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EMB Blog: 2024 Regular Season (Part 2) ... and Playoffs

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22 minutes ago, Connecticut Eagle said:

I am very concerned with facing the Bucs.  We are 1-4 against Todd Bowles' defense.  They have been really good now that they are healthier.

EPA/play assessment over the second half of the season...

image.thumb.png.8fb47e87e9f8fe3513cc4ed979eaec1d.png

Thanks.  These charts are great.  Bucs definitely know what Hurts can and can't do.  We will have to adjust.

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24 minutes ago, Connecticut Eagle said:

I am very concerned with facing the Bucs.  We are 1-4 against Todd Bowles' defense.  They have been really good now that they are healthier.

EPA/play assessment over the second half of the season...

Ok.   And the 1 win was the only time they had AJ Brown available.  Be concerned.  Just don't expect everyone else to share your fears.  The Eagles are better than the Bucs.  They will likely get their chance to prove it, unless Washington proves that the Bucs aren't actually that scary and beat them first.

As for the advanced metrics.   🥱.  

While the bucs have had the Eagles number for awhile, the last match up was without AJ and Smitty. They trotted out Goedert, Calcaterra, Campbell, Dotson, and Ross as their receiving corps, in week 4. It was also close to 90 degrees with 68% humidity that day.

Eagles are quite different now and I don't think the bucs would be too much to overcome.

10 minutes ago, Mike030270 said:

Lol the superstitious crowd are not going to like this

I prefer a new field to the stupid black crap everywhere.  

11 minutes ago, Mike030270 said:

Lol the superstitious crowd are not going to like this

As long as they didn’t hire sodfather we should be ok 

9 minutes ago, Iggles_Phan said:

Ok.   And the 1 win was the only time they had AJ Brown available.  Be concerned.  Just don't expect everyone else to share your fears.  The Eagles are better than the Bucs.  They will likely get their chance to prove it, unless Washington proves that the Bucs aren't actually that scary and beat them first.

As for the advanced metrics.   🥱.  

Aj brown only played 1 games in the 3 games we’ve faced them since he’s got here. It was the only win we had. Lost the two games he was hurt. Frankly kind of think the eagles like if they faced the commanders would have another edge to them with how things went in the most recent game. 

Line already up to 5.5

8 minutes ago, wussbasket said:

While the bucs have had the Eagles number for awhile, the last match up was without AJ and Smitty. They trotted out Goedert, Calcaterra, Campbell, Dotson, and Ross as their receiving corps, in week 4. It was also close to 90 degrees with 68% humidity that day.

Eagles are quite different now and I don't think the bucs would be too much to overcome.

I typically don’t lose sleep over the Eagles losing games anymore, even playoff games. But if we lost to that d-bag Baker at home in the playoffs, I’d definitely lose some sleep. 

7 minutes ago, e-a-g-l-e-s eagles! said:

Aj brown only played 1 games in the 3 games we’ve faced them since he’s got here. It was the only win we had. Lost the two games he was hurt. Frankly kind of think the eagles like if they faced the commanders would have another edge to them with how things went in the most recent game. 

Right.  And they were both in Tampa.   This breaks all the trends.

IMO Eagles biggest threat were Lions and they're pretty decimated 

If we were to lose to them then we don't deserve to win a ring this year

Just now, Mike030270 said:

IMO Eagles biggest threat were Lions and they're pretty decimated 

If we were to lose to them then we don't deserve to win a ring this year

They’re still going to be very tough at home 

Just for fun, my view of NFC teams ranked from least to most dangerous:

Washington -- getting to the playoffs was their win. Their only win against a team with a winning record was against us thanks to Luvu head hunting Hurts and Smitty dropping an easy pass. Jayden Daniels is getting massively overhyped -- he hasn't been great other than the 4th quarter against us. Hell, the team was much better with Mariota yesterday. They scream 2022 Giants to me, but I don't expect them to pull the Wild Card upset.

Green Bay -- speaking of not having beaten anyone...wow. Their only wins against playoff teams were against a Rams team without Kupp and Nacua, and beating the Texans (which everyone in the NFC North seemed to do). Without Jaire Alexander and Christian Watson, it's going to be difficult for them to recapture last year's magic. They do have a good run defense, so that could pose a challenge on Sunday. Still, hard to see them making real noise.

Vikings -- another team where the question is -- who have they beaten (the NFC North feasted on the AFC South and NFC West, 2 terrible divisions). Their 3 "good" wins were 2 against the Packers (see above) and the Texans. Plus, Sam Darnold got exposed last night, and the Rams can rush the passer. Feels like one and done.

