October 30, 20204 yr 7 minutes ago, mr_hunt said: people are voting in record numbers to vote trump the hell out. the only people following this fake hunter biden nonsense are fox news loving conspiracy loons who are already voting for cheeto. but it is entertaining to watch them panic as the end of their savior draws closer. I read this today, and panicked a little. Should we (anti-Trumpers) be worried about this:? https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-will-win-11604011863
October 30, 20204 yr https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/how-fake-persona-laid-groundwork-hunter-biden-conspiracy-deluge-n1245387
October 30, 20204 yr 2 minutes ago, caesar said: I read this today, and panicked a little. Should we (anti-Trumpers) be worried about this:? https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-will-win-11604011863 I think the "hidden trump voter" is a bit overblown. From what i've read of trafalgar and other similar groups is that they do their polling to fit their conclusions. Further, other pollsters did learn from 2016 and changed their profiling. I don't think that Trafalgar has some sort of significant edge. Of course he is going to say that he is right and he was right in 2 states (both of which were within the MOE) so he can claim TWO victories in 2016. The polling errors did suck but the only one that was outside of the margin of error in 2016 was Wisconsin. In 2020, Trump would have to overcome even LARGER polling errors for ALL of these other polls or polling averages than he did in 2016. I think Trump might take Florida but that might be it in terms of surprises.
October 30, 20204 yr 16 minutes ago, caesar said: I read this today, and panicked a little. Should we (anti-Trumpers) be worried about this:? https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-will-win-11604011863 Just look at this thread. One word of support for Trump and you get dog piled by ravenous lefties screaming ORANGE MAN BAD! Not everyone has the courage to face down the woke mob like yours truly! But in the privacy of the ballot the truth will be revealed!
October 30, 20204 yr Author The son of a presidential candidate is under investigation by the FBI for money laundering four days before the election, and most leftists either don't even know it or think it's Russian disinformation. So glad we have a fair, unbiased press in America.
October 30, 20204 yr 3 minutes ago, Kz! said: The son of a presidential candidate is under investigation by the FBI for money laundering four days before the election, and most leftists either don't even know it or think it's Russian disinformation. So glad we have a fair, unbiased press in America. Tucker is clearly showing media bias by not releasing these bombshell documents.
October 30, 20204 yr 3 minutes ago, Kz! said: The son of a presidential candidate is under investigation by the FBI for money laundering four days before the election, and most leftists either don't even know it or think it's Russian disinformation. So glad we have a fair, unbiased press in America. You say leftists don't know..... but I just looked at the Fox News website.... there is not word one of this "investigation" on their website. If it was really happening, there would be screaming alarm on the top of their website and you wouldn't be able to click any link without seeing it.
October 30, 20204 yr 28 minutes ago, caesar said: I read this today, and panicked a little. Should we (anti-Trumpers) be worried about this:? https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-pollster-who-thinks-trump-will-win-11604011863 Trafalgar overestimated Trump support in 2016 and wasn't "right" just because Trump won. To me, the most accurate polling outfit was Google Survey Analytics, and for whatever reason, they've abstained from conducting any polls this year. That being said, the "closet Trump vote" will still be in play. The RCP average has Biden with an almost 8pt lead, but I highly doubt we'll see a margin that high when the final results come in. I'd adjust that down by a couple percentage pts if I were trying to put a number on it.
October 30, 20204 yr 30 minutes ago, Arsenal79 said: Just look at this thread. One word of support for Trump and you get dog piled by ravenous lefties screaming ORANGE MAN BAD! Not everyone has the courage to face down the woke mob like yours truly! But in the privacy of the ballot the truth will be revealed! Again, it's not fear. It is shame. It is being ashamed of supporting an obvious conman celebrity carnival barker. And they should be ashamed. They know he's horrible -- they don't care. Cause its fun to see his rallies and laugh at stupid stuff he says. Regular politics is boring to those types.
October 30, 20204 yr 18 hours ago, Boogyman said: Stub your toe in a drunken stumble? 18 hours ago, Boogyman said: Lol at stealing catch phrases. To stupid to know he is being mocked. 17 hours ago, Alpha_TATEr said: You mocked someone’s intelligence by looking like an uneducated, snot bubbling two year old. It needed to be pointed out.
