November 4, 20241 yr Not familiar with this SoCal pollster but apparently they're getting tired of playing games, even if it means losing their only sponsor.
November 4, 20241 yr 1 minute ago, Toastrel said: Almost election day, thankfully. Looking forward to voting tomorrow morning. Finally all the ads and text messages will stop. Is it any wonder why polling is so inaccurate these days, most people just want all the noise to stop and return to peaceful silence.
November 4, 20241 yr 47 minutes ago, Toastrel said: Almost election day, thankfully. Looking forward to voting tomorrow morning. Agreed. I haven’t gotten and calls or texts on my personal phone, but I keep getting texts offering assistance to get Eric to vote since their records show that I haven’t voted in the last few elections from "Support the Black Vote” on my work phone. 1. My name is not Eric. 2. I am not black. 3. I have voted in every recent election including primaries. I have told them they have the wrong number/person repeatedly which just results in me getting the same message a day or two later from a new number.
November 4, 20241 yr 53 minutes ago, Toastrel said: Almost election day, thankfully. Looking forward to voting tomorrow morning. I'm looking forward to us all getting along and agreeing with each other again.
November 4, 20241 yr 1 hour ago, JohnSnowsHair said: oh come on, how about we see the full conversation rather than cutting it off? This clip out of context lacks credibility if it's trying to contend Ann Selzer, from whom there are hours of video online discussing in great detail political and polling matters, is specifically asking "what D and R" mean without context. get a grip dude. you fall for ish way too easily. stop leaning in to things that confirm your biases. think critically and ask questions. Remember when you asked for the full clip on Friday about Liz? Just saying. But when her poll is out there so much I'm not taking the time to watch a full interview. She should be able to speak with certainty about everything forward and backwards so to speak. But everyone in here has a bias in an election with such sharp contrasts.
November 4, 20241 yr 2 hours ago, Toastrel said: Trump's final, half empty, sad, low energy rally. This sad clown is going down, and then the real cheating starts. My guess is there will be 12 attempts to overthrow the election. More fake electors. What won't happen, is an armed mob of feebs attacking capitol to try and block certification. Lol you people show pics before they start and go oh look it's empty. Oh look empty seats in the boxes they don't have open. Also, his final rally doesn't start until tonight.
November 4, 20241 yr Article on election night mirages https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/red-blue-mirage-election-night-vote-counts-make-hard-tell-will-win-rcna175475 Pennsylvania: We expect the earliest-reported votes to be dominated by mail ballots, including from heavily Democratic Philadelphia and Allegheny counties, causing an early blue mirage. Then, as in-person Election Day votes are reported, the blue mirage will turn into a red one, with the results tipping more Republican than we expect to see in the final margin. Finally those large counties (particularly Philadelphia) will continue to count and report their remaining mail ballots. This will likely shift the race back in Democrats’ direction. In 2020, the Pennsylvania results at 3 a.m. ET on election night were about 7 percentage points more Republican than the final result. In the 2022 Senate election, the 3 a.m. red mirage was just over 1 percentage point from the final margin Michigan: We expect a slight red mirage in Michigan as smaller, more pro-Republican localities report their votes. The total vote count will likely trickle upward as small places report, and the size of the mirage will shrink when large, Democratic cities like Detroit, Grand Rapids and Ann Arbor report. This year, Michigan voters can vote early in person for the first time in a general election, and clerks are now permitted to preprocess their mail ballots, enabling faster counting. Both of these changes may cause differences in vote reporting patterns compared to what we have seen in previous elections Wisconsin: In most Wisconsin municipalities, all modes of vote are reported together. This produces a slight red mirage, because smaller, rural municipalities tend to report more quickly. A handful of large municipalities, including the city of Milwaukee, tabulate their mail ballots centrally and report them separately from their Election Day votes. The state will experience a red mirage until the heavily Democratic mail ballots from most heavily Democratic cities in the state are reported. At 4:42 a.m. ET on election night 2020, Milwaukee reported that Biden had received 85% of its 168,000 mail ballots. This caused Biden’s statewide total to increase from 47.3% to 49.3%
November 4, 20241 yr 4 minutes ago, paco said: I'm looking forward to us all getting along and agreeing with each other again. I'm good with that but I doubt some ever will.
