NFL betting. We all do, including the linesmakers sometimes
January 21, 20232 yr Jags/Chiefs line just jumped to -9.5 in most places. Would think that’s as close to a lock now as you’re going to see this weekend. Are there folks courageous enough to take the Jags plus 9.5?
January 21, 20232 yr 4 hours ago, Thrive said: Are there folks courageous enough to take the Jags plus 9.5? I didn't back it but yeah I probably would back the Jags on that one.
January 22, 20232 yr 6 hours ago, Thrive said: Jags/Chiefs line just jumped to -9.5 in most places. Would think that’s as close to a lock now as you’re going to see this weekend. Are there folks courageous enough to take the Jags plus 9.5? Should have had the courage.
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