March 20, 20241 yr 1 minute ago, jsdarkstar said: Trump is in Real Trouble in Ohio. 20% of Republicans voted for someone other than trump and full 11% of them say they will vote for Biden. If Biden wins Ohio, the election is over for Trump. In 2020, Trump won nearly 94% of the Florida primary vote as an incumbent president facing two long-shot opponents. This year, he captured about 81% of the vote. 13% drop. That spells trouble for the criminal defendant in State after State. Trump does so well until people actually vote. It's either a vast conspiracy involving thousands of people and spanning multiple election cycles that no one's been able to provide any evidence of or he's not as popular as the people in his cult think he is. It's probably a conspiracy.
March 20, 20241 yr 3 minutes ago, VanHammersly said: Trump does so well until people actually vote. It's either a vast conspiracy involving thousands of people and spanning multiple election cycles that no one's been able to provide any evidence of or he's not as popular as the people in his cult think he is. It's probably a conspiracy. I believe part of the conspiracy is with the pollsters who say Trump is ahead. They have an agenda to make the criminal defendant look better then he really is. Probably for money.
March 20, 20241 yr 1 minute ago, jsdarkstar said: I believe part of the conspiracy is with the pollsters who say Trump is ahead. They have an agenda to make the criminal defendant look better then he really is. Probably for money. The media needs the horse race.
March 20, 20241 yr 26 minutes ago, jsdarkstar said: Trump is in Real Trouble in Ohio. 20% of Republicans voted for someone other than trump and full 11% of them say they will vote for Biden. If Biden wins Ohio, the election is over for Trump. In 2020, Trump won nearly 94% of the Florida primary vote as an incumbent president facing two long-shot opponents. This year, he captured about 81% of the vote. 13% drop. That spells trouble for the criminal defendant in State after State. Biden ain't winning Ohio
March 20, 20241 yr 28 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said: Biden ain't winning Ohio Abortion is on the ballot as Ohio Supreme Court is up for grabs and a full 57% of Ohioans support Abortion access. Given that 20% of Republican's failed to vote for Trump in the Primary is another reason why Biden may win Ohio.
March 20, 20241 yr 32 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said: Biden ain't winning Ohio He just needs some combination of MI, AZ, and Georgia. He just needs one of those. Need to get more of those bamboo ballots for those
March 20, 20241 yr 5 minutes ago, Gannan said: He just needs some combination of MI, AZ, and Georgia. He just needs one of those. Need to get more of those bamboo ballots for those He'll win MI. Maybe AZ too but I bet it's gonna be real close again. I think he loses GA this time, but I also never thought he'd win it in the first place, nor that dems would win back to back runoffs there.
March 20, 20241 yr 9 minutes ago, jsdarkstar said: Abortion is on the ballot as Ohio Supreme Court is up for grabs and a full 57% of Ohioans support Abortion access. Given that 20% of Republican's failed to vote for Trump in the Primary is another reason why Biden may win Ohio. It's a pipe dream, my friend. Ohio is solid red and getting deeper, not lighter.
March 20, 20241 yr This is my best guess as of right now. Maybe Nevada goes blue, but I think Trump retakes GA and AZ.
March 20, 20241 yr Donald Trump's campaign continues to hype his "victories" in Republican primaries despite running unopposed. However, while President Biden consistently wins his primaries in the high 90s, Trump continues to see 15-30% of Republicans voting against him in state after state. Last night, despite running unopposed, the following percentages of Republicans voted against Trump: Arizona - 25% Kansas - 25% Ohio - 21% Florida - 19% Illinois - 19% These results have been consistent with the previous Republican primaries across the board. There is also another pattern developing - Trump continues to struggle with suburban voters. This is a critical demographic for his campaign. While Trump's results were fairly consistent across every group from 2016-2020, suburban white voters are the reason Trump lost in 2020. He narrowly lost those voters in 2016 to Hillary Clinton, but lost them by a wide margin in 2020 to Biden. That was the difference in the two elections. Those are also the voters who continue to refuse to vote for Trump - even Republicans.
