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EMB Blog: 2024 Regular Season (Part 2) ... and Playoffs

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27 minutes ago, no1birdsfan said:

Season ended tonight. Thanks to the NFL and their new playoff format…3 games instead of 2 and have to play in their BS dome if you even get there.

Since one team gets a bye the Eagles are virtually locked into playing the Skins. Good job NFL, 5 games remaining and you’re basically locked into that matchup. 
 

Can go 15-2 or 14-3 and not get a bye.

The refs and the NFL won’t let them lose. It’s basically predetermined. Look at Love get his head ripped off and 0 penalty.

 

I’m sick of the product (Clearly). Give the Rams Ravens and Jags free (blatant) points.

 

sickening - I almost feel as if it’s WWF. Sees so scripted.

Don’t get me started on domes. 
 

Goff outside vs inside feels like a different sport altogether.

 

Sorry for the rambling but this feels like a fatal blow 

The refs and the NFL sure seem to have favorites. This year the script seems to be Lions and Chiefs. 

It is BS the two top teams don't get a BYE anymore, especially with a 17 game season, but they get more money, so I'm sure they don't care.

The Eagles have a better team and can only worry about what they can control. Get past Pitt and DC and we'll see. 

I wouldn't want to be a Lions fan with the Eagles heading to town. It's a long way from over at this point. 

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I was fiddling around with "strength of victory" scenarios in tiebreaks with the Lions, and I gotta say it doesn't look good. Frankly I don't think it'll even be close. And this is all under the assumption that we're winning out to go 15-2, which is a proposition I would bet against.

But let's say we go 15-2. We'd obviously need the Lions to lose once. But if their only loss from here on out is to Buffalo, they'll beat us on conference record. So we'd need their second loss to be to an NFC team if we want to get into a SOV tiebreak. But as I said, that probably won't be close. They'll have beaten teams like Arizona, Houston, Buffalo, Seattle, Minnesota (twice), an additional Green Bay (we will have only beaten them once). Those teams are going to be racking up higher win totals than the likes of Carolina, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Jacksonville, Dallas (one extra win than the Lions), etcetera.

So basically we are NOT winning a tie-break with the Lions. And I would assume the same would be true for Minnesota since they and the Lions have similar schedules.

Ultimately we're going to need Detroit to lose TWICE while we go undefeated. And also need the Vikings to lose once more. I think we're looking at a less than five percent chance of all of those things happening. A bye seems very unlikely at this point.

I also don't want to play Washington in a 2v7 playoff game. I just hate the idea of that. Frankly I'd rather play Atlanta or Tampa Bay or Seattle or Arizona. And it's unlikely that wild cards are coming out of those divisions unless Washington collapses down the stretch.

1 minute ago, Diehardfan said:

The refs and the NFL sure seem to have favorites. This year the script seems to be Lions and Chiefs. 

It is BS the two top teams don't get a BYE anymore, especially with a 17 game season, but they get more money, so I'm sure they don't care.

The Eagles have a better team and can only worry about what they can control. Get past Pitt and DC and we'll see. 

I wouldn't want to be a Lions fan with the Eagles heading to town. It's a long way from over at this point. 

Frankly if don’t get the 1 seed, hopefully we know we won’t by the end of week 17. That way week 18 we can just use it as a bye week for us. 

20 minutes ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

 

I also don't want to play Washington in a 2v7 playoff game. I just hate the idea of that. Frankly I'd rather play Atlanta or Tampa Bay or Seattle or Arizona. And it's unlikely that wild cards are coming out of those divisions unless Washington collapses down the stretch.

With the commanders there’s a chance you don’t face them as the 7 seed.  They finish with at New Orleans, vs. Philly, vs. atlanta and at Dallas. Shot they finish 11-6. Gb has at Seattle, vs. New Orleans, at Minnesota and Vs. bears. I could see Gb going 2-2 over that stretch and being 11-6. Tiebreaker scenarios would likely favor commanders due to packers conference record. You’d get GB as the 7 seed 

42 minutes ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

I was fiddling around with "strength of victory" scenarios in tiebreaks with the Lions, and I gotta say it doesn't look good. Frankly I don't think it'll even be close. And this is all under the assumption that we're winning out to go 15-2, which is a proposition I would bet against.

But let's say we go 15-2. We'd obviously need the Lions to lose once. But if their only loss from here on out is to Buffalo, they'll beat us on conference record. So we'd need their second loss to be to an NFC team if we want to get into a SOV tiebreak. But as I said, that probably won't be close. They'll have beaten teams like Arizona, Houston, Buffalo, Seattle, Minnesota (twice), an additional Green Bay (we will have only beaten them once). Those teams are going to be racking up higher win totals than the likes of Carolina, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Jacksonville, Dallas (one extra win than the Lions), etcetera.

So basically we are NOT winning a tie-break with the Lions. And I would assume the same would be true for Minnesota since they and the Lions have similar schedules.

Ultimately we're going to need Detroit to lose TWICE while we go undefeated. And also need the Vikings to lose once more. I think we're looking at a less than five percent chance of all of those things happening. A bye seems very unlikely at this point.

I also don't want to play Washington in a 2v7 playoff game. I just hate the idea of that. Frankly I'd rather play Atlanta or Tampa Bay or Seattle or Arizona. And it's unlikely that wild cards are coming out of those divisions unless Washington collapses down the stretch.

Just need Detroit to lose to Bills and Vikings and have Vikings lose a game and win out? I’d put that closer to 10% but agreed it’s a slim chance. We’ve seen crazier things like ‘08 week 17 though.

