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EMB Blog: 2024 Regular Season (Part 2) ... and Playoffs

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16 minutes ago, vikas83 said:

The only one time benefit we could see for next year is the Netflix Christmas games. So maybe that makes the 273 more like 278 or something. Hard to say.

Add in Graziano's one-time $10 million benefit and your $273 to $278 becomes $283 to $288.  Vikas! Vikas! What has speculation ever done to make you treat it so disrespectfully?

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Good discussions in here today, guys. Refreshing to see instead of the repetitive Hurts talks. 

7 minutes ago, Mike030270 said:

Are they in contract talks? I've only ever heard of a player refusing to play if it's because of a contract year

Doubt it. He was just traded there a month ago but hasn't played much at all since.

5 minutes ago, mattwill said:

Add in Graziano's one-time $10 million benefit and your $273 to $278 becomes $283 to $288.  Vikas! Vikas! What has speculation ever done to make you treat it so disrespectfully?

Just my opinion, but that article is from March. I'd bet that $10M benefit is already factored into sites like OTC and Spotrac, since it's been publicly out there for so long. 

8 minutes ago, Alphagrand said:

I think he was in uniform but when the coaches said "Diontae, you're up!"  He said "ummm, nah." .... or something to that effect.

Something like Antonio Brown did in Tampa, without the melodrama.  

CTE?

1 minute ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Doubt it. He was just traded there a month ago but hasn't played much at all since.

That's weird as hell then. Don't think he'd make much of a difference though

19 minutes ago, mattwill said:

Okay I will bite.  Where in that announcement is there anything about the 2025 Cap?

The NFL announced today that the 2024 Salary Cap will be $255.4 million per club, with an additional $74 million per club payment for player benefits, which includes Performance Based Pay and benefits for retired players. Total 2024 player costs will be $329.4 million per club, or more than $10.5 billion league-wide.

The unprecedented $30 million increase per club in this year’s Salary Cap is the result of the full repayment of all amounts advanced by the clubs and deferred by the players during the Covid pandemic as well as an extraordinary increase in media revenue for the 2024 season.   

Nor is there anything in that announcement about ...

Graziano also noted that the increase could've been even higher if some cap space wasn't pushed to 2025.

"In fact, in the negotiations between the league and the NFLPA to finalize this year's cap, an agreement was reached to "float" about $8-10 million of this year's increase into next year," Graziano stated. "Yes, this means that this year's cap could have been as high as $265 million if it were based solely on the raw revenue-production numbers."

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10112020-nfl-rumors-2025-salary-cap-not-expected-to-make-similar-jump-to-2024-after-30m-rise

It called the $30 million "unprecedented." Assuming a repeat of something unprecedented isn't smart.

You're being willfully obtuse and I'm done with this.

10 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Just my opinion, but that article is from March. I'd bet that $10M benefit is already factored into sites like OTC and Spotrac, since it's been publicly out there for so long. 

No way, we cracked the code on the EMB dude. The guys making those projections are just idiots. 

SPECULATION FOR ALL

EDIT: Putting aside the snark, anyone on this MB thinking they have a better handle on the 2025 cap than OTC or Spotrac is delusional.

Rich has always prefaced his list as not a list of the best records, but who would beat who right now

 

IMG_2986.png

2 hours ago, vikas83 said:

Just posted my thoughts. Williams is getting into Hargrave territory where someone will overpay him because he looks great next to an all-pro. Hargrave was still good for SF, but he joined another great D-line. I really think Carter makes him look better than he is, and I am high on Ojomo.

Can look at it 2 ways. Carter makes Williams look better than he is but at the same time, Williams is taking advantage of it and producing. Williams can be a menace in his own ways too. I'm paying him what he wants and keeping 2 nasty DT together. I don't want to assume that just because Jalen Carter is here we can insert any DT next to him and they will succeed. Milton Williams is perfect next to him. 

56 minutes ago, Alphagrand said:

I probably like Milton Williams more than most, but the discussion around which pending FA to keep and which to let go is all relative to what is the best use of salary cap resources.  The input of Eagles scouting department is also central to the process.  They will know, not only who is likely available at picks 28-32 where the Eagles are likely to be drafting, but also the depth of the draft class at each position.