March 20, 20241 yr 23 minutes ago, vikas83 said: This is my best guess as of right now. Maybe Nevada goes blue, but I think Trump retakes GA and AZ. I was told that Californians are fleeing to Arizona and Texas. One would think that would put AZ more in play than logic would dictate. I think PA will be more purple this time. Who knows though; Shapiro shellacked MAGA-world. Part of my reasoning there though is that Biden won PA by moving the needle about 2% from Hillary's performance in rural counties, which more than offset where Trump actually gained ground relative to 2016 in the cities.
March 20, 20241 yr 54 minutes ago, vikas83 said: This is my best guess as of right now. Maybe Nevada goes blue, but I think Trump retakes GA and AZ. I just can't see it being that close
March 20, 20241 yr 7 minutes ago, barho said: My son gets to vote for the first time in November. He'll be voting for Biden. condolences
March 20, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, vikas83 said: This is my best guess as of right now. Maybe Nevada goes blue, but I think Trump retakes GA and AZ. I think NV stays blue otherwise I agree with everything else. AZ is gonna be super close, I bet. Less than a few thousand votes.
March 20, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, Mike030270 said: I just can't see it being that close It shouldn't be this close, but...we aren't the smartest country.
March 20, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, Mike030270 said: I just can't see it being that close We are so early out. In the spring of 2016 Hillary led Trump in Texas and Utah.
March 20, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, Gannan said: We are so early out. In the spring of 2016 Hillary led Trump in Texas and Utah. I'm finding it harder and harder to convince myself Trump is losing again in November. The criminal cases, the shredding of democracy, booming Bidenomics, none of it makes a dent. The United States simply loves Trump. He is the embodiment of the ugly american this country wants to be and there is no evidence, logic or appeal to humanity that will stop it.
March 20, 20241 yr 3 minutes ago, dawkins4prez said: I'm finding it harder and harder to convince myself Trump is losing again in November. The criminal cases, the shredding of democracy, booming Bidenomics, none of it makes a dent. The United States simply loves Trump. He is the embodiment of the ugly american this country wants to be and there is no evidence, logic or appeal to humanity that will stop it. I’m not the hopeful type, but after 2016, how did he perform in 2018 midterms, 2020 general, and 2022 midterms? Since I want this nonsense to end, you’re probably more useful to me paranoid, skeptical, and amped up to vote. So don’t relax too much. But when given the opportunity, it seems Americans vote against the illiterate democracy-hating conspiracy theorists more often than with them.
March 20, 20241 yr 10 minutes ago, Lloyd said: I’m not the hopeful type, but after 2016, how did he perform in 2018 midterms, 2020 general, and 2022 midterms? Since I want this nonsense to end, you’re probably more useful to me paranoid, skeptical, and amped up to vote. So don’t relax too much. But when given the opportunity, it seems Americans vote against the illiterate democracy-hating conspiracy theorists more often than with them. The polling is abysmal across every battleground state. These are two very well known brands. The economy can't get much better than it is. Removing Bibi won't move the needle enough with his base. That's just internal bad news. Globally a LePenn victory in France would give Trump the exact same tailwind he got from Brexit in '16. The Tea Leaves are coming up dogpoop.
March 20, 20241 yr 4 minutes ago, dawkins4prez said: The polling is abysmal across every battleground state. These are two very well known brands. The economy can't get much better than it is. Removing Bibi won't move the needle enough with his base. That's just internal bad news. Globally a LePenn victory in France would give Trump the exact same tailwind he got from Brexit in '16. The Tea Leaves are coming up dogpoop. Except the only one's that matter, the actual results. We've settled into a pattern where Republicans lose, everyone realizes that Trump's destroying the party, time passes, everyone forgets, expects Dems to lose, then there's another election and Republicans lose again. But like Lloyd said, there's no harm in staying paranoid.
March 20, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, Kz! said: Safe and fair elections check. tweet from august 2022. election machines are configured with electronic counting and backup paper balloting. one of the three candidates withdrew late in the race, and an update to the ballot inadvertently caused some votes to be tallied incorrectly on the electronic side. when identified, the backup paper ballots were tallied to ensure a correct result. election integrity was maintained. this is a win for the election machines, whose failsafes were used to great effect. goddamn you're dumb.
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