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Divisional round line thread: Eagles -7.5 vs Giants


Hawkeye
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2 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said:

fwiw, that 90% number may have been an anomaly early in the week. I'm seeing recent action coming in closer to a 60/40 split. 

You think it moves up to -8 at most places? Seeing -8 here and there.

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3 minutes ago, Thrive said:

You think it moves up to -8 at most places? Seeing -8 here and there.

Already at -8 at pointsbet, which I didn't expect. Dropping a full pt back down to -7 by tomorrow night is a bit less likely now but that's still the direction I expect it to go at kickoff. I still think we have the clear upper hand on paper, and should be able to build a comfortable lead, but all it takes is a couple bad breaks and an injury or two for things to go sideways and the gap starts to close.

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19 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said:

Already at -8 at pointsbet, which I didn't expect. Dropping a full pt back down to -7 by tomorrow night is a bit less likely now but that's still the direction I expect it to go at kickoff. I still think we have the clear upper hand on paper, and should be able to build a comfortable lead, but all it takes is a couple bad breaks and an injury or two for things to go sideways and the gap starts to close.

Exactly.  I can hear Merrill Reese now:  "...and the Giants hit the extra  point as time expires...the final score: Eagles 28, Giants 21..."

And the moneyline is -350, which requires a  lot of confidence.

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2 hours ago, we_gotta_believe said:

Back down to -7.5 at pointsbet

Seeing -8 in most places now which is still strange giving the pro-Giants betting. Agree with you that -7 seems highly unlikely now.

What is clear to me is that I have a lot to learn about NFL betting.

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1 minute ago, Thrive said:

Seeing -8 in most places now which is still strange giving the pro-Giants betting. Agree with you that -7 seems highly unlikely now.

What is clear to me is that I have a lot to learn about NFL betting.

We all do, including the linesmakers sometimes

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Jags/Chiefs line just jumped to -9.5 in most places. Would think that’s as close to a lock now as you’re going to see this weekend. 
 

Are there folks courageous enough to take the Jags plus 9.5?

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4 hours ago, Thrive said:

Are there folks courageous enough to take the Jags plus 9.5?

I didn't back it but yeah I probably would back the Jags on that one.

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6 hours ago, Thrive said:

Jags/Chiefs line just jumped to -9.5 in most places. Would think that’s as close to a lock now as you’re going to see this weekend. 
 

Are there folks courageous enough to take the Jags plus 9.5?

Should have had the courage.

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