Rams -- I really think people are too high on the Rams, but they are better than the 3 teams below them. People keep living on the legends of Stafford, McVay and this offense, but the offense has really struggled since the Bills game (12, 19 and 13 points). The defense has carried them down the stretch, but...we all saw what happens when you run downhill at them. Stafford is likely going to Canton, but he isn't the same guy anymore -- 93.7 rating this year.

Lions -- Too many injuries, and the coach is so stupid I expect it to cost them. Campbell is everything the national media thinks Nick is -- stupid and reckless on 4th downs. Furthermore, having his starters in the game last night up 31-9 with 4 minutes left so Zeitler can get hurt...he's not aggressive, he's just an idiot being carried by his coordinators. It cost them last year and will cost them this year. Playing man and blitzing Darnold worked because he's Sam Darnold. Any other NFC playoff QB would light that up.

Bucs -- People are sleeping on this team. If Godwin were healthy, they would be a larger threat, but they are still damn good. Beat the Lions and the Eagles (granted, we were injured). Beat the Commanders and Chargers as well. Yeah, they have bad losses like Dallas and the 49ers, but they played a tough schedule. And Baker is playing VERY well. I do think they will struggle if they have to play in the elements.

19 hours ago, ToastJenkins said:

Once the all22 is out i would love to hear what @just relax thinks of Keegans play

Even before the All-22 comes out I can say that Keegan played well. He has to anchor a little better in pass pro but his technique and hand placement were very good. I thought his run blocking was the best of all the guards, Steen included. Driscoll was pretty bad though he did have one good block on a pin-and-pull to the left. He failed to pick up a stunt that could have gotten McKee killed.

I thought Burks and Ringo were both fantastic and Ringo was an absolute stud in special teams. On Rodgers' 51-yard return, Ringo and Wilson doubled the outside Giant and drove him back 20+ yards. Put him on skates. The punt where the Giant returner gave ground and was downed inside the 10? That was Ringo.

Davis and Williams were both terrific.

Sidney Brown has tremendous range but he must have whiffed on four tackles, if not more. If he can cool his jets just a little bit he'll be a helluva safety. He reminds me a lot of #20.

McKee has nice pocket presence. I very much liked that the Eagles decided to see what he had rather than have him hand off 40 times. He showed a lot.

Elliott does have me worried.

Forecast for Sunday is high of 38 and clear.

6 minutes ago, Sack that QB said:

Forecast for Sunday is high of 38 and clear.

Cool.  No Snow Bowl please.

6 minutes ago, vikas83 said:

Just for fun, my view of NFC teams ranked from least to most dangerous:

Washington -- getting to the playoffs was their win. Their only win against a team with a winning record was against us thanks to Luvu head hunting Hurts and Smitty dropping an easy pass. Jayden Daniels is getting massively overhyped -- he hasn't been great other than the 4th quarter against us. Hell, the team was much better with Mariota yesterday. They scream 2022 Giants to me, but I don't expect them to pull the Wild Card upset.

Green Bay -- speaking of not having beaten anyone...wow. Their only wins against playoff teams were against a Rams team without Kupp and Nacua, and beating the Texans (which everyone in the NFC North seemed to do). Without Jaire Alexander and Christian Watson, it's going to be difficult for them to recapture last year's magic. They do have a good run defense, so that could pose a challenge on Sunday. Still, hard to see them making real noise.

Vikings -- another team where the question is -- who have they beaten (the NFC North feasted on the AFC South and NFC West, 2 terrible divisions). Their 3 "good" wins were 2 against the Packers (see above) and the Texans. Plus, Sam Darnold got exposed last night, and the Rams can rush the passer. Feels like one and done.

Rams -- I really think people are too high on the Rams, but they are better than the 3 teams below them. People keep living on the legends of Stafford, McVay and this offense, but the offense has really struggled since the Bills game (12, 19 and 13 points). The defense has carried them down the stretch, but...we all saw what happens when you run downhill at them. Stafford is likely going to Canton, but he isn't the same guy anymore -- 93.7 rating this year.

Lions -- Too many injuries, and the coach is so stupid I expect it to cost them. Campbell is everything the national media thinks Nick is -- stupid and reckless on 4th downs. Furthermore, having his starters in the game last night up 31-9 with 4 minutes left so Zeitler can get hurt...he's not aggressive, he's just an idiot being carried by his coordinators. It cost them last year and will cost them this year. Playing man and blitzing Darnold worked because he's Sam Darnold. Any other NFC playoff QB would light that up.

