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EMB Blog: 2025 Regular Season (Part 2) ... and Playoffs

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Just now, DEagle7 said:

The Giants DL isn't bad though.

They’ve given up 26, 17, 38, 33 and 34 the last 5 weeks. Only team that didn’t score 25+ was us on a Thursday night. Their defense is definitely not as good as early on the season and now they are banged up in the back 7 (believe burns was in a boot after our Thursday game so he’s als dealing with something even if he/they say he’s fine)

Their pass rush is good. Their secondary with injuries and LBs are not. Their DL and D last 3 weeks has been atrocious against the run. given up 142 yards, 276 yards and 159 yards on the ground the last 3 weeks.

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19 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

They are 28th in 3rd down conversion percentage

19 minutes ago, Ace Nova said:

What’s their 4th down conversion %?

The Eagles are 31st in first downs gained via the pass. This is not a group you want to be in if you are supposedly elite QB

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10 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Sure, but it's not surprising given the tush push. They should always be near the top because of that.

The only thing I disagreed with was the "they don't have that many 3 and outs" statement because they absolutely do and it's not even a debate.

It’s lower than it should be. (3rd down conversion %)

We can also keep in mind they’ve had 2-3 games that they’ve played to their potential on offense - and are trending upward - so I’m expecting their 3rd down conversion to increase quite a bit the 2nd half of the season.

6 minutes ago, Lambo said:

I was going to post this same tweet. Eagles are on a historic pace of 3 and outs.

Last few games they’re trending upward offensively so I highly doubt their 3rd down % does not increase the 2nd half of the season. Then combine that with 78%+ 4th down conversion, they should be fine the 2nd half of the season

1 hour ago, Sack that QB said:

crap just got real. I thought he'd be a season long IR stash. Maybe not.

Free Willie!

I think the low 3rd down percentage is based on the failure of the run game.

Is there a nerdy website that has the average 3rd down distance? I bet the Eagles have one of the longest yards to gain averages.

7 minutes ago, Ace Nova said:

We can also keep in mind they’ve had 2-3 games that they’ve played to their potential on offense

Which games would you say, Rams, Vikings and second Giants game?

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4 minutes ago, NOTW said:

Free Willie!

I really just want to use this cause it’s funny

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53 minutes ago, Ace Nova said:

Check these stats out - not all against zone defenses but show how incredibly clutch he is on 3rd and 4th downs - only elite QB’s have comparable stats …

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Hurts won't even figure into the MVP discussion -- nor should he. The current odds for MVP are as follows:

2025-26 NFL MVP odds

Josh Allen, QB, Bills: +180

What to know: Allen is the reigning MVP, and in a matchup between him and his archival Patrick Mahomes, Allen's Bills won a 28-21 Week 9 showdown. In that matchup, Allen completed 23 of 26 passes for 273 yards and a touchdown. He also added two rushing TDs. With that, Allen is favored to repeat as MVP once again, after being the +350 second choice last week.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs: +350

What to know: The two-time regular-season MVP was the +115 favorite last week, but he struggled in a Week 9 loss to the Bills, completing just 15 of 34 passes for 250 yards and a pick. In the last two games, Mahomes has three TDs and three interceptions for the 5-4 Chiefs.

Drake Maye, QB, Patriots: +425

What to know: The Pats have won six straight behind their second-year QB, who is quickly turning into a star. In a Week 9 win over Atlanta, he had 259 passing yards, two touchdowns and a pick, guiding New England to a 24-23 win. He was at +500 last week. 

Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams: +550

What to know: The Rams are 6-2, and both of their losses involved some bad luck on their end. However, Stafford has an NFL-best 21 passing TDs and also has 2,147 yards through the air. In a Week 9 win over the Saints, Stafford had 281 passing yards and four touchdowns. He moved from +1200 last week to +550. 

 

Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers: +1600

What to know: Mayfield threw for 152 yards in a 23-3 win over New Orleans in Week 8. It was the first game this season in which he did not throw a touchdown. The Bucs are 6-2 and had a bye in Week 9. 

Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks: +2000 

What to know: Sam Darnold is finally getting the respect he deserves. Seattle is 6-2 and its two losses have come by a combined six points. The Seahawks dominated Washington in Week 9, behind 330 passing yards and four TDs from Darnold. He completed 21 of 24 passes as well. 

