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EMB Blog: 2024 Regular Season (Part 2) ... and Playoffs

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1 minute ago, LeanMeanGM said:

 

Should we be concerned then? This is another AJ injury that’s popped up.

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41 minutes ago, BigEFly said:

Spent some time in MI this past October.  Didn’t realize it had such lovely foliage. No Northern Lights but a nice vacation. Wife can now strike MI off of her fifty states. Good wine and some great apples. Northern peninsula too.  In the last three months we have visited all the states east of the Mississippi except the states north of New York, Kentucky and Florida. Plus several states west of the Mississippi.  Was kind of surprised about the lack of Lions wear away from Detroit area. 

The Lions have been so bad for so long that they lost a ton of fans. It’s mostly college now, Michigan and, to a lesser extent, Michigan State. 

 

 

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50 minutes ago, BigEFly said:

Spent some time in MI this past October.  Didn’t realize it had such lovely foliage. No Northern Lights but a nice vacation. Wife can now strike MI off of her fifty states. Good wine and some great apples. Northern peninsula too.  In the last three months we have visited all the states east of the Mississippi except the states north of New York, Kentucky and Florida. Plus several states west of the Mississippi.  Was kind of surprised about the lack of Lions wear away from Detroit area. 

If you enjoy the autumn foliage, you could knock a few states off your list and plan a trip to Vermont/New Hampshire/Western Mass next fall.  Lots to do other than look at leaves.

The new Superman is an Eagles fan.

 

 

 

 

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33 minutes ago, rrfierce said:

didn't he come out of the game of a bit on sunday straight after that?

I'd definiately say its related.

Nope.

34 minutes ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

Should we be concerned then? This is another AJ injury that’s popped up.

No. Why be concerned? He hasn't missed any day of practice and was listed as rest/knee, it wasn't just knee. Eagles probably only even put knee to not get in trouble like when they were hiding the Hurts ankle thing. It's a big nothing burger until he actually misses time.

34 minutes ago, just relax said:

The Lions have been so bad for so long that they lost a ton of fans. 

Really? I guess you mean the overall fan base. Every game I've watched of them the last two years their stadium is rocking. 

 

I wonder if this is fallout from the whole Phillies thing

40 minutes ago, UK_EaglesFan89 said:

Should we be concerned then? This is another AJ injury that’s popped up.

He’s already practicing, so no

1 minute ago, LeanMeanGM said:

 

I wonder if this is fallout from the whole Phillies thing

100% what I immediately thought

2 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

 

 

Good riddance.

17 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

 

I wonder if this is fallout from the whole Phillies thing

Burger King mascot better watch out Howard's coming for him 

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1 hour ago, Connecticut Eagle said:

A previous iteration that only lasted four seasons.

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/bcl/

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I never knew the current Colts franchise was the SECOND one to start in Baltimore!!!

I still have major issues with this site, and the only way I can write here is if I jump through some hoops. Which I'm doing now.

I've been looking at all of the 15-2 tiebreak scenarios with the Vikings (we lose tiebreaks with the Lions, so that's a lost cause) regarding "strength of victory". I jotted down 25 games throughout the league the last three weeks which will have some effect on the tiebreak. Not all of these games are "created equal". For example, the Giants/Falcons game this week would actually count "triple" since the Giants would count twice for us and the Falcons would count once for the Vikings. But for the sake of argument, let's just say there are 25 games of equal importance.

I plied them all into the playoff machine calculator in our favor and naturally the Eagles ended up with the first seed. I switched one to see if it changed. No, it did not. I switched another...same thing. Ultimately I made nine such switches and we were still good. When I made the next one, it switched over to the Vikings getting the top seed.

So basically we need to hit on roughly 19 out of 25 random games in order for us to get the top seed if the Vikings win their final three games also. I then looked at a binomial chart to see what the odds of that happening if every outcome were a 50% proposition (which obviously is not the case here since some of the games we're looking for -- like the Giants beating the Falcons -- is not 50/50) and discovered that it's roughly 5%. That ain't good folks.

So it would appear that if the Vikings win out, they have a 95% chance of winning the tiebreak with us. 

3 hours ago, vikas83 said:

The issue for Dallas is some of the stalwarts have aged out, and they really haven't been replaced. Their run from ~2014 until 2023 was basically anchored by a great offensive line. Tyron Smith, Zach Martin and Travis Frederick (2011, 2013 and 2014 first round picks) were basically the reason they could be so dominant on offense, and then supplemented with guys like Dez and Witten at first, now Ceedee. But Frederick is long retired due to health issues, his replacement Biadasz (who was decent) is also gone and they've been using a guy in Beebe who has never played center before this year. Tyron Smith is gone and replaced with a very raw rookie in Tyler Guyton. And Martin is likely playing his last year in Dallas. Next year's offensive line is going to be question marks all across the board.

