The Sunday game vs. Cowboys is on most of the country.  We are the unlucky few who are in the Giants territory and won't get the game!  What option do I have to watch the game?

16 minutes ago, Sack that QB said:

I was looking at the Eagles pass defense and how poorly it was ranked numbers-wise. I forget the details I'd have to dig them up. Curious if anyone has crunched the numbers and see where the pass defense ranks if you exclude the Washington games. To get a better idea if it is just bad in general or a byproduct of those two games really skewing the numbers.

It would move us from 26th in the league to 17th. So still not great. Not unexpected considering the carousel in the secondary.

14 minutes ago, Penn7980 said:

The Sunday game vs. Cowboys is on most of the country.  We are the unlucky few who are in the Giants territory and won't get the game!  What option do I have to watch the game?

If you are determined to stay home a VPN and NFL+ might allow you to circumvent the issue.

12 minutes ago, Penn7980 said:

The Sunday game vs. Cowboys is on most of the country.  We are the unlucky few who are in the Giants territory and won't get the game!  What option do I have to watch the game?

https://reddit1.nflbite.com/

44 minutes ago, e-a-g-l-e-s eagles! said:

Where did i say i was smarter than vegas? What Vegas does with their lines is completely different and a bunch of other gambling factors then a convo about aj not being here changing the offense entirely this year and having more potential losses. Or evidence of teams with and without aj brown shown significant changes. I said is i watched this team struggle with the commanders twice, rams and NE with aj brown as a huge factor that they could be closer to 4-4 record if he wasn’t here (meaning somewhere around that mark). And aj brown on a historic run and pace. 

So Vegas couldn’t possibly think the eagles could be 2-3 losses worse without him? vegas couldnt possibly conclude that the eagles would be a significantly different offense with evidence from his previous team and how the offense had to function prior to acquiring him? 

Also it’s a guess on everyone’s part on here what Vegas exactly would say if aj brown never existed on the eagles. (Hurts with aj brown (including playoffs) is averaging about 3.3 points per game more than without him). That’s not definitive yet you sound like you definitively know that’s what Vegas would say. 

It is not different.  The methodology is different, but what is being done ... determining the aggregate factors associated with scoring points and the aggregate factors in surrendering points, and bringing those factors together into a "line" is precisely what your "eyes" are doing.

When you say that "it’s a guess on everyone’s part on here what Vegas exactly would say if aj brown never existed on the eagles" you conveniently ignore the fact that "it’s a guess on your part what would be the reality if aj brown never existed on the eagles"

52 minutes ago, mattwill said:

It is not different.  The methodology is different, but what is being done ... determining the aggregate factors associated with scoring points and the aggregate factors in surrendering points, and bringing those factors together into a "line" is precisely what your "eyes" are doing.

When you say that "it’s a guess on everyone’s part on here what Vegas exactly would say if aj brown never existed on the eagles" you conveniently ignore the fact that "it’s a guess on your part what would be the reality if aj brown never existed on the eagles"

there’s an entire angle of gambling/money that vegas accounts for with their lines. It’s a factor and difference. Just a guess if aj brown was out and it started at -1 (down from -3 with him) with how much of a difference maker and factor brown has been this year that there’s a chance the money would come in heavy on Dallas and shift that line. So the two points everyone talked about might not actually finish at just 2 cause of his loss  

It’s a guess on your part what Vegas would think to make your initial comment lol.  What if Vegas actually would side closer with me on how i perceive an aj brownless reality. then I’m not smarter then the odds makers. they just sided more with my line of thinking. 

also not ignore It is a guess with my reality. But in my reality I’m using facts from previous teams that have shown a significant difference with and without him ppg and W-L and how the eagles struggled with him being arguably a top 10 player in the league this year to win some games this games vs. inferior teams. Those statistics aren’t guesses. Vegas may think AJ Brown is only worth 1 or 2 point difference in their lines. However if I watch the Tennessee Titans with him in without him and noticed that there’s scoring 10 points less per game, the offense doesn’t possess the ball nearly as well so their defense is getting tired more and giving up more points. I can disagree with Vegas that it’s 1 or 2. That is a is not I am smarter than Vegas. No what is saying is I don’t agree with her evaluation in this particular aspect. I could be wrong, but guess what? Vegas could also moss on the evaluation. 