October 30, 20204 yr 30 minutes ago, Smokesdawg said: I think the "hidden trump voter" is a bit overblown. From what i've read of trafalgar and other similar groups is that they do their polling to fit their conclusions. Further, other pollsters did learn from 2016 and changed their profiling. I don't think that Trafalgar has some sort of significant edge. Of course he is going to say that he is right and he was right in 2 states (both of which were within the MOE) so he can claim TWO victories in 2016. The polling errors did suck but the only one that was outside of the margin of error in 2016 was Wisconsin. In 2020, Trump would have to overcome even LARGER polling errors for ALL of these other polls or polling averages than he did in 2016. I think Trump might take Florida but that might be it in terms of surprises. According to 538 Trafalgar has some pretty strange methodology including asking people polled if they know how their neighbors plan to vote and counting that as more than one response if they do.
October 30, 20204 yr 1 minute ago, bobeph said: You mocked someone’s intelligence by looking like an uneducated, snot bubbling two year old. It needed to be pointed out. Cool.
October 30, 20204 yr 31 minutes ago, Kz! said: The son of a presidential candidate is under investigation by the FBI for money laundering four days before the election, and most leftists either don't even know it or think it's Russian disinformation. So glad we have a fair, unbiased press in America.
October 30, 20204 yr 33 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said: Trafalgar overestimated Trump support in 2016 and wasn't "right" just because Trump won. To me, the most accurate polling outfit was Google Survey Analytics, and for whatever reason, they've abstained from conducting any polls this year. That being said, the "closet Trump vote" will still be in play. The RCP average has Biden with an almost 8pt lead, but I highly doubt we'll see a margin that high when the final results come in. I'd adjust that down by a couple percentage pts if I were trying to put a number on it. Should be interesting to see. Late deciders broke for trump in 2016. This year there are far less of them and it appears they are tilting towards Biden. Hillary never really polled over 50% in 2016 but Biden does on almost every poll.
October 30, 20204 yr 37 minutes ago, Smokesdawg said: I think the "hidden trump voter" is a bit overblown. From what i've read of trafalgar and other similar groups is that they do their polling to fit their conclusions. Further, other pollsters did learn from 2016 and changed their profiling. I don't think that Trafalgar has some sort of significant edge. Of course he is going to say that he is right and he was right in 2 states (both of which were within the MOE) so he can claim TWO victories in 2016. The polling errors did suck but the only one that was outside of the margin of error in 2016 was Wisconsin. In 2020, Trump would have to overcome even LARGER polling errors for ALL of these other polls or polling averages than he did in 2016. I think Trump might take Florida but that might be it in terms of surprises. Yeah, I'm pretty sure these pollsters made some adjustments. No way they want to be embarrassed again.
October 30, 20204 yr 34 minutes ago, Arsenal79 said: Just look at this thread. One word of support for Trump and you get dog piled by ravenous lefties screaming ORANGE MAN BAD! Not everyone has the courage to face down the woke mob like yours truly! But in the privacy of the ballot the truth will be revealed! please dont stop the shtick.
October 30, 20204 yr 8 hours ago, Eaglesfandan said: This is as good as the, "Lesean McCoy is a BUST," thread on TATE several years ago. Or the "Elizabeth Warren is a Native American" thread.
October 30, 20204 yr Author 35 minutes ago, Smokesdawg said: You say leftists don't know..... but I just looked at the Fox News website.... there is not word one of this "investigation" on their website. If it was really happening, there would be screaming alarm on the top of their website and you wouldn't be able to click any link without seeing it. 9 minutes ago, Paul852 said: See what I mean?
October 30, 20204 yr 8 minutes ago, Jsvand12 said: Should be interesting to see. Late deciders broke for trump in 2016. This year there are far less of them it appears they are tilting towards Biden. Hillary never really polled over 50% in 2016 but Biden does on almost every poll. This year there are NEARLY as many undecideds... not as much unfavorables for Biden..... and NO OCTOBER SURPRISE COMEY LETTER!
October 30, 20204 yr Author So, the emails the Bidens haven't even bothered to deny have been authenticated. uh oh.
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