1 hour ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

I also don't want to play Washington in a 2v7 playoff game

The most likely scenario now.  As you conclude, the path to a bye and home field throughout is very very difficult now.  We've gone on the road for the NFC Championship game twice now and lost in close contests.  Maybe this is the year we get it done.

If the Eagles have to go to Detroit so be it, the Eagles are the better team.

4 hours ago, e-a-g-l-e-s eagles! said:

Frankly if don’t get the 1 seed, hopefully we know we won’t by the end of week 17. That way week 18 we can just use it as a bye week for us. 

My thoughts exactly. Use week 18 to rest all starters.

Might have to road trip to Detroit for the nfccg

The Lions win last night means that the Eagles need to come up with a rest plan for their key players.  

Doesn’t mean you start doing it this week of course.  But the #1 seed is sufficiently unlikely and beyond their control at this point that they need a rest strategy for the last 2-3 weeks.

17 minutes ago, eagle45 said:

The Lions win last night means that the Eagles need to come up with a rest plan for their key players.  

Doesn’t mean you start doing it this week of course.  But the #1 seed is sufficiently unlikely and beyond their control at this point that they need a rest strategy for the last 2-3 weeks.

One week at a time. Just roll the panthers so we can pull the starters

1 hour ago, Mike31mt said:

If the Eagles have to go to Detroit so be it, the Eagles are the better team.

I felt this way before, and I still feel this way now.   If the Eagles played Detroit in Philly, I'd give the Eagles a 90% chance to win that game.  Playing them in Detroit, with the way that the two teams are currently playing... I'd still say that the Eagles should win that game 55%-60% of the time.   That said, a lot can change in the next month plus before that comes to fruition.   And there's no guarantee that either the Eagles or the Lions are in the NFCCG.  Granted, it looks like it will be a much easier path for the Lions, but they still have some tough games in front of them.   And so do the Eagles.  

 

But, it might be time to start pulling for the Packers to drop some games, and Washington to win a few... but not too many.   That Washington game still looms large for the Eagles.  If they win that, they put a strangle hold on the 2 seed, and the last two weeks are likely to become completely unimportant.   But, the most important thing, as in any season is for the Eagles to handle their own business.   Their fate is 100% in their own hands.  They have the path to the 2 seed right before them, and if they win the games they are capable of winning... they can win out, including the playoffs and Super Bowl.   If they don't... they really have no one to look at but themselves.  Even as it is, the Falcons game is one that they never should have lost.  And with the way that the defense is playing now, I don't see them dropping a game like that again.

8 hours ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

Is that even true if the Vikings win out and go 15-2?

Eagles would have controlled their own destiny to the #1 seed if the Lions had lost…even over a tie with Vikings ….according to this site:

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcstandings.html

They still can get #1 but it’s now much harder…they control destiny for #2 (the green numbers, on the furthest left in each row, indicate the spot teams are guaranteed by winning out

IMG_7520.jpeg

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6 minutes ago, Khani1 said:

Buy Wagmi Games on Uniswap or miss out. 

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13 minutes ago, Khani1 said:

Buy Wagmi Games on Uniswap or miss out. 

You serious Clark?

4 minutes ago, Iggles_Phan said:

47d6e645-eb29-4ce6-b3c9-66236745d11b_tex


Emperor Melek Taus looks like he needs to kick in to guard with those short arms.

image.thumb.png.245295a5c8099fe309535e60adb52138.png

4 minutes ago, Waiting4Someday said:


Emperor Melek Taus looks like he needs to kick in to guard with those short arms.

image.thumb.png.245295a5c8099fe309535e60adb52138.png

I must be in the wrong place...

awkward-kid.gif

 

8 minutes ago, Waiting4Someday said:


Emperor Melek Taus looks like he needs to kick in to guard with those short arms.

image.thumb.png.245295a5c8099fe309535e60adb52138.png

Looks like someone has done their homework!

I hate scoreboard watching, lol.   Greenbay should have went on 4th Down with the way their defense is playing.   The Good news from last night is the Lions Defense is clearly in trouble.    Look, we don't need to shut nothing down yet.   Lions still have Bills, Bears, 49ers and Vikings.   They can easily lose one of those games.    Eagles just need to stay the course and take care of business against Carolina.   The Floor is clearly the #2 Seed.    Remember, Vikings are still on their heels.   

1 hour ago, Khani1 said:

Buy Wagmi Games on Uniswap or miss out. 

You might be a bot because Ive asked you about this and you dont answer. whats a wagmi game? Why is it going to take off?

8 hours ago, we_gotta_believe said:

I think Buffalo beats them, but they won't lose to the bears. Minnesota game might be a bit more of a toss up this time but a lot depends on Darnold. Still hard to believe the Vikes have only lost two games all year.

They probably won't lose to the Bears but they did almost beat them in Detroit. 

Maybe with Eberfleus gone there is a new energy with the team.  Being in Chicago maybe the weather is bad and Goff struggles.

2 minutes ago, 315Eagles said:

They probably won't lose to the Bears but they did almost beat them in Detroit. 

Maybe with Eberfleus gone there is a new energy with the team.  Being in Chicago maybe the weather is bad and Goff struggles.

The Eberfleus defenses bend a bit but typically are good in the RZ and produce turnovers - so like you said, a 5 INT game for Goff, a worn down DET defense and a dead cat bounce due to the bears coaching change.

The Bills vs Lions and Vikings vs Lions games are the only ones where I think they could lose

I think there are a lot of Eagles fans here looking at things through green colored glasses as far as the Lions are concerned. I believe that they are absolutely legit, are probably (slightly) better than us, and would not only be favored against us in a potential championship game in Detroit, but would probably beat us. I'm not suggesting we are doomed or "can't" win but our path to a Super Bowl is indeed a difficult one.

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