October 8, 20223 yr 5 minutes ago, dawkdaballhawk said: the bridge was out for tens of minutes LOL Next time Abra, next time.
October 8, 20223 yr 6 hours ago, Bill said: I think you'd see it limited to Russian controlled territory in Ukraine, with the potential of strikes in Russia and Belarus to hit targets that have the capabilities of striking in Ukraine. The problem with instituting a no fly zone is that it's not needed at this point, since Russia can't get any aircraft to penetrate into Ukrainian controlled territory, it wouldn't stop further attacks because they'd likely be launched from strategic bombers in Russian airspace, and the fact that it would lead to direct confrontation anyway. On the last point, no fly zones have to be enforced, so when a Russian aircraft breaks the rules you have to shoot it down, or if a SAM site starts shooting, you have to destroy it. So there's going to be shooting in a no fly zone anyway. Can't get away from it. Realistically all this is a moot point because I don't think Russia will use any WMD. It won't change anything tactically or strategically for Russia, and they risk additional NATO involvement. Russia will throw numbers at the problem, and they will lose because the people calling those shots aren't military. Numbers mean nothing when you don't have training or equipment. Setting off a nuke would likely send the entire global economy into absolute panic. And then what happens to supply chains? Markets probably crash, a good number of people might flee cities. It has the potential to cause absolute chaos. Militarily it wouldn’t change much, but a tactical nuke could absolutely have massive strategic consequences.
October 8, 20223 yr 32 minutes ago, TEW said: Setting off a nuke would likely send the entire global economy into absolute panic. And then what happens to supply chains? Markets probably crash, a good number of people might flee cities. It has the potential to cause absolute chaos. Militarily it wouldn’t change much, but a tactical nuke could absolutely have massive strategic consequences. Including nato wiping russia off the map. Even vlad knows that
October 8, 20223 yr 21 minutes ago, ToastJenkins said: Including nato wiping russia off the map. Even vlad knows that And then they wipe us off the map. I think/hope we have more sense than this.
October 8, 20223 yr 24 minutes ago, TEW said: And then they wipe us off the map. I think/hope we have more sense than this. Uh no. Their military is a joke as we have seen. it literally serves no purpose beyond a bluff. Vlad wants russia to be reassembled into a powerful ussr. A nuke guarantees the opposite. He dies (also against his goal) and russia is carved up into many countries. Russian glory becomes a footnote in history books
October 8, 20223 yr 1 hour ago, ToastJenkins said: Uh no. Their military is a joke as we have seen. it literally serves no purpose beyond a bluff. Vlad wants russia to be reassembled into a powerful ussr. A nuke guarantees the opposite. He dies (also against his goal) and russia is carved up into many countries. Russian glory becomes a footnote in history books Dude, their conventional military may be a joke, but they’ve got literally thousands of nukes. You can’t just go "wipe Russia off the map” and expect them not to respond in kind.
October 8, 20223 yr 50 minutes ago, TEW said: Dude, their conventional military may be a joke, but they’ve got literally thousands of nukes. You can’t just go "wipe Russia off the map” and expect them not to respond in kind. In your scenario they attack first crippling moscow would end the conversation. You think the rest of the country wants to eff around and find out?
October 8, 20223 yr 49 minutes ago, TEW said: Dude, their conventional military may be a joke, but they’ve got literally thousands of nukes. You can’t just go "wipe Russia off the map” and expect them not to respond in kind. If my aunt had balls, she'd be my uncle. Nobody wants to get nuked. Nobody is thinking of it as an afterthought. Sure, is it possible? Yeah. And it's also possible for a giant asteroid to hit the earth tomorrow and end all life forms. You're so Fing focused on the if. Focus on the will. Americans think the Russians are soviets because we have the attention span of a goldfish. They're not. Putin? He's not a communist. Any oligarch in Russia? They're not either. You look at Russian history and it's a tale of self serving Tsars and rich people. They're not idealists. Plain and simple. Stop thinking of them as brainless commies. They're not. Nothing nuclear will be launched simply for the fact that they know it would be the end of them. If it were going to happen, it would have happened already. I hope you never marry, because if someone breaks into your house in the middle of the night and wants your wife, he's going to have her.
October 8, 20223 yr 8 hours ago, JohnSnowsHair said: @Bill NCD is pretty energized today lol The funny thing is as soon as I heard the bridge was hit NCD is the first place i looked. 😄
October 8, 20223 yr 31 minutes ago, ToastJenkins said: In your scenario they attack first crippling moscow would end the conversation. You think the rest of the country wants to eff around and find out? Well, it wasn’t my scenario, but the question is if they used "a nuke.” So now you’ve escalated a single use of a nuke by Russia on Ukraine to all out thermonuclear war, and we’re all dead. I don’t think Ukraine is worth it, frankly.the USSR was far worse than current Russia and we didn’t bother getting into a nuke fight back then when they controlled Ukraine, so why now?
October 8, 20223 yr 46 minutes ago, Bill said: If my aunt had balls, she'd be my uncle. Nobody wants to get nuked. Nobody is thinking of it as an afterthought. Sure, is it possible? Yeah. And it's also possible for a giant asteroid to hit the earth tomorrow and end all life forms. You're so Fing focused on the if. Focus on the will. Americans think the Russians are soviets because we have the attention span of a goldfish. They're not. Putin? He's not a communist. Any oligarch in Russia? They're not either. You look at Russian history and it's a tale of self serving Tsars and rich people. They're not idealists. Plain and simple. Stop thinking of them as brainless commies. They're not. Nothing nuclear will be launched simply for the fact that they know it would be the end of them. If it were going to happen, it would have happened already. I hope you never marry, because if someone breaks into your house in the middle of the night and wants your wife, he's going to have her. If we "wipe Russia off the map” — which is what TJ said — Russia will with 100% absolute certainty nuke us to oblivion in retaliation. You can’t just level a country with 7000 nukes and expect them to eat it without retaliation. The commies were far from brainless, BTW. They were extremely rational actors during the Cold War. They were, frankly, less likely to launch than Russia today. They had a no first strike policy, for starters, which Russia no longer has. And no, if someone breaks into my house they’re dead, because it’s my house and my wife. Ukraine isn’t my country. They’re not even a NATO member. So your analogy sucks, and ironically, your decision making in this scenario is far more likely to get your wife killed than my decision making. If you’re going to try to go with personal attacks, don’t make yourself look like a moron in the process.
October 8, 20223 yr 13 minutes ago, TEW said: If we "wipe Russia off the map” — which is what TJ said — Russia will with 100% absolute certainty nuke us to oblivion in retaliation. You can’t just level a country with 7000 nukes and expect them to eat it without retaliation. The commies were far from brainless, BTW. They were extremely rational actors during the Cold War. They were, frankly, less likely to launch than Russia today. They had a no first strike policy, for starters, which Russia no longer has. And no, if someone breaks into my house they’re dead, because it’s my house and my wife. Ukraine isn’t my country. They’re not even a NATO member. So your analogy sucks, and ironically, your decision making in this scenario is far more likely to get your wife killed than my decision making. If you’re going to try to go with personal attacks, don’t make yourself look like a moron in the process. Ah yes, I am the moron because I yield to theoreticals versus practicals. I have been consistently proven wrong on this topic since day one. This thread doesn't have a "Bill was right again" post on every page. I am speaking consistently about things out of my wheelhouse.
October 8, 20223 yr 36 minutes ago, TEW said: Well, it wasn’t my scenario, but the question is if they used "a nuke.” So now you’ve escalated a single use of a nuke by Russia on Ukraine to all out thermonuclear war, and we’re all dead. I don’t think Ukraine is worth it, frankly.the USSR was far worse than current Russia and we didn’t bother getting into a nuke fight back then when they controlled Ukraine, so why now? Because we dont care about your leveraged investments getting destroyed? all that is necessary for evil to win is for good men to do nothing. Dont be such a weakling
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