Bucs -- People are sleeping on this team. If Godwin were healthy, they would be a larger threat, but they are still damn good. Beat the Lions and the Eagles (granted, we were injured). Beat the Commanders and Chargers as well. Yeah, they have bad losses like Dallas and the 49ers, but they played a tough schedule. And Baker is playing VERY well. I do think they will struggle if they have to play in the elements.

I’d add with the Bucs they nearly lost to the panthers in overtime and lost to cousins twice. They are really up and down. Saw it the last month of the season. Raiders and panthers were close games into the 4th quarter and in Carolina’s game overtime. Then they smacked the chargers. Then lost to Dallas. Then smacked the panthers at home. Then were in a dogfight with Spencer rattler and the saints. 

34 minutes ago, wussbasket said:

While the bucs have had the Eagles number for awhile, the last match up was without AJ and Smitty. They trotted out Goedert, Calcaterra, Campbell, Dotson, and Ross as their receiving corps, in week 4. It was also close to 90 degrees with 68% humidity that day.

Eagles are quite different now and I don't think the bucs would be too much to overcome.

 

Also only handed the ball off to Barkley a season low 10 times despite Barkley having 84 yards on those 10 carries.  That was also when our defense had Maddox in the slot still which the Bucs were feasting on.  Also had Godwin still.

37 minutes ago, wussbasket said:

While the bucs have had the Eagles number for awhile, the last match up was without AJ and Smitty. They trotted out Goedert, Calcaterra, Campbell, Dotson, and Ross as their receiving corps, in week 4. It was also close to 90 degrees with 68% humidity that day.

Eagles are quite different now and I don't think the bucs would be too much to overcome.

I was at the game - it was 100+ degrees in the sun with the humidity - I was drenched in sweat by the end of the 1st quarter just sitting in the stands.

(In case anyone was wondering, they measure temps in the shade so on a day like that, it’s usually 10-15 degrees hotter in the sun) 

11 minutes ago, vikas83 said:

Just for fun, my view of NFC teams ranked from least to most dangerous:

Washington -- getting to the playoffs was their win. Their only win against a team with a winning record was against us thanks to Luvu head hunting Hurts and Smitty dropping an easy pass. Jayden Daniels is getting massively overhyped -- he hasn't been great other than the 4th quarter against us. Hell, the team was much better with Mariota yesterday. They scream 2022 Giants to me, but I don't expect them to pull the Wild Card upset.

 

Just comparing Hurts to Daniels

Hurts only has 1 year where he's thrown more than Daniels this year. 2 years where he's had more yards passed. Daniels has more passing TDs than Hurts in any season and has a better completion % than any season of Hurts. Daniels gets sacked way more. Don't know if that's because he holds the ball longer than Hurts and/or Commies Oline<Eagles Oline

Have we actually played in a bad weather game this season? Feels like every week it’s sunny whenever we are. 
 

 

15 minutes ago, just relax said:

Sidney Brown has tremendous range but he must have whiffed on four tackles, if not more. If he can cool his jets just a little bit he'll be a helluva safety. He reminds me a lot of #20.

Biggest difference I see between them is something I am only guessing about.  I think Brown closes his eyes as he comes in for impact, I think Dawk always had his eyes open.  

40 minutes ago, e-a-g-l-e-s eagles! said:

As long as they didn’t hire sodfather we should be ok 

He does have the weekend off.

image.jpeg.15c8648b5cea05d35cd4a746a2c84d16.jpeg

52 minutes ago, Iggles_Phan said:

Ok.   And the 1 win was the only time they had AJ Brown available.  Be concerned.  Just don't expect everyone else to share your fears.  The Eagles are better than the Bucs.  They will likely get their chance to prove it, unless Washington proves that the Bucs aren't actually that scary and beat them first.

As for the advanced metrics.   🥱.  

Not having AJ in those games is only part of it.  And this year’s game they were also missing 60% of the offensive line I want to say.

But to me, the biggest reason is the defense is playing completely different.  The Bucs will not recognize them.

18 minutes ago, rrfierce said:

Have we actually played in a bad weather game this season? Feels like every week it’s sunny whenever we are. 
 

 

I don’t think it rained in Philadelphia at all from late AUG until early NOV.

One of the best plays of the game yesterday. Ringo brings a lot of good to special teams and he’s embraced that role. 

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