Add on that they have nothing at the skill position beyond Ceedee, are going to lose Lawrence and basically have only Parsons as a real pass rusher (and he needs a new contract) and have 2 big money CBs that can't stay on the field...and it's a tough picture moving forward. Jerry's too cheap to bring in FAs, and they are committed to Dak for 3 more years.

People were being lazy and calling on them to win 12 games again this year. They need to rebuild the offensive and defensive lines.

 I think the o-line has one above average starter in Steele and not much else.  Guyton was benched this season which certainly isn't promising.  I think the problem with the d-line is that they will be pressured to keep the talent they have but that talent doesn't fit together well. Zimmerman wants to run a 4 down lineman scheme.  The Cowboys best player, Parsons, is a 3-4 Edge player.  The rest of the line just doesn't have the size or skillset to make plays.   Mazi Smith is terrible and has little to no anchor.  Osi, the other DT, is an undersized rotational player.  

37 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

Really? I guess you mean the overall fan base. Every game I've watched of them the last two years their stadium is rocking. 

The overall fan base.   I have a friend who has been a lifelong Lions fan.  He still is, but in the last 5 years, he gave up his season tickets and started to 'check out' the game each week, rather than organizing his entire weekend around it.   He's happy with the current state of the team, but told me he's not as vested as he was back when they would break his heart... aka, the Barry Sanders era, and the beat down the Eagles put on him at the Vet in '96.

37 minutes ago, LeanMeanGM said:

 

I wonder if this is fallout from the whole Phillies thing

He's been 'moving on' from them for years and years.  No longer had a regular weekday show, but would just do guest spots here and there.   He's also in his 70s... he might just be retiring.  Or, being retired.  🤷‍♂️

4 minutes ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

I still have major issues with this site, and the only way I can write here is if I jump through some hoops. Which I'm doing now.

I've been looking at all of the 15-2 tiebreak scenarios with the Vikings (we lose tiebreaks with the Lions, so that's a lost cause) regarding "strength of victory". I jotted down 25 games throughout the league the last three weeks which will have some effect on the tiebreak. Not all of these games are "created equal". For example, the Giants/Falcons game this week would actually count "triple" since the Giants would count twice for us and the Falcons would count once for the Lions. But for the sake of argument, let's just say there are 25 games of equal importance.

I plied them all into the playoff machine calculator in our favor and naturally the Eagles ended up with the first seed. I switched one to see if it changed. No, it did not. I switched another...same thing. Ultimately I made nine such switches and we were still good. When I made the next one, it switched over to the Vikings getting the top seed.

So basically we need to hit on roughly 19 out of 25 random games in order for us to get the top seed if the Vikings win their final three games also. I then looked at a binomial chart to see what the odds of that happening if every outcome were a 50% proposition (which obviously is not the case here since some of the games we're looking for -- like the Giants beating the Falcons -- is not 50/50) and discovered that it's roughly 5%. That ain't good folks.

So it would appear that if the Vikings win out, they have a 95% chance of winning the tiebreak with us. 

So, we're going to need them to lose... and for the Lions to drop one that they shouldn't to the Bears or 49ers... 

3 minutes ago, FranklinFldEBUpper said:

I still have major issues with this site, and the only way I can write here is if I jump through some hoops. Which I'm doing now.

I've been looking at all of the 15-2 tiebreak scenarios with the Vikings (we lose tiebreaks with the Lions, so that's a lost cause) regarding "strength of victory". I jotted down 25 games throughout the league the last three weeks which will have some effect on the tiebreak. Not all of these games are "created equal". For example, the Giants/Falcons game this week would actually count "triple" since the Giants would count twice for us and the Falcons would count once for the Lions. But for the sake of argument, let's just say there are 25 games of equal importance.

I plied them all into the playoff machine calculator in our favor and naturally the Eagles ended up with the first seed. I switched one to see if it changed. No, it did not. I switched another...same thing. Ultimately I made nine such switches and we were still good. When I made the next one, it switched over to the Vikings getting the top seed.

So basically we need to hit on roughly 19 out of 25 random games in order for us to get the top seed if the Vikings win their final three games also. I then looked at a binomial chart to see what the odds of that happening if every outcome were a 50% proposition (which obviously is not the case here since some of the games we're looking for -- like the Giants beating the Falcons -- is not 50/50) and discovered that it's roughly 5%. That ain't good folks.

So it would appear that if the Vikings win out, they have a 95% chance of winning the tiebreak with us. 

I have this weird feeling that the Vikes are going to lose this week and screw us up with the Lions by sitting everyone for the game, lol.  So need a miracle in the Chi/Detroit or SF/Detroit games. 

13 minutes ago, jamiller said:

I have this weird feeling that the Vikes are going to lose this week and screw us up with the Lions by sitting everyone for the game, lol.  So need a miracle in the Chi/Detroit or SF/Detroit games. 

I'd gladly take the Vikings loss and worry about the rest later. Detroit could very well lose the first game and we host. I don't think the Vikings would and we'd be in Minny. Shame the 49ers are such a crap show, though.

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