Lamar Jackson, RB, Ravens: +2200

What to know: Can you ever really count Lamar out? He's only seen the field in five games this season, but after missing three consecutive games, Jackson was back with a vengeance in Baltimore's Week 9 win over Miami. He was 18-for-23 passing for 204 yards and four touchdowns. 

6 minutes ago, Mike31mt said:

I think the low 3rd down percentage is based on the failure of the run game.

Is there a nerdy website that has the average 3rd down distance? I bet the Eagles have one of the longest yards to gain averages.

Possibly, but taking a look at the Rams game, as I remember a bunch of 3 and outs, here are the first two. You cant blame this on the run game.

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Just now, Alphagrand said:

Hurts won't even figure into the MVP discussion -- nor should he. The current odds for MVP are as follows:

2025-26 NFL MVP odds

Josh Allen, QB, Bills: +180

What to know: Allen is the reigning MVP, and in a matchup between him and his archival Patrick Mahomes, Allen's Bills won a 28-21 Week 9 showdown. In that matchup, Allen completed 23 of 26 passes for 273 yards and a touchdown. He also added two rushing TDs. With that, Allen is favored to repeat as MVP once again, after being the +350 second choice last week.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs: +350

What to know: The two-time regular-season MVP was the +115 favorite last week, but he struggled in a Week 9 loss to the Bills, completing just 15 of 34 passes for 250 yards and a pick. In the last two games, Mahomes has three TDs and three interceptions for the 5-4 Chiefs.

Drake Maye, QB, Patriots: +425

What to know: The Pats have won six straight behind their second-year QB, who is quickly turning into a star. In a Week 9 win over Atlanta, he had 259 passing yards, two touchdowns and a pick, guiding New England to a 24-23 win. He was at +500 last week. 

Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams: +550

What to know: The Rams are 6-2, and both of their losses involved some bad luck on their end. However, Stafford has an NFL-best 21 passing TDs and also has 2,147 yards through the air. In a Week 9 win over the Saints, Stafford had 281 passing yards and four touchdowns. He moved from +1200 last week to +550. 

 

Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers: +1600

What to know: Mayfield threw for 152 yards in a 23-3 win over New Orleans in Week 8. It was the first game this season in which he did not throw a touchdown. The Bucs are 6-2 and had a bye in Week 9. 

Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks: +2000 

What to know: Sam Darnold is finally getting the respect he deserves. Seattle is 6-2 and its two losses have come by a combined six points. The Seahawks dominated Washington in Week 9, behind 330 passing yards and four TDs from Darnold. He completed 21 of 24 passes as well. 

Lamar Jackson, RB, Ravens: +2200

What to know: Can you ever really count Lamar out? He's only seen the field in five games this season, but after missing three consecutive games, Jackson was back with a vengeance in Baltimore's Week 9 win over Miami. He was 18-for-23 passing for 204 yards and four touchdowns. 

I’d take a shot with Stafford and Maye. Stafford has been ridiculous since our game. 16 tds and 0 picks. Rams have statement games left for him. Sf, 2 against Seattle, vs. Bucs and vs. lions. Maye’s schedule is really easy. Bucs game is arguably the toughest defense he has left. Has at Bucs, vs. jets, at Cincinnati, vs. giants, bye, vs bills, at Baltimore, at jets and vs. Miami.

52 minutes ago, Waiting4Someday said:

We have a lot of 3 and outs, where he doesn't throw the ball at all - right? Is that gaming the stats a bit or is that factored into these ratings?

Of course its gaming the stats…duh

58 minutes ago, Ace Nova said:

Check these stats out - not all against zone defenses but show how incredibly clutch he is on 3rd and 4th downs - only elite QB’s have comparable stats …

IMG_7714.jpeg

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Yeah I've already said Im encouraged by the growth of Patullo's offense and Hurts' play within it. Patullo is bringing out the best in him and by the end of the year maybe we see the best version of Jalen yet.

But you guys fall for a lot of nonsense just because it implies Hurts is great and its silly of you.

lmao imagine going from browns to the Rockies. I imagine it’s like this

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1 hour ago, Sack that QB said:

crap just got real. I thought he'd be a season long IR stash. Maybe not.

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16 minutes ago, Lambo said:

Which games would you say, Rams, Vikings and second Giants game?

