May 24, 20223 yr 5 minutes ago, Gannan said: So now everyone wants to nationalize the production of baby formula and the internet? That's how you get the communism. No need to. Just use breast milk. It's widely available!
May 24, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, JohnSnowsHair said: Ya'll realize that having a strong currency - especially one propped up by policies that have consequences in the medium and long term - also has a negative effect? When the dollar is strong for example our exports are more expensive, so it has a tendency to widen the trade deficit. Notwithstanding that the ruble has been propped up because the Russian government has strongarmed its population to only be able to do business in the ruble, in the near term they can't even take advantage of a "strong" ruble because imported goods are incredibly scarce. Russia is gambling here on how long the war in Ukraine will take. A protracted war will absolutely gut Russia for a generation or more. It could end tomorrow but the west's reluctance to do big business with Russia will remain, especially with Putin still in power. Putin and Russia have already lost, no matter if they get a couple oil fields or not.
May 24, 20223 yr 29 minutes ago, dawkins4prez said: It could end tomorrow but the west's reluctance to do big business with Russia will remain, especially with Putin still in power. Putin and Russia have already lost, no matter if they get a couple oil fields or not. Yup. No matter what they've hurt themselves economically in the near to medium term. If the war is protracted though? The pain will go beyond economic.
May 24, 20223 yr 2 hours ago, JohnSnowsHair said: Ya'll realize that having a strong currency - especially one propped up by policies that have consequences in the medium and long term - also has a negative effect? When the dollar is strong for example our exports are more expensive, so it has a tendency to widen the trade deficit. Notwithstanding that the ruble has been propped up because the Russian government has strongarmed its population to only be able to do business in the ruble, in the near term they can't even take advantage of a "strong" ruble because imported goods are incredibly scarce. Russia is gambling here on how long the war in Ukraine will take. A protracted war will absolutely gut Russia for a generation or more. The conflict has in effect upended trade in the region and it has rippled out globally. Not only Russian energy exports - which we discussed a lot here - but also Ukraine is Europe's breadbasket. The longer this war goes on, the more trade ties will be severed. Resources will have to be gained from elsewhere, supply routes will be withdrawn. It will have long lasting consequences for the entire region.
May 24, 20223 yr 6 hours ago, JohnSnowsHair said: Ya'll realize that having a strong currency - especially one propped up by policies that have consequences in the medium and long term - also has a negative effect? When the dollar is strong for example our exports are more expensive, so it has a tendency to widen the trade deficit. Notwithstanding that the ruble has been propped up because the Russian government has strongarmed its population to only be able to do business in the ruble, in the near term they can't even take advantage of a "strong" ruble because imported goods are incredibly scarce. Russia is gambling here on how long the war in Ukraine will take. A protracted war will absolutely gut Russia for a generation or more. The Russian current account surplus actually increased compared to last year because their exports are mostly energy/commodities. The dynamics of the dollar regarding exports just aren’t comparable. That said, of course this will have negative effects on their economy like it will for many others. The real question, as for as the economic and geopolitical ramifications of the war go, is will we see the global economy essentially split into a Russian/Chinese vs US/EU type of parallel system or can the US get everyone on the same page against Russia. The problem is that Europe gets so much of its energy from Russia that they’re stuck between a rock and a hard place while China is going to become ever more adversarial towards the US over the coming decades.
May 24, 20223 yr 2 minutes ago, TEW said: The Russian current account surplus actually increased compared to last year because their exports are mostly energy/commodities. The dynamics of the dollar regarding exports just aren’t comparable. That said, of course this will have negative effects on their economy like it will for many others. The real question, as for as the economic and geopolitical ramifications of the war go, is will we see the global economy essentially split into a Russian/Chinese vs US/EU type of parallel system or can the US get everyone on the same page against Russia. The problem is that Europe gets so much of its energy from Russia that they’re stuck between a rock and a hard place while China is going to become ever more adversarial towards the US over the coming decades. And because most of the world stopped selling them things, so their imports plummeted.
May 25, 20223 yr Negative affects to Russia's economy is not the question. The west essentially cut them off from significant markets and stole 300 billion in reserves. That is obviously going to hurt big time. But, let's be honest, these sanctions were supposed to do much more than cause pain, they were supposed to crater the Ruble leading to massive inflation and destruction of the Russian economy, cause social unrest and topple the Putin government. Potato head, himself, claimed the Ruble would be rubble. That has failed miserably. Not only did the Russian economy not fail, it has a slower rate of increase of inflation than every western country. They expect to hit their target rate of 4% inflation next year. Meanwhile, the Euro continues to weaken against the Ruble so the EU pays even higher prices for Russian energy. Just wait until wheat goes for Rubles only. The social unrest they planned for Russia will be their own fate.
May 25, 20223 yr As I said before, 404 is about to disintegrate with parts being gobbled up by Russia, Poland and Hungary.