Does it make more sense to extend Milton Williams at $18-20M AAV if you believe there will be another Milton Williams in the 3rd round at the draft?  Maybe the next couple of drafts are weak at DT in their assessment, and stronger at other positions of need.  Same calculus for Becton, although I think he would re-sign more cheaply than Williams would.  Becton endured a crap show with the Jets, and maybe wouldn't be in a huge rush to take the biggest $$$ to go back to another crap show.  JMO on him.

I also agree with others it's hard to imagine the Eagles early picks won't be spent on OL and DL.

The real question is who would be easier to replace, Davis as a true NT who anchors the base defense, or a pass rush specialist like Williams, who was exposed when they were using a 4-2-5 as the base defense. I think Ojomo, Booker and a second tier FA/draft pick could replace Williams, but it's hard to find true NTs.

8 minutes ago, Aerolithe_Lion said:

Rich has always prefaced his list as not a list of the best records, but who would beat who right now

 

IMG_2986.png

That’s the best way to think about it:

Right now, is there any team in the NFL who can stop the eagles rushing attack? I say no.

Right now, is there any defense you would trust more to shut down an opposing offense than the eagles? I say no.

Our "weakness” is a passing attack with AJ Brown and a soon to return Devonta Smith.

38 minutes ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

One of my under the radar takes about the Ravens game was the impressive variety of pronunciations Jim Nantz used when calling the name of Britain Covey. He worked them all in.

It affected my ability to remember the real pronunciation.

If Warren is available, I think I'd jump to take him at the end of the 1st rd.

He's not just a TE, lines up all over (could replace 3rd WR in some formations), FB, even wildcat QB.

He's smart and physical and blocks, he's just not a pretty H-back playing like a big WR.

Put him and Brown on the same side and run that way!

1 minute ago, TEW said:

That’s the best way to think about it:

Right now, is there any team in the NFL who can stop the eagles rushing attack? I say no.

Right now, is there any defense you would trust more to shut down an opposing offense than the eagles? I say no.

Our "weakness” is a passing attack with AJ Brown and a soon to return Devonta Smith.

We just ran on the #1 run defense and shut down the #1 offense...

Lions D-line is really thin

1 minute ago, austinfan said:

If Warren is available, I think I'd jump to take him at the end of the 1st rd.

He's not just a TE, lines up all over (could replace 3rd WR in some formations), FB, even wildcat QB.

He's smart and physical and blocks, he's just not a pretty H-back playing like a big WR.

Put him and Brown on the same side and run that way!

was thinking the same.  could also replace hurts on the Tush Push.  he's just a really really good football player

2 hours ago, jsb235 said:

It's even worse than that. We don't commit many penalties, so teams that do commit a lot, like the ravens, see their number of penalties go way down when they play us compared to their average. 

But, part of that is the officiating crews penalty stats too, so we'd need to see a by team, by crew breakdown that would account for all of it. Then we could see a true look at how they are how they are screwing us.

3 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Lions D-line is really thin

Injury bug has done a number on that team

7 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Lions D-line is really thin

Basically Zadarius Smith & Alim McNeil.

Packers should have a 70-30 run/pass ratio. They've publicly said they want to be more physical too. 

15 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Lions D-line is really thin

If the Lions win this game then they deserve that 1 seed 

33 minutes ago, Aerolithe_Lion said:

Rich has always prefaced his list as not a list of the best records, but who would beat who right now

 

IMG_2986.png

And he's picked against us for 2 straight weeks 🥴

Dang didn't realize Packers were banged up too

This would be a good bracket for us. 
 

I’m assuming GB would beat Seattle. That means Birds play falcons or Vikes and neither scares me at all. GB then has a solid chance of upsetting the Lions. 

IMG_9106.jpeg

51 minutes ago, austinfan said:

If Warren is available, I think I'd jump to take him at the end of the 1st rd.

He's not just a TE, lines up all over (could replace 3rd WR in some formations), FB, even wildcat QB.

He's smart and physical and blocks, he's just not a pretty H-back playing like a big WR.

Put him and Brown on the same side and run that way!

Love him as a player, but I just don’t think the opportunity cost is worth it — especially because he would be the 4th option in our offense.

I think you can get 95% of the production and blocking from a guy in the 4th round.

1 minute ago, TEW said:

Love him as a player, but I just don’t think the opportunity cost is worth it — especially because he would be the 4th option in our offense.

I think you can get 95% of the production and blocking from a guy in the 4th round.

Probably.  We're going to need an edge player (or two).  Any good DE's worth watching that could be available at our pick?

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