November 4, 20241 yr 6 minutes ago, we_gotta_believe said: Article on election night mirages https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/red-blue-mirage-election-night-vote-counts-make-hard-tell-will-win-rcna175475 Pennsylvania: We expect the earliest-reported votes to be dominated by mail ballots, including from heavily Democratic Philadelphia and Allegheny counties, causing an early blue mirage. Then, as in-person Election Day votes are reported, the blue mirage will turn into a red one, with the results tipping more Republican than we expect to see in the final margin. Finally those large counties (particularly Philadelphia) will continue to count and report their remaining mail ballots. This will likely shift the race back in Democrats’ direction. In 2020, the Pennsylvania results at 3 a.m. ET on election night were about 7 percentage points more Republican than the final result. In the 2022 Senate election, the 3 a.m. red mirage was just over 1 percentage point from the final margin Michigan: We expect a slight red mirage in Michigan as smaller, more pro-Republican localities report their votes. The total vote count will likely trickle upward as small places report, and the size of the mirage will shrink when large, Democratic cities like Detroit, Grand Rapids and Ann Arbor report. This year, Michigan voters can vote early in person for the first time in a general election, and clerks are now permitted to preprocess their mail ballots, enabling faster counting. Both of these changes may cause differences in vote reporting patterns compared to what we have seen in previous elections Wisconsin: In most Wisconsin municipalities, all modes of vote are reported together. This produces a slight red mirage, because smaller, rural municipalities tend to report more quickly. A handful of large municipalities, including the city of Milwaukee, tabulate their mail ballots centrally and report them separately from their Election Day votes. The state will experience a red mirage until the heavily Democratic mail ballots from most heavily Democratic cities in the state are reported. At 4:42 a.m. ET on election night 2020, Milwaukee reported that Biden had received 85% of its 168,000 mail ballots. This caused Biden’s statewide total to increase from 47.3% to 49.3% You mean I'm gonna have to stay up until 4 AM to watch all the REEEEEing?
November 4, 20241 yr From the NYT: You already know Donald Trump. He is unfit to lead. Watch him. Listen to those who know him best. He tried to subvert an election and remains a threat to democracy. He helped overturn Roe, with terrible consequences. Mr. Trump’s corruption and lawlessness go beyond elections: It’s his whole ethos. He lies without limit. If he’s re-elected, the G.O.P. won’t restrain him. Mr. Trump will use the government to go after opponents. He will pursue a cruel policy of mass deportations. He will wreak havoc on the poor, the middle class and employers. Another Trump term will damage the climate, shatter alliances and strengthen autocrats. Americans should demand better. Vote.
November 4, 20241 yr 6 minutes ago, DiPros said: From the NYT: You already know Donald Trump. He is unfit to lead. Watch him. Listen to those who know him best. He tried to subvert an election and remains a threat to democracy. He helped overturn Roe, with terrible consequences. Mr. Trump’s corruption and lawlessness go beyond elections: It’s his whole ethos. He lies without limit. If he’s re-elected, the G.O.P. won’t restrain him. Mr. Trump will use the government to go after opponents. He will pursue a cruel policy of mass deportations. He will wreak havoc on the poor, the middle class and employers. Another Trump term will damage the climate, shatter alliances and strengthen autocrats. Americans should demand better. Vote. I don't have time to read all that. Can you underline the important part?
November 4, 20241 yr Something something rawr election interference Thousands of Trump Supporters Mobilized to Block Election Certification Thousands of supporters of former president Donald Trump have been trained how to pressure local election officials to refuse to certify the vote ahead of November's election, according to a new report from Lawfare.
November 4, 20241 yr 8 hours ago, Dave Moss said: We’re gonna put Herschel Walker in charge of THAAD @Arthur Jackson I cut a third sleeve in my Snuggie
November 4, 20241 yr 6 minutes ago, DiPros said: From the NYT: You already know Donald Trump. He is unfit to lead. Watch him. Listen to those who know him best. He tried to subvert an election and remains a threat to democracy. He helped overturn Roe, with terrible consequences. Mr. Trump’s corruption and lawlessness go beyond elections: It’s his whole ethos. He lies without limit. If he’s re-elected, the G.O.P. won’t restrain him. Mr. Trump will use the government to go after opponents. He will pursue a cruel policy of mass deportations. He will wreak havoc on the poor, the middle class and employers. Another Trump term will damage the climate, shatter alliances and strengthen autocrats. Americans should demand better. Vote. yeah...he's a disaster. crazy that this election is projected to be really close.
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