Probably.

But even against the Broncos the offense would have been decent if it weren’t for the penalties. Probably would have had an extra 100+ yards in the air that game if it weren’t for some missed and/or ticky tack calls.

14 minutes ago, Alphagrand said:

Hurts won't even figure into the MVP discussion -- nor should he. The current odds for MVP are as follows:

2025-26 NFL MVP odds

Josh Allen, QB, Bills: +180

What to know: Allen is the reigning MVP, and in a matchup between him and his archival Patrick Mahomes, Allen's Bills won a 28-21 Week 9 showdown. In that matchup, Allen completed 23 of 26 passes for 273 yards and a touchdown. He also added two rushing TDs. With that, Allen is favored to repeat as MVP once again, after being the +350 second choice last week.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs: +350

What to know: The two-time regular-season MVP was the +115 favorite last week, but he struggled in a Week 9 loss to the Bills, completing just 15 of 34 passes for 250 yards and a pick. In the last two games, Mahomes has three TDs and three interceptions for the 5-4 Chiefs.

Drake Maye, QB, Patriots: +425

What to know: The Pats have won six straight behind their second-year QB, who is quickly turning into a star. In a Week 9 win over Atlanta, he had 259 passing yards, two touchdowns and a pick, guiding New England to a 24-23 win. He was at +500 last week. 

Matthew Stafford, QB, Rams: +550

What to know: The Rams are 6-2, and both of their losses involved some bad luck on their end. However, Stafford has an NFL-best 21 passing TDs and also has 2,147 yards through the air. In a Week 9 win over the Saints, Stafford had 281 passing yards and four touchdowns. He moved from +1200 last week to +550. 

 

Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers: +1600

What to know: Mayfield threw for 152 yards in a 23-3 win over New Orleans in Week 8. It was the first game this season in which he did not throw a touchdown. The Bucs are 6-2 and had a bye in Week 9. 

Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks: +2000 

What to know: Sam Darnold is finally getting the respect he deserves. Seattle is 6-2 and its two losses have come by a combined six points. The Seahawks dominated Washington in Week 9, behind 330 passing yards and four TDs from Darnold. He completed 21 of 24 passes as well. 

Lamar Jackson, RB, Ravens: +2200

What to know: Can you ever really count Lamar out? He's only seen the field in five games this season, but after missing three consecutive games, Jackson was back with a vengeance in Baltimore's Week 9 win over Miami. He was 18-for-23 passing for 204 yards and four touchdowns. 

On multiple sites Hurts is currently +2200 which in most cases is tied for 7th in odds.

8 hours ago, Freshmilk said:

It makes no sense unless Hurts is injured. No sense at all.

Short term risk for long term gain. It is the old "Pardon Our Dust" approach.

8 hours ago, RememberTheKoy said:

It isn't 1960 anymore, the season is no longer 12 games. It is 17 games. It makes 0.0 sense for McKee to start in weeks 12 and 13 and there is nonchance of that at all unless Hurts gets injured.

Its not Weeks 12 and 13. It is Week 12 and Week 15.

6 hours ago, LeanMeanGM said:

There is no scenario in the world they bench a healthy Hurts week 12 in an 18 week season.

Let's see how it plays out. As I said, it is a calculated risk. What is it about either the Cowboys in Week 12 or the Raiders in Week 15 that scares you?

For the record, it is only my opinion, and I realize it is outside the box. However, in order to realize maximum value from McKee, he needs to see live action in meaningful situations. I'm not looking to change anyone's mind, just stating my thoughts on an asset value maximization tactic.

Thursday afternoon Eagles-Packers Score Predictions Update - 99 hours until Monday Night Kickoff

16 predictions recorded. All 16 are for an Eagles win. The average predicted score is Eagles 29 Packers 19.

I believe I got everyone's prediction. If you don't see your name below, I either missed your prediction or you haven't submitted one yet.

As always, please tag your prediction post with @mattwill that way I will be sure to see/record it.  Score predictions can also have an optional "Bonus Pick" tiebreaker prediction.  I will be taking predictions right up until Kickoff.

The list of the 16 predictions that are recorded is presented below, sorted high to low by Eagles points predicted.

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WTH...that guy

3 minutes ago, Diehardfan said:

Anyone here know anything about him?

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