We’re gonna get a reboot called Dallas does Debbie 

Well at least the game is at 1300

Ref thought he was checking inns.

Bed and breakfasts for him and the missus.

For NYE.

Some NFL referees just aren’t any good; just like every other occupation.  Brad Allen has never been much good, that Vinovich is the worst, though.  My skin crawls whenever the Eagles have to play with him as the head ref.  Frustrating as F for the Lions when they explain the play to the officials before the game, and they still screw it up.  
 

The Eagles got a great draw in SB 52.  Steratore was one of the best.

 

Sunday Morning Predictions Update

48 predictions recorded thus far.  40 for an Eagles win and 8 for a Cardinals win.  The Average Predicted Score co Eagles 30 Cardinals 20, which is just under the Eagles -10.5 vs. Cardinals line put up by Las Vegas.

As always, please tag your prediction post with @mattwill that way I will be sure to see/record it.  Score predictions can also have an optional "Bonus Pick" tiebreaker prediction.  So far over the course of the season 142 different EMB posters have made at least one prediction. 

A list of the predictions is presented below, sorted alphabetically by the name of the predictor.  If you don't see your name there, then I either missed yours or you haven't submitted one yet.

2 hours ago, RememberTheKoy said:

 

If you think we can beat Detroit anywhere then you shouldn't be fearing the Eagles beating the Cardinals and Giants to get the #2 seed.  

No, wrong.

You have to look at and measure a number of probabilities,  and assess the value of a number of different outcomes.

Worst Outcome.   Wildcard 5.   Value of Wildcard 5 = 6
2nd Worst Outcome Division 3.  Value of Div 3 = 8  
d 2 - 9

d 1 - 10

w/ detroit win - probability of d2 goes from 55 to 45 (maybe)
but probability of w5 goes to 2 from 10.  45 on d3.
w/ dallas win - probability of d2 goes from 55 to 65 (maybe)
but probability of w5 goes to 30 from 10.  5 on d3.  

whatever it is,  you combine all those into a formula.   value and odds,  
value x probability of all possibilities.

with dallas winning,  there is a chance that the Eagles don't win both games.  Each game I would predict the Eagles would win both,  but it's not a 100% certainty.  Each of those games the Eagles have a 60+% chance of winning.  I don't know the exact number, but there is enough chance that the Eagles don't win one of those games (you'd think the Eagles could have gotten it together for the Seahawks after 2 losses to tougher teams)  that the chance the Eagles get the 5 spot is not inconsiderable.   I preferred for the risk averse Eagles the lock in at least 3, lock in division.  lock cowboys into a wild card spot.   The worst outcome is the 5 spot,  needing to play the 9ers in the 2nd round.   I feel much better about beating the Lions in week 2 than the 9ers. 




 

@mattwill

 eagles 38

 cardinals 24

 bonus: Brown 150+ yards and 2 TDs

2 hours ago, Aerolithe_Lion said:

What also has to be considered is Dallas didn’t cover a player who was not reported as eligible, as you wouldn’t. Ref calls out his number, Dallas D then acknowledges him, and that play plausibly goes differently.

But you can tell who is eligible by looking where they're standing.The Ends are eligible, the backs are eligible,  the interior OL is not.  It's that way on every play.

Ref literally looks at 68 (Decker) and acknowledges that he's eligible.

Holy F what a F up.

The play was 100% legal in every way. No penalty of any kind.

4 hours ago, e-a-g-l-e-s eagles! said:

I’m stealing this.  
 

 

So basically what happened was:

- Two linemen approached the refs.  (One reported, one did not)

- Lions sent two linemen towards the refs intentionally so that the Cowboys might be confused about who was actually reporting

- Instead of confusing the Cowboys, the refs themselves were confused EVEN THOUGH the Lions head coach had already told the refs before the game about the exact play

What an embarrassment for the NFL. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

@mattwill

Eagles 37

Cards 20

Eagles D scores TD

 

 

Heading to the tailgate lots which open at….coughs….6am!

My son’s gonna kick Bacarty juniors ass

3 hours ago, Random Reglar said:

No, wrong.

You have to look at and measure a number of probabilities,  and assess the value of a number of different outcomes.