May 25, 20223 yr Would be great if the world stepped back from the brink and resolved this conflict. I'm not getting my hopes up. Side note - how is Kissinger even still alive and relevant? He must be well into his 90's by now. Amazing. https://www.newsweek.com/henry-kissinger-ukraine-should-give-territory-russia-reach-peace-1709488 Henry Kissinger: Ukraine Should Give Up Territory to Russia to Reach Peace By Giulia Carbonaro On 5/24/22
May 25, 20223 yr 18 hours ago, Abracadabra said: Where the F is the Ghost of Kyiv when you need him? Hey I had the same question about all these nahzis How many have they found like 3 dudes with some tats? All this torture rape and death for nothing. Youre pathetic.
May 25, 20223 yr 15 minutes ago, Procus said: Would be great if the world stepped back from the brink and resolved this conflict. I'm not getting my hopes up. Side note - how is Kissinger even still alive and relevant? He must be well into his 90's by now. Amazing. https://www.newsweek.com/henry-kissinger-ukraine-should-give-territory-russia-reach-peace-1709488 Henry Kissinger: Ukraine Should Give Up Territory to Russia to Reach Peace By Giulia Carbonaro On 5/24/22 You'd be okay with the US giving up say, Texas, right?
May 25, 20223 yr 2 minutes ago, Toastrel said: You'd be okay with the US giving up say, Texas, right? https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/george-soros-says-civilization-may-not-survive-russias-invasion-of-ukraine.html Soros says civilization may not survive Putin’s war in Ukraine, warns of global depression Published Tue, May 24 20221:29 PM EDTUpdated Tue, May 24 20222:34 PM EDT
May 25, 20223 yr 18 minutes ago, Procus said: Would be great if the world stepped back from the brink and resolved this conflict. I'm not getting my hopes up. Side note - how is Kissinger even still alive and relevant? He must be well into his 90's by now. Amazing. https://www.newsweek.com/henry-kissinger-ukraine-should-give-territory-russia-reach-peace-1709488 Henry Kissinger: Ukraine Should Give Up Territory to Russia to Reach Peace By Giulia Carbonaro On 5/24/22 Historically this has worked really well, right Poland?
May 25, 20223 yr 26 minutes ago, Procus said: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/george-soros-says-civilization-may-not-survive-russias-invasion-of-ukraine.html Soros says civilization may not survive Putin’s war in Ukraine, warns of global depression Published Tue, May 24 20221:29 PM EDTUpdated Tue, May 24 20222:34 PM EDT Oh now we believe Soros!!! How not surprising. Y'all would seriously quote Lucifer if he agreed with a talking point.
May 25, 20223 yr 26 minutes ago, paco said: Historically this has worked really well, right Poland? Germany and the USSR carved up Poland and left nothing left of the country. It's not ideal for there to be territorial concessions, but stepping back from the brink of insanity is a good thing - not a bad thing.
May 25, 20223 yr 40 minutes ago, Mike31mt said: Hey I had the same question about all these nahzis How many have they found like 3 dudes with some tats? All this torture rape and death for nothing. Youre pathetic. You'll see soon enough. Many of your fellow Not-zzz will be publicly tried, convicted and put to death.
May 25, 20223 yr Just now, Toastrel said: Oh now we believe Soros!!! How not surprising. Y'all would seriously quote Lucifer if he agreed with a talking point. How knee jerk of you - just going by the headline instead of reading the content. Soros is actually calling for vigorous support of Ukraine, as are you.
May 25, 20223 yr Just now, Procus said: How knee jerk of you - just going by the headline instead of reading the content. Soros is actually calling for vigorous support of Ukraine, as are you. You find Soros a trusty information source, is that what you are telling me?
May 25, 20223 yr 55 minutes ago, Procus said: Would be great if the world stepped back from the brink and resolved this conflict. I'm not getting my hopes up. Side note - how is Kissinger even still alive and relevant? He must be well into his 90's by now. Amazing. https://www.newsweek.com/henry-kissinger-ukraine-should-give-territory-russia-reach-peace-1709488 Henry Kissinger: Ukraine Should Give Up Territory to Russia to Reach Peace By Giulia Carbonaro On 5/24/22 Before the SMO began, Putin offered a reasonable way forward peacefully. Those terms are starting to look good to the warmongers now. After dismantling 404, the conditions for peace have changed dramatically. Zelensky and his goons are no longer relative. The parties to the peace will be Hungary, Poland, Romania and the West generally.
May 25, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, Abracadabra said: You'll see soon enough. Many of your fellow Not-zzz will be publicly tried, convicted and put to death. Yes all 3 of the dudes with tattoos The thousands of innocent deaths was totally worth it. Youre not even a useful idiot because youre not a russian citizen, youre just an idiot. Someone who 100% believes the propaganda of another nations despot
May 25, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, Toastrel said: You find Soros a trusty information source, is that what you are telling me? I'm telling you that YOU are aligned with Soros.
May 25, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, Abracadabra said: Before the SMO began, Putin offered a reasonable way forward peacefully. Those terms are starting to look good to the warmongers now. After dismantling 404, the conditions for peace have changed dramatically. Zelensky and his goons are no longer relative. The parties to the peace will be Hungary, Poland, Romania and the West generally. Back not so long ago, the Mutually Assured Destruction principle prevented events from getting too far out of hand. The talk and tone we're seeing today is unlike anything I've seen in my lifetime. Let's hope MAD prevents things from getting too out of hand - but it doesn't seem to be.
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