I am done having the convo. I really don’t care to have the convo with you. Have a good night. 

I miss the Siposs vs anyone debates.

4 hours ago, eglz1 said:

The term "Glory Hole" can have two substantially different meanings depending on context. One is used in the oil wildcat business where Jerry made his $$$$$. I know it was the oil business and I think it was wildcatting. I'm sure he knows both meanings.

You don't saaaaaay

3 hours ago, judunno said:

Not worried about him when he's out of it either lol. Oz is available he's fine as a 4th or 5th guy. Julio is #3 now.

Are you a DC? If not why would you be worried about him?

So George Pickens not only said free me, he straight up asked to be released. Or is this just an account assuming free me means he wants to be released?

 

9 minutes ago, Utebird said:

Are you a DC? If not why would you be worried about him?

That's what I was implying... DCs aren't that worried about that man when he's on the field. Come on now stay with me :)

4 minutes ago, bpac55 said:

So George Pickens not only said free me, he straight up asked to be released. Or is this just an account assuming free me means he wants to be released?

 

Ill take him. 

56 minutes ago, e-a-g-l-e-s eagles! said:

there’s an entire angle of gambling/money that vegas accounts for with their lines. It’s a factor and difference. Just a guess if aj brown was out and it started at -1 (down from -3 with him) with how much of a difference maker and factor brown has been this year that there’s a chance the money would come in heavy on Dallas and shift that line. So the two points everyone talked about might not actually finish at just 2 cause of his loss  

It’s a guess on your part what Vegas would think to make your initial comment lol.  What if Vegas actually would side closer with me on how i perceive an aj brownless reality. then I’m not smarter then the odds makers. they just sided more with my line of thinking. 

also not ignore It is a guess with my reality. But in my reality I’m using facts from previous teams that have shown a significant difference with and without him ppg and W-L and how the eagles struggled with him being arguably a top 10 player in the league this year to win some games this games vs. inferior teams. Those statistics aren’t guesses 

I am done having the convo. I really don’t care to have the convo with you. Have a good night. 

Those statistics are definitely not guesses ... and all of those statistics are included in the Las Vegas statistical models that spit out the various lines.  You are acting like you are uniquely considering things others are not considering.  That is self delusion pure and simple.

2 hours ago, mattwill said:

Those statistics are definitely not guesses ... and all of those statistics are included in the Las Vegas statistical models that spit out the various lines.  You are acting like you are uniquely considering things others are not considering.  That is self delusion pure and simple.

Sure Matt. where did i say they were unique to just me and others didn’t consider it? I know in the convo mvp and I were having he definitely didn’t go check the titans with and without AJ brown. I’m guessing he never knew that their ppg dropped by 10 points and went 1-3 the year he missed 4 games as they got the 1 seed. So i provided that. And that weighs much heavier with me knowing that team was a 1 seeded team that struggled without him and haven’t been able to come close to replacing him even with Deandre Hopkins being there (don’t think they’d be as drastic of a drop off as titans it’s why i said i think closer to 4-4 or 5-3)

Sorry i don’t think Vegas is word of god on every matter or think that anyone this disagrees with them believes/thinks they are smarter than them. I said, I didn’t care what Vegas thinks on this matter because I’d disagree with them if it would just be 1-2 point swing in the game. Based off what matters to me (and actual stats i brought up no one else posted or brought up so did the blog actually use them prior to me putting them out there?). I’ve seen what happened to a no. 1 seeded team when they lost him. I don’t have to agree with Vegas on everything. that doesn’t mean i believe I’m smarter them Vegas. It means i disagree with their interpretation on this potential matter. I didn’t agree with them last year with the chiefs being underdogs heading into the Super Bowl. Turns out chiefs won while Vegas thought it would be the eagles. My rationale behind it weighed more on Patrick mahomes factor, Andy Reid imo was a better coach and his experience in a SB would help him over Nick Sirianni, and I didn’t trust Jonathan Gannon vs. a great quarterback based off his track record. So i didn’t think the eagles should’ve been the favorites. (Doesn’t mean i thought the eagles were just going to lose. I thought had a good chance due to a extremely healthy and talented roster if those things didn’t weigh as much as i valued them to be). that didn’t mean I think I’m smarter than Vegas. but what i used to push my line of thinking heading into that game clearly weighed heavier for me than it did for Vegas 

Have a good night matt 

This is an important graph.  Why?

34 minutes ago, bpac55 said:

So George Pickens not only said free me, he straight up asked to be released. Or is this just an account assuming free me means he wants to be released?

 

Make it happen Howie.  He can replace Quez.......or Oz.

2 hours ago, bpac55 said:

So George Pickens not only said free me, he straight up asked to be released. Or is this just an account assuming free me means he wants to be released?

 

They aren’t going to release him cause he’s too valuable to release and the trade deadline has passed. Frankly could see them trying to suspended him for a game for something like conduct detrimental to the team.

That said, they really need to move on from Matt Canada. I don’t know if Pickett is good, bad or just average but that offense has lacked good play calling and creativity for a while under Matt Canada. Him moving down to the sideline to call plays wasn’t going to help fix their issues with him at OC. 

2 hours ago, DEagle7 said:

This is an important graph.  Why?

Clock-eating drives … ball control … time of possession … a first and nine mentality/approach 

went back to look at miles sanders running the ball through first 8 weeks of 2022 compared to this swift this year:

sanders 1st 8 games in 2022: 131 rushes,  656 yards (5.01 yards per carry) and 6 rushing tds 

swift: 117 rushes, 571 rushing yards (4.9 yards per carry) and 3 rushing tds

The fact we are giving gainwell more snaps kind of limits the amount of touches in the run game swift gets. swift is the more talented running back of between he and sanders. Still think by year’s end the running stats will bare it out in swift’s favor.

But really it would be nice to get him going like we did the first couple weeks of the year. the eagles run game over the last 5 games and since jurgens got hurt hasn’t been nearly as effective as the first couple weeks of the year. Over the last 5 games swift has 72 carries (averages to about 14.4 per game) for 263 yards which is 3.65 yards per game. Gainwell has been for a lack of more creative words awful. He has just 19 rushing attempt and just 42 yards which is 2.2 yards per carry. 

Yeah, I would think the correlation would be strong between playing with a lead and having a low first down average. Except for the Washington games, the Eagles have hardly been behind. 

Swift>Sanders

Run the ball

35 minutes ago, mattwill said:

Clock-eating drives … ball control … time of possession … a first and nine mentality/approach 

They should run first downs like I run my 1 800 gambling line.  1-800-The Other Way. Just take my picks and bet the other way.  

Like an archaeologist,

Sirianni needs to pound the rock.

Eagles offense was unstoppable when it could run at will.

Saturday Morning Predictions Update

48 predictions recorded with 8 for a Cowboys win and 40 for an Eagles win. Average predicted score is Eagles 32 Cowboys 25.  Some people want Nick to run up the score.  Their slogan is

A list of the recorded predictions so far is presented below, sorted alphabetically by the name of the predictor. If you don't see your name there, then I haven't yet recorded a prediction for you.

2 hours ago, Iggles25 said:

Like an archaeologist,

Sirianni needs to pound the rock.

Eagles offense was unstoppable when it could run at will.

Specifically run it at Parsons