Worst Outcome.   Wildcard 5.   Value of Wildcard 5 = 6
2nd Worst Outcome Division 3.  Value of Div 3 = 8  
d 2 - 9

d 1 - 10

w/ detroit win - probability of d2 goes from 55 to 45 (maybe)
but probability of w5 goes to 2 from 10.  45 on d3.
w/ dallas win - probability of d2 goes from 55 to 65 (maybe)
but probability of w5 goes to 30 from 10.  5 on d3.  

whatever it is,  you combine all those into a formula.   value and odds,  
value x probability of all possibilities.

with dallas winning,  there is a chance that the Eagles don't win both games.  Each game I would predict the Eagles would win both,  but it's not a 100% certainty.  Each of those games the Eagles have a 60+% chance of winning.  I don't know the exact number, but there is enough chance that the Eagles don't win one of those games (you'd think the Eagles could have gotten it together for the Seahawks after 2 losses to tougher teams)  that the chance the Eagles get the 5 spot is not inconsiderable.   I preferred for the risk averse Eagles the lock in at least 3, lock in division.  lock cowboys into a wild card spot.   The worst outcome is the 5 spot,  needing to play the 9ers in the 2nd round.   I feel much better about beating the Lions in week 2 than the 9ers. 




 

Who is putting the values on these?

 

The value of D1 ((#1 seed) winners should be (at least) double the next value because it is the equivalent of a playoff game win.  (1st round bye) 

"Rigged", "Robbed" and "The Refs" has been trending all night.  Plus this loss for the Lions has ripple effects in the playoff chase.  Look I know this puts us in the drivers seat for the #2 but they had a comeback drive snatched away from them.  It wasn't right.  I know that was Jimmy Johnson night but maybe the Football Gods was punishing Jerry for how he treated Jimmy with that soul crushing loss right there.  Oh Well.  SMH.   

35 minutes ago, Parrot Head said:

Heading to the tailgate lots which open at….coughs….6am!

My son’s gonna kick Bacarty juniors ass

Are you going to submit a score prediction before you go?

@mattwill

The return of Maddox to the secondary propels the defense back to form - allowing the younger DB’s (Ringo/Ricks) to play their natural positions (outside); providing solid coverage  - which in turn gives our D line more time to apply pressure, etc 

Eagles: 31

Cardinals: 17

Bonus: Eagles defense gets 3 (or more) sacks 

 

6 hours ago, Texas Eagle said:

That’s one of the most blatant screw jobs I’ve ever seen in my 25 years watching sports

You didn’t see a thing…you THOUGHT you saw, something but, nah.

 

WEEK 17, The Final Two Games are here and the Playoffs are on the Horizon. Happy New Years Eagles Fans.  The Birds gave us a Christmas Gift with a Win.  Now let's finish the year on a high note.   The Birds are already in the Playoffs but there is still more to do.   Now comes the Battle of the Birds with Arizona coming in.  The Eagles have a long History against the Cardinals.  During the 1947, 48 and 49 Seasons, the Eagles went to 3 back to back NFL Championships. In all three years they played the Chicago Cardinals.   Including winning an NFL Title against them (And losing one as well).  We all remember that heartbreaking NFC Title Game back in 2009. That same year was the Thanksgiving Day beatdown by the Birds earlier in the year.   Since then they've changed cities but the Eagles have been playing them for Decades.  They were once in the Division as well.   The Cardinals lead the all-time series 60-57-5.   The Series is tied up 3-3 over the last Decade.  The Mighty 2022 Eagles could only muster a 3 Point Win against them last year though they hadn't won in Arizona in almost 20 years previously.   They've played much better against Arizona in Philly.   This will also be Jalen's 3rd Game starting against the Cardinals (1-1).   Not to mentioned our former DC Jonathan Gannon returning Home since Super Bowl.  'Which was in Arizona by the way.

Let's get one thing out of the way.  Gannon did wet the bed badly in the 2nd half of the Super Bowl but our Defense is not as good as last year.  Plus we've already demoting our DC from play calling.  So If Gannon really wanted revenge (I don't think he does), he kind of already got it with the state of the Eagles D this year.  With that said, his Cards haven't been doing hot this year with one of the worst records in the league.   But this is a team that fights hard in every game.  I think the Cards are  a much better team than the record.  I do not expect them to just lay down so it will be a fight.  Regardless I feel the Birds are in prime position for the Division Title and the #2 Seed but they must win the last two.  The Eagles just play much better offensively at home.  I don't expect that to change.  The Eagles are also have a nice record against former coaches.  They beat Doug and Frank last year.  Beat Ron Rivera Twice this year along with Sean McDermott and Andy Reid (Though Shane did win a preseason game, lol).  So I think the streak continues with Gannon.    I also think the Defense keeps things in check as well.    I don't see the Cards having the answers on this one.   The Birds Breeze to their 12th win of the Season for the 6th Time in Franchise History.

 

THE BIRDS - 38

THE CARDS - 23

 

JALEN - RUSH TD

AJ - TD

GOEDERT - TD

DEVONTA - TD

SWIFT - RUSH TD

JAKE - FG

 

DEFENSE - FUMBLE, MULTIPLE SACKS and INT

 

@mattwill

Game